This is odds

hairyfucker

Turgid Member
Sep 10, 2005
1,549
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38
yes
About one out of every three people in the United States thinks that winning the lottery is the only way to become financially secure. But the odds of winning a single state lottery are about 18 million to 1.

That’s why I laugh at my friends who buy lottery tickets—to me, it’s just throwing money away. The likelihood you’ll be killed by lightning is roughly 2,650,000 to 1—a lot more likely than winning the lottery.

Have you ever wondered how the odds stack up against each other? For instance, did you know that your odds of winning an Olympic medal are roughly the same as drowning in the bathtub? Check out these odds:

Odds of dying from a dog bite: 1 in 20 million
Odds of becoming a saint: 1 in 20 million

Odds of becoming president: 1 in 10,000,000
Odds of dying from parts falling off an airplane: 1 in 10,000,000

Odds you will be injured by a toilet this year: 1 in 10,000
Odds of finding a four-leaf clover on the first try: 1 in 10,000

Odds of spotting a UFO today: 1 in 3,000,000
Odds of dying from food poisoning: 1 in 3,000,000

Odds of dying from a shark attack: 1 in 300,000,000
Odds of dying from Measles: 1 in 300,000,000

Odds of a child being in a fatal automobile accident: 1 in 23,000
Odds of being wrongly declared dead by a Social Security data entry mistake: 1 in 23,483

Odds of writing a New York Times best seller: 1 in 220
Odds of dating a millionaire: 1 in 215

Odds of getting AIDS from heterosexual sex without using a condom: 1 in 5,000,000
Odds of dying from contact with hot tap water: 1 in 5,005,564

Odds of winning an Academy Award: 1 in 11,500
Odds of bowling a 300 game: 1 in 11,500

Odds of injury from using a chain saw: 1 in 4464
Odds of dying on a bicycle: 1 in 4472

Odds of being murdered: 1 in 18,000
Odds of dying in a car accident: 1 in 18,585

Odds of getting arthritis: 1 in 7
Odds you don’t have health insurance: 1 in 7

Odds of dying from heart disease: 1 in 3
Odds of an American woman developing cancer in her lifetime: 1 in 3

Odds that you will die from the collision of an asteroid hitting the earth in the next one hundred years: 1 in 500,000
Odds of a non-felon being murdered with a gun: 1 in 500,000
Odds of being in a plane crash: 1 in 500,000

http://www.divinecaroline.com/article/22323/52471-odds-
 
Statistics (and odds are just statistics and probability) are tricky to interpret properly :p

Take a look at the "dying from an asteroid impact" odds. Asteroids don't hit the planet and kill one person, every 5,000 years.

There hasn't been a major "extinction event" grade impact for 65 million years.

Of course, if one plasters us tomorrow we'd lose 3-6 billion people, so mathematically the odds work out to 1 in 500,000 per person.
 
rubmeister100 said:
...................... Now, those delusional folks who spend their welfare cheque on $100 of 6/49 and Super Seven with their carton of cigarettes...


You forgot the part about them taking a cab to do all that lol.....I remember back in the 'hood you could always tell when the welfare cheques were in because the cabs were stacked 3 deep outside the beer store.....
 
If you drive to the corner store to buy a 6/49 ticket, the chance you'll win the jackpot is considerably less than the chance you'll be killed in an accident on the drive home.
 
If the odds of being president are 1 in 10,000,000 and there are 300,000,000 people in the USA, then I guess 30 of them will become president.
I though there was only 1 ??? :confused:
 
I know the odds are astronomical, I still play because for a couple of bucks I can dream of the fun I'd have if I did win.
 
Moraff said:
I know the odds are astronomical, I still play because for a couple of bucks I can dream of the fun I'd have if I did win.

My sentiments exactly!

I keep telling people; if you play, then you have a very astronomical chance of winning. If you don't play, you will NEVER win. I know which option works for me.
 
The odds of picking winnning 649 numbers is approx 10 billion to 1

But my strategy is to save up all my free tickets until I have 10 billion. Then I'll buy one of each combination & I'll guarantee to win :D
 
lottery is a tax on the poor
 
HafDun said:
If the odds of being president are 1 in 10,000,000 and there are 300,000,000 people in the USA, then I guess 30 of them will become president.
HafDun said:
I though there was only 1 ???


some people should not do math... I am not sure what numbers the original writher used but with some rough estimates one can quickly come to this possibility.

300,000,000 - population of the USA
250,000,000 - citizens (must also be a natural born citizen for president - ask Arnold)
4 - normal term of presidency (could be 2 term president but will not calculate that)
35 - minimum age of president
75 - estimated maximum age of president (no written max but popular belief is that 75 is close)

75 - 35 = 40 eligible duration of lifespan
40 / 4 = 10 - number of eligible terms of presidency in life span
250,000,000 / 10 = 25,000,000 - odds of normal electoral president
25,000,000 / 2 = 12,000,000 - estimated odds of ascending to president thru means other than election

if the president dies then the ice president takes office, if he dies then the speaker of the house takes office, etc etc etc. I believe there is about 20 some levels of ascension in case of office vacancy.

so it is plausible that the odds could be 1 in 10,000,000. right?
 
hairyfucker said:
if the president dies then the ice president takes office, if he dies then the speaker of the house takes office, etc etc etc. .
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thats cold man