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Only Three Months Left For Planet Earth( and other false doomsday predictions)

Frankfooter

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Dude your charts have been proven to be manipulated and false John Larue and other members here already debunked you misleading flawed graphs.
Those charts come from NASA, NOAA, Berkely Earth, The AAAS, IPCC and every legit scientific agency in North America.
larue has only proven that he can't understand basics like forcing vs feedback and can't read a chart.
The only chart larue posted was a 7 year old chart of atmospheric temperatures that he claimed were surface temps.
You posted a chart that had no credits and no vertical scale as if it proved something.

You might as well post a piss drawing on snow as your source.

Here's a chart of global temps that compares all the present sources, HadCRU, GISTEMP, NOAA and Berkely Earth.
Are you also telling me that you believe every single one of these are all faking those numbers identically, and that almost every single climatologist in the world, across 150+ countries, has agreed to fake those numbers as well?

That's the kookiest conspiracy theory ever.

 

JohnLarue

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Dude your charts have been proven to be manipulated and false John Larue and other members here already debunked you misleading flawed graphs. constantly repeating yourself does not make you right. and i like the fact that you ignore Vikings settling in Greenland, Iceland and Canada during the mideval warm period oneof many archelaogical evidence that cimate cult memners like yourself ignore in the name of your alarmist cult




L'Anse aux Meadows (/ˈlænsi ˈmɛdoʊz/) is an archaeological site on the northernmost tip of the Great Northern Peninsula on the island of Newfoundland in the Canadian province of Newfoundland and Labrador. Archaeological evidence of a Norse presence was discovered at L'Anse aux Meadows in the 1960s. It is the only confirmed Norse site in or near North America outside of the settlements found in Greenland.[1][2]

Dating to c. 1000, L'Anse aux Meadows is widely accepted as evidence of pre-Columbian trans-oceanic contact. It is notable for its possible connection with Leif Erikson, and with the Norse exploration of North America. It was named a World Heritage Site by UNESCO in 1978.[3]






all of this viking history was possible becuase the medieval warm period that climate change cult members like to ignore


PEER-REVIEWED SCIENCE : The Medieval Warm Period Was Indeed Global And Warmer Than Today









No matter if the science of global warming is all phony…
climate change provides the greatest opportunity to
bring about justice and equality in the world
.”
Christine Stewart,
fmr Canadian Minister of the Environment
We’ve got to ride this global warming issue.
Even if the theory of global warming is wrong,
we will be doing the right thing in terms of
economic and environmental policy.

Timothy Wirth,
President UN Foundation

WHEN prosecuting the case for “unprecedented” man-made Global Warming, the first thing you need to make sure of is that no recent climate era was as warm or warmer than the present, even if that means having to rewrite the past to fit your narrative.

THE Medieval Warm Period, also known as the Medieval Climate Optimum (due to conditions favoured for crops, life and civilisation to thrive) existed a short time ago in the climate record, from c. 950 to c. 1250., and has remained a thorn in the side, ever since, for today’s Global Warming Climate Change activist movement.

IN the 1990 IPCC report, the Medieval Warm Period was much warmer than the late 19th century:





THE IPCC’s 1990 report dives deeper into the reality of the Medieval Warm Period and provides an insight into the cause of these warming periods:

“This period of widespread warmth is notable in that there is no evidence that it was accompanied by an increase of greenhouse gases.
http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/far/wg_I/ipcc_far_wg_I_full_report.pdf
BY the 2001 IPCC report, the Medieval Warm period disappeared and became much cooler than the late 20th century:



"We have to get rid of the Medieval Warm Period"


 

canada-man

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enjoyng Frankfooter denying Viking History and archeological evidence proving there was a warm medieval perio which lead to Viking Age. cult members like to deny historical evidence. the same way environment Canada erased weather and climate data before the 1960s because the data goes against the climate cult ideology









 

Frankfooter

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Apr 10, 2015
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enjoyng Frankfooter denying Viking History and archeological evidence proving there was a warm medieval perio which lead to Viking Age. cult members like to deny historical evidence. the same way environment Canada erased weather and climate data before the 1960s because the data goes against the climate cult ideology
Do you even do basic research from sources that aren't blatantly biased?
MWP was local, not global.

wiki:
The Medieval Warm Period (MWP) also known as the Medieval Climate Optimum, or Medieval Climatic Anomaly was a time of warm climate in the North Atlantic region lasting from c. 950 to c. 1250.[2] It was likely[3] related to warming elsewhere[4][5][6] while some other regions were colder, such as the tropical Pacific. Average global mean temperatures have been calculated to be similar to early-mid-20th-century warming. Possible causes of the Medieval Warm Period include increased solar activity, decreased volcanic activity, and changes to ocean circulation.[7]

