Week 10 NFL

[dirtydaveiii]

carolina @ chicago : The Panthers rank in the bottom of the league in virtually all stats except for surprisingly pass yards allowed (5th) and total yards allowed (8th). Tyson Baegent 3 td 6 int gets the start for the Bears while the Panthers are missing many key defensive players. Bagent ran for 70 yards last week so he can move the ball with his feet. Chicago ranks 19th or worse in all stats except for rush yards for or against which are both 4th respectively. Both these teams are pretty bad but Carolina seems to be that much worse.

Carloina 6 Chicago 13

 

[K Douglas]

Bears have better offensive weapons with DJ Moore, Darnell Mooney and Cole Kmet. If Fields plays I would be confident in taking them to cover the spread. If he doesn't I'm staying away.
However I am pretty confident the game will go under and I will probably put down a few bucks on that.
Seriously thought what a dud of a matchup. The schedule makers should be fired.

 

[dirtydaveiii]

Indy @ NE : The Colts rank top half of the league in all offensive categories and an impressive 7th in points per game. Defensively is a different story however where they rank 23rd or worse in every category. The Pats are 21st or worse in every offensive category but 16th best for total yards allowed and 11th against the run. After starting 3-2 with wins agasint Baltimore Houston and Tennessee the Colts have gone 1-3 with their lone win coming last week against the 1-6 Panthers. The Pats are a paltry 2-7 on the season but their two wins came against the Jets and the Bills. Both of these teams are bad. I feel the Pats are due for a win.

Indy 12 - New England 17

New Orleans @ Minnesota : The Vikings just keep getting it done without Cousins while the Saints are on a 2 game win streak / ALvin Kamara is playing well and David Carr is getting more comfortable in the Saints offense throwing for over 100 passer rating in the last two games and Hill getting 3 total TDs. The Vikings are hot winning 4 straight and 5 of its last 6 with its only loss coming against the Chiefs. Dobbs came in and pulled off a miracle in Atlanta throwing for only 158 yards and 2 TDs but rushing for 66 more. Will Dobbs and the Vikings crash back to earth this week ? The Saints rank near the top half of the league both offensively and defensively with an impressive 7th in yards allowed points allowed and pass yards allowed. The Vikings rank 2nd in pass yards but are a pedestrain 29th in rushing. Defensively the Vikings are solid but I just dont see Dobbs getting it done on a long term basis - he is 10-5 TD to int but he averages just under 200 YPG and Carr is about 250. I see Hill and Kamara making the difference.

New Orleans 27 Minnesota 19

Houston @ Cincinatti : CJ Stroud is front runner for rookie of the year after last weeks record setting pace, but this is a team that lost to a then winless Carolina Panthers. The Texans are the 4th best passing team in the league but 27th rushing team. The Bengals are bad statistically after a slow start but have won 4 straight, the last 3 against san fran buffalo and seattle. Houston isnt at the same talent level as Cincy.

Houston 13 - Cincinnati : 27

 

[K Douglas]

The only way New England is going to win is if their defense steps up big time. Because their offense is pitiful and their best WR Kendrick Bourne is on IR. It is possible for the Colts to lose if they rely too heavily on Gardiner Minshew. But their coaching staff knows better. Expect to see a heavy dose of Jonathan Taylor. This game is in Frankfurt but I don't think that makes much difference on the outcome. I'm going to say Colts 19 Patriots 13.

New Orleans is the better team in that matchup, no question. As such they are favored by 2.5 on the road. But their record ATS this season is 2-5-1. They just aren't getting it done for bettors. Conversely, the Vikings are 5-3-1 vs spread but curiously only 1-3 as the home team. The Vikings have won 4 straight but have a new QB in Joshua Dobbs but he likely won't face a ton of pressure since the Saints are one of the least blitzing teams in the NFL. Conversely, the Vikings blitz the most and that has cost them at times giving up big plays. The Saints however are not a big play type of offense. The Saints advantage is in the secondary, they have a league leading 12 INT's. If Vikings are smart they will have a conservative playbook for Dobbs and stick to short passes and runs. I like the Vikings here as home dogs here, they smell a division title. Minnesota 23 New Orleans 20.

I agree with you with Cincinnati and I will be betting them this week. They are starting to come together after a rough start. Houston may hang around for a half but the Bengals will pull away and win convincingly. Bengals 30. Texans 16.

 

[LiveInTorontoPartyInMontreal]

I didn't have any bets/or picks on for this week but checked the scores from time to time. Big surprises for me: JAX flat, Cinci not turning it on till late, Balt collapse and Minny Dobbs on fire & Herbert coasting ever since his huge payday . .( LAC are the hardest team to bet )