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Should I pile into the CDN dollar now?

FOOTSNIFFER

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Jan 23, 2004
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S.C. Joe said:
A few months ago, nobody thought the Canadian dollar would be @ par with the US dollar.

Nobody knows whats going to happen--not next month, let alone 5 years from now.

If I lived in Canada, I be buying US dollars right now..seems theres a better chance of the US dollar going back up, then the Canada dollar keep going higher

But NOBODY knows what WILL happen.
The hardest place to make money consistently is in the currency markets. They're just brutal.

Bear in mind that, in the last competitve surveys conducted by the world business forum, the US ranked #1 and Canada is at #13. So, in the long run, I don't see how we can justify having our currency at parity when our productivity/investment per capita continues to underperform the US. It just doesn't compute. My bet is on the US dollar, now.
 

LordLoki

Exploring
Dec 27, 2006
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FOOTSNIFFER said:
So, in the long run, I don't see how we can justify having our currency at parity when our productivity/investment per capita continues to underperform the US. It just doesn't compute. My bet is on the US dollar, now.

Petro dollar = the answer
 

verbalks

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Oct 12, 2007
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Mao Tse Tongue said:
I love these asshole posts. Listen, there are plenty of really smart people on this board. I've had more assistance on this board in matters of cars, money and travel than than the $500 an hour types who also inhabit my world.

Do I rely on any one source? No. That's why I'm rich.

Thanks to others for their help.
You just demonstrated why you should go see a professional. The financial market do not behave like any of the other items you mentioned.

You can have a PHD but still never understand how the financial markets work.

I hope you manage to make money on what the consensus think on an escort review board. ;)
 

S.C. Joe

Client # 13
Nov 2, 2007
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The escort review board might just have better advice than these pro's gave back when the CN dollar was @ .70 cents to the US dollar.

I am all ears....look how great places like Merrill Lynch and Co and Citigroup are doing right now. They are losing billions of dollars with this sub prime mess they did not see coming. They have PHD's too....

I recall when Google went public, those pro's all thought it was over price @ $100--now its around $600..
 
Sep 8, 2003
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Away from here.
www.reddit.com
verbalks said:
You just demonstrated why you should go see a professional. The financial market do not behave like any of the other items you mentioned.

You can have a PHD but still never understand how the financial markets work.

I hope you manage to make money on what the consensus think on an escort review board. ;)
And your post proves the opposite: that even the professionals know fuck all, which is why I'm interested in many differing opinions.
 

RogerRabbit

New member
Jul 7, 2003
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Canada...
Given:

'Officials have recently hinted strongly in recent days that rate cuts lie ahead. Bank of Canada Governor
David Dodge said over the weekend that risks to global growth are rising and that the bank would take that into account in setting policy. The next rate announcement is due Dec. 4.

Following the report’s release the Canadian dollar fell to $1.0157 US from $1.0215 US, but later recovered to around $1.0185 US. '

therefore:

The dollar may be heading south short term with a BOC interest rate coming before Dec.05/07, unless oil goes north of $105.00 and/ or the USA credit market mess gets bigger. Gold is the best bet for now!
 
svtcobra said:
Would you guys recommend buying Euro's ?
Think question was on BNN. Answer: CDN vs. Euro pretty much stayed in step.

Other foreign currencies vs. USD questions are mirrored with Euro, Pound, Yen, & Aus $. Everyone eyeing US bargains.
 

21pro

Crotch Sniffer
Oct 22, 2003
7,830
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Caledon East
I only trade currencies in stock holdings... and it is only 1 reason of many to buy a stock...

consider August 2002- airline stocks in trouble, USD was expected to lose ground on the Euro... KLM Airlines trades on the NYSE back then and when you look into the company, you see that they also bought into 7 years worth of jet fuel at year 2000 prices... they have reasonable debt and are still showing resillience against the troubled airline economy.... and yet, their stock has been punished... albeit badly. bought it just shy of $9 US as American Depository receipts...

so yes, i did invest on 'thinking the USD would drop' but, also lowered my risk because of these other trends I saw for the future...
1. that the airline industry would turn around and in 6 years time, more people will fly than at any other point in history.
2. oil prices would escalate.... ie, time of unrest and war in the middle east... ie, I invested in jet fuel at 2000 prices (which was already a bargain)
3. the Euro would raise against other global currencies. by buying a depository receipt of a european company in US money, the stock would gain if the dollar loses to the euro... even if the stock price in europe remains the same.
4. i bought into an industry in correction, where you would see takeover offers and turnaround situations... KLM was bought out by Air France.

all in all, the investment provided an excellent return, but not solely for one reason. that is the only way i'd look into currency investing.

it provides a much greater return than the currency %age change. it turned out to be a 10 bagger.

bought KLM for 8.91 in 2002 price adjusted from the merger of around $5 something.... sold AIR FRANCE/KLM in April 2007 for $52.09 that's over a 200% per year rate of return. and fairly low risk, also.

stocks. low risk, high return... if, and only IF you do your proper homework.
 
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RogerRabbit

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Jul 7, 2003
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Canada...
21pro said:
it provides a much greater return than the currency %age change. it turned out to be a 10 bagger.

bought KLM for 8.91 in 2002 price adjusted from the merger of around $5 something.... sold AIR FRANCE/KLM in April 2007 for $52.09 that's over a 200% per year rate of return. and fairly low risk, also.

stocks. low risk, high return... if, and only IF you do your proper homework.
Good advice, it is good to buy undervalued stocks and assets, when others don't wish too...

Airline stocks and the currencies should start to shift quite a bit because of oil, geopolitical events, etc.:

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20071121.woil_v2_1121/BNStory/Business

As the price of oil nudged closer to the $100 (U.S.) a barrel mark Wednesday, the Texas engineering professor who predicted more than three years ago that it would hit this then lofty target is looking for more.
“You want to know the headline that will get it up to $150? It's ‘Israel attacks Iran',” Michael Economides said in an early morning telephone interview from his office at the University of Houston.
 

Meister

Well-known member
Apr 17, 2003
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I think a couple of things will happen:
- Interest Rates in the US will drop a few more times over the next few months
- Dollar Peg of oil countries needs to loosen up to avoid 150 or 200 dollar oil
- Canada is going to lower interest rates as manufacturers and retailers feel the pinch

btw, in case nobody noticed, Euro is almost 1.50 US dollar
 
RogerRabbit said:
the Texas engineering professor who predicted more than three years ago that it would hit this then lofty target is looking for more.
“You want to know the headline that will get it up to $150? It's ‘Israel attacks Iran',” Michael Economides said in an early morning telephone interview from his office at the University of Houston.
Believe he made above statement and "Chavez and Putin are 1,000-pound gorillas" comment on CNBC a month ago, got him some press time.

No doubt, every geopolitical news triggers surge in price but my believe the speculators are to blame, trading on fear not economics.
 

makaveli8001

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Nov 20, 2007
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yeah, buy low sell high....us economy is in recession, I figure when it gets back to normal, you can make quite a bit of dough
 
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