The Monty Hall problem

[dreamer]

It matters not one bit. It's all about creating a funny ' bit ' for T.V., so dopes will spend their time debating whether or not he / she should change.

Actually it is a logic question using a game show to illustrate the problem, not a debate about a tv show

 

[Ranger68]

LOL
Uh, yeah - someone doesn't get it.

 

[mmouse]

stinkynuts does have it right with the analogy

When you first pick you have a 1/3 chance of winning. I think most would agree with that.

But this means that there is a 2/3 chance the automobile is behind the other doors.

When he shows you what is behind one of those doors the odds do not change, there is still a 2/3 chance that the automobile is behind one of those doors. Of course he knows which door to show you, the one that has the goat. That means there is now a 2/3 chance the automobile is behind the other door you did not pick.

Therefore you should always switch.

This explanation finally clicked for me - thanks!

If you search on the web you'll find hundreds of different explanations for this problem. It seems nearly everyone has trouble accepting the answer and it takes a fair bit of brain massage for it to sink in.

 

[Ranger68]

Obviously.