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warren buffet

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Oct 31, 2002
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OK, we all know that traders have been substantially boosting their short positions in Eurodollar futures and that many traders are starting to speculate for a climb in the 30 year treasury bond yield. Does everyone else think that it is obvious that we are setting ourselves up here for a steeper Treasury Yield Curve?

How is everyone else planning on profiting from this opportunity?
 
warren buffet said:
OK, we all know that traders have been substantially boosting their short positions in Eurodollar futures and that many traders are starting to speculate for a climb in the 30 year treasury bond yield. Does everyone else think that it is obvious that we are setting ourselves up here for a steeper Treasury Yield Curve?

How is everyone else planning on profiting from this opportunity?
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contact #? rates?
 
warren buffet said:
OK, we all know that traders have been substantially boosting their short positions in Eurodollar futures and that many traders are starting to speculate for a climb in the 30 year treasury bond yield. Does everyone else think that it is obvious that we are setting ourselves up here for a steeper Treasury Yield Curve?

How is everyone else planning on profiting from this opportunity?
Click to expand...

long term rates could decline which would result in an inverted y curve. I think the US market is still not stable. Too many non-recurring variables are affecting the rates.
 
I am betting on double digit inflation one year after Bush leaves office.
 
papasmerf said:
I am betting on double digit inflation one year after Bush leaves office.
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forget all that shyt......get on the gold band wagon and make yourself some big dough
 
kingdan said:
forget all that shyt......get on the gold band wagon and make yourself some big dough
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Rapid inflation tends to drive rates up.

Remember Jimmy Carter and his abilities at controling it?
 
WOW
Y-curve from fjdude and double digits from papasmerf, almost can be put in the incall review section.:D LOL
 
goodtime said:
Papa is talking about U.S. infl. rate.
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No Really!!! LOL
 
warren buffet said:
OK, we all know that traders have been substantially boosting their short positions in Eurodollar futures and that many traders are starting to speculate for a climb in the 30 year treasury bond yield. Does everyone else think that it is obvious that we are setting ourselves up here for a steeper Treasury Yield Curve?

How is everyone else planning on profiting from this opportunity?
Click to expand...

We all know what happened to Warren Buffet's US dollar bet.:D

These days things don't move in regular cycles anymore like they used to. The globalization introduced so many external factors that it is difficult to predict. The EU is going to raise rates a couple of times soon. The Americans say they will stop raising rates, but are under pressure from the Asians to continue raising it to offer a premium for their investments here in the US.

All you can say about this stuff is:
When smart money agrees it becomes dumb money.
 
hindsight 101:I bet a few years from now will yield all of todays question,there is no crystal ball,just a lot of dumb luck.It takes a lot of money to make money,but very little to loose a lot.Most people are trying to survive today,in North America and other industrial nations.There is a lot of pressure to reduce our standard of living by driving up costs and then saying inflation is being held at bay.The developing countries are in the best position for the next 10,20 or so years.The average person there sees the world through completely different eyes then us.
 
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