Intelligence gathering has come a long way since the 60-mid 70s.Read any history of the War in VN. It's full of US intelligence failures. They were taken completely off guard by Tet.
Oh and while we're at it, what about that little "weapons of mass destruction" goof that US intelligence made in Iraq.
If you want to argue a point, do some reading and present a plausible argument.
I believe everyone wanted to believe in the WMD theory, because "everyone" wanted to go to war. They relied their intelligence on one person who lied and Bush wanted to believe him,
Here is a great interview with Lara Logan, if you want to get a knowledgeable opinion of what is happening. Also, a great point of America[s intel ability.
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