The period was followed by a cooler period in the North Atlantic and elsewhere termed the Little Ice Age. Some refer to the event as the Medieval Climatic Anomaly as this term emphasizes that climatic effects other than temperature were important.[8][9]

It is thought that between c. 950 and c. 1100 was the Northern Hemisphere's warmest period since the Roman Warm Period. It was only in the 20th and 21st centuries that the Northern Hemisphere experienced higher temperatures.[citation needed] Climate proxy records show peak warmth occurred at different times for different regions, indicating that the Medieval Warm Period was not a globally uniform event.[10]
 

canada-man

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Swallowing The Green Manifesto Leaves A Nasty Taste



Only 8% of the Irish public believe that tackling climate change should be the next government’s top priority, according to the results of an MRBI opinion poll published last week.

This low percentage didn’t stop Fine Gael and Fianna Fail caving into the Green Party’s very far-reaching demand that we cut our carbon emissions in half over the next 10 years.



The capitulation raises questions about the nature of Irish democracy. So does the largely uncritical coverage that the Green Party agenda receives.

Even during the general election, it was obvious that climate change was not a big issue for voters. Commentators and politicians noted it was rarely raised on the doorsteps.

This was despite enormous media coverage of the issue, with RTE basically campaigning about it for months.

Thousands of schoolchildren had been taking part in climate strikes and we even had a children’s parliament, which took over the Dail chamber for a day to discuss the matter. The environmental campaigner Greta Thunberg seemed to be never off our screens.

Last summer, the Fine Gael government published a climate action plan, promising to reduce carbon emissions by an average of 3% a year by 2030.

Every other day we seemed to have a new UN report issuing dire warnings of impending environmental doom.

Here in Ireland an environmental expert, Professor Peter Thorne of NUI Maynooth, warned that, at some stage in the coming decades, a catastrophic storm during high tide would leave thousands of properties and landmark buildings in Dublin underwater, with significant flooding in the city center.

Despite all these warnings, voters still couldn’t be persuaded to put climate change at the top of their concerns. Yet this didn’t stop politicians going right ahead and making it the top priority of the next government.

Of all the commitments in the new program for government, none is as radical as the promise to cut carbon emissions by 7% a year for the next 10 years, and not 3% as first promised — a target that was already considered very ambitious and expensive.

What has been notable since the program was published last week is how little discussion there has been of how much the 7% commitment is going to cost us, and whether it has a proper democratic mandate.

The only real debate seems to be among the 3,000-plus membership of Green Party itself, with its Extinction Rebellion wing opposing the deal on the grounds that it doesn’t go far enough.

Unless more than two-thirds of these members approve the program, it’s back to the drawing board for the political parties, and maybe another election.

Perhaps we should have another election anyway because if you are going to do something so huge and radical, it should have broad support and be properly debated.

If you told people upfront that the commitment on climate would cost tens of billions of euros, inhibit economic growth, and that households would be asked to pay tens of thousands on electric cars and retrofitting their houses, we would have Instant Rebellion.

But we have been told none of this. A radical commitment has been slipped in as though it is the most reasonable proposal in the world.

It’s time for a proper debate, one in which we hear from a broad range of climate experts, engineers, and economists, who represent a range of views, and not simply those who meet with RTE approval, such as Professor John Sweeney of NUI Maynooth’s geography department.

He seems to be the go-to guy for RTE on all things climate, yet I cannot remember hearing a journalist ask him a single hard question.

We are invited to believe that when Sweeney speaks, it is not simply the voice of one expert, but that of science itself, and that everything he says is indisputable.

In fact, climate models seem to be a lot like those epidemiological ones we’ve been hearing so much about. They involve lots of different assumptions and their predictions range over a wide spectrum.

Although we know more about climate than we did about Covid-19 a few months ago, even the UN itself, and its Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change, makes a range of predictions about temperature increases and sea-level rises over the coming decades.

At a minimum, when Sweeney is on a TV or radio show, he needs to be asked which projection he himself believes in and if he is focusing on the worst ones.

Occasionally, he should have to debate with another expert who does not believe in the upper-end predictions.

But is that even permitted any more? Are you now banned from the Irish airwaves if you believe in the lower-end predictions for temperature rises and sea-level increases?

Quite aside from that, we need to hear far more from engineers, because they are the ones who will have to deliver the conversion from fossil-fuel energy to green energy over the next decade.

Do they think the wholesale switch promised by the program for government is feasible? What about the promised reductions in carbon emitted by transport, never mind agriculture?

And we can’t hear only from engineers approved by the Green Party. We must have a range of opinions.

Then there is the cost. A report from the Irish Academy of Engineering in November 2016 estimated that a 30% cut in emissions by 2030 — just about feasible, in their view — would cost €35bn at an absolute minimum.

Yet cutting it by 50%, the new commitment, would presumably cost far more and be even less feasible from a practical point of view.

Economists need to tell us what the 7% a year cut will cost households. How much will we need to pay in higher carbon taxes, and in other charges, to fund all this?

Retrofitting our homes to make them more energy-efficient would cost the average household between €30,000 and €80,000, according to one estimate.

The program for government envisages 600,000 homes doing this over the next decade. Then we also have to consider how the Green Party’s agenda might harm economic growth.

Why aren’t politicians, experts, and commentators all over the airwaves asking these questions? Why do we get to hear only a narrow range of voices? That isn’t healthy. A radical green agenda is being imposed on us without our true consent.

A properly democratic country would allow debate so that voters could then make informed choices. What we are being served up instead amounts to little more than Green Party propaganda.

Read more at The Times
 

Frankfooter

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PEER-REVIEWED SCIENCE : The Medieval Warm Period Was Indeed Global And Warmer Than Today
You are such an easy mark, larue.
I have some property I'd love to sell you, by the way.

Just because your article says 'peer-reviewed' in the headline doesn't mean that their claims and thesis has been peer reviewed.
Its just another opinion piece, its not a scientific paper.
 

canada-man

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Alarmists Falsely Blame Climate Change For Warming In Detroit



At the top of Google News search results today for “climate change,” a climate-activist meteorologist wrote an article attributing 3.3 degrees Fahrenheit of warming in Detroit over the past 50 years to global warming.

A quick look at relevant evidence shows the claim is more alarmist hype than scientific fact.



Meteorologist Paul Gross, citing a graph produced by the climate activist group Climate Central, reports a summer warming trend in Detroit since 1970 of approximately 3.3 degrees, with most of the summer warming occurring at night.

While this data may or may not be accurate, attributing it to “climate warming” is likely wrong.

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) records show Michigan as a whole has warmed an average approximately 2 degrees – not 3.3 degrees – since the beginning of the 20th century.

Also, the largest spike in warming occurred from the 1930s through the 1950s, with the vast majority of warming occurring during the spring and winter, when such warming is welcomed, as opposed to the summer.

Indeed, NOAA reports a declining trend “of hot days (maximum temperature above 90°F) and no overall trend in warm nights (minimum temperature above 70°F)” for Michigan.

As Climate at a Glance: U.S. Temperatures reports, NOAA’s 30-year U.S. temperature trend for the upper Mid-West – including Michigan – is undergoing a modest cooling trend.

Also, NOAA’s Climate Reference Network, its high-quality network of temperature stations throughout the United States, shows no warming trend across the United States since the network became operational in 2005.

Assuming Gross is correct that Detroit has experienced more warming than other places—indeed a non-typical temperature trend since 1970—one should look at factors other than anthropogenic global warming as the cause of the anomalous temperature trend.

The most likely cause is the urban heat island effect, caused by Detroit’s substantial industrialization and development, rather than global warming.

The urban heat island effect would explain why Detroit’s temperature increase is almost entirely due to an increase in summertime nighttime warming.

As explained in Climate at a Glance: Urban Heat Islands, heat absorbed by concrete and other impervious surfaces during the day in urban areas is slowly released into the atmosphere at night, resulting in disproportionate increases in nighttime low temperatures.

Before Gross pointed his finger at climate change as an explanation for Detroit’s idiosyncratic temperature trend, he should have considered countervailing national and state temperature trends, as well as other localized factors that would better explain the anomalous temperature increase in Detroit.

Read more at Climate Realism
 

Frankfooter

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canada-man

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The world has only six months in which to change the course of the climate crisis and prevent a post-lockdown rebound in greenhouse gas emissions that would overwhelm efforts to stave off climate catastrophe, one of the world’s foremost energy experts has warned.


the latest doomsday prediction whih will fail in december
 

canada-man

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A new Global Warming Policy Foundation report from retired Oxford physicist Ralph Alexander supports the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s conclusion there is limited scientific evidence linking human-caused climate change to increases in extreme weather.



Alexander’s conclusions are also confirmed by recent documents produced by Heartland Senior Fellow Anthony Watts on the website “Climate at a Glance.”

Alexander’s paper begins by remarking, “[t]he purported link between extreme weather and global warming has captured the public imagination and attention of the mainstream media far more than any of the other claims made by the narrative of human-caused climate change.”

This is surprising because data and analyses from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)—the UN body that climate alarmists in academic, political, and media circles continually cite as the authoritative source of information on climate change—confirm that “if there is any trend at all in extreme weather, it’s downward rather than upward.

Our most extreme weather, be it heatwave, drought, flood, hurricane or tornado, occurred many years ago, long before the carbon dioxide level in the atmosphere began to climb at its present rate,” writes Alexander.

“Recent atmospheric heat waves in western Europe,” writes Alexander, “pale in comparison with the soaring temperatures of the 1930s, a period when three of the seven continents and 32 of the 50 US states set all-time high-temperature records, which still stand today.”

Nor has IPCC discerned or identified any long-term trend in drought patterns, either in the United States or globally.

And even though rainfall has modestly increased in recent years, there is no evidence floods are becoming more frequent or severe.

Alexander notes many recent flood events can be traced almost entirely to land-use changes, including channelization, deforestation, destruction of wetlands, and the building of dams.

“Climate at a Glance: Floods” confirms Alexander’s assessment, citing data showing there has been no evidence of increased flooding frequency or severity in the United States or elsewhere over the past century and a half.

Indeed, IPCC writes it has “low confidence” in any climate change impact regarding the frequency or severity of floods, going so far as to state it has “low confidence” in even the “sign” of any changes.

In other words, it is just as likely that climate change is making floods less frequent and less severe.

On top of that, a 2017 study on the climate impact of flooding for the United States and Europe, published in the Journal of Hydrology, found, “The number of significant trends was about the number expected due to chance alone,” and “Changes in the frequency of major floods are dominated by multidecadal variability.”

Alexander notes hurricanes and tropical cyclones actually show a decreasing trend around the globe, with the frequency of land-falling hurricanes of any strength (Categories 1 through 5) remaining unchanged for at least 50 years.

While the frequency of major North Atlantic hurricanes, which are the most studied, has increased during the past 20 years, the current heightened activity level is merely comparable to the 1950s and 1960s—a period when the Earth was cooling, not warming.

“Climate at a Glance: Hurricanes” confirms Alexander’s hurricane conclusions, citing IPCC and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) who report there has been no increase in number or severity of hurricanes as the planet has modestly warmed.

The United States recently went through its longest period in recorded history without a major hurricane strike, experiencing its fewest total hurricanes in any eight-year period.

And IPCC’s 2018 Interim Report observes there is “only low confidence for the attribution of any detectable changes in tropical cyclone activity to anthropogenic influences.”

“Likewise, there is no trend in the frequency of tornadoes in the United States since at least as far back as 1954. The frequency of strong (EF3 or greater) tornadoes has even diminished over that interval. The average number of strong tornadoes annually from 1986 to 2017 was 40 percent less than from 1954 to 1985,” writes Alexander concerning the absence of changes in tornado trends during the recent period of modest warming.

“But what about droughts?” alarmists ask. “We know droughts are increasing due to climate change!”

Not so, according to data from IPCC and other research bodies. Indeed, IPCC reports droughts are becoming less severe, with the United States benefiting from fewer and less extreme drought events as the climate modestly warms.

In 2017 and 2019, NOAA reported the United States is undergoing its longest period in recorded history with fewer than 40 percent of the country experiencing “very dry” conditions.

Simultaneously, IPCC reports with “high confidence” that precipitation has increased over mid-latitude land areas of the Northern Hemisphere (including the United States) during the past 70 years, while IPCC has “low confidence” about any negative trends globally.

Extreme weather events do occur, but they are the result of “natural patterns in the climate system, not global warming,” writes Alexander.

In particular, he cites the periodic, although irregular shifts in the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, which governs many extremes such as intense hurricanes in the North Atlantic basin and major floods in eastern North America and western Europe.

Further, El Niño and La Niña cycles in the Pacific Ocean often cause catastrophic flooding in the western Americas, as well as severe droughts in Australia.

In Europe, recent heatwaves have been driven by changes in the jet stream that block normal weather patterns.

In short, the oft-repeated assertions that weather is getting more extreme is patently false.

Drought, flooding, hurricane, and tornado numbers are well within their normal historic range of severity and frequency. Looking at the data, there is absolutely no basis for alarm.

Read more at The Epoch Times

and here is the global warming policy report




1. Introduction

The purported link between extreme weather and global warming has cap-tured the public imagination and attention of the mainstream media far more than any of the other claims made by the narrative of human-caused climate change.
However, there is no scientific evidence that global warming triggers extreme weather, or even that extreme weather is becoming more frequent.

Anomalous weather events, such as heatwaves, hurricanes, floods, droughts and tornadoes, show no long-term trend over more than a century of reliable data. Weather extremes have occurred from time im-memorial, long before industrialization boosted the carbon dioxide level in the atmosphere. As we will see, collective memories of extreme weather are short-lived.

more at

 

Frankfooter

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A new Global Warming Policy Foundation report from retired Oxford physicist Ralph Alexander supports the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s conclusion there is limited scientific evidence linking human-caused climate change to increases in extreme weather.
He mischaracterizes the IPCC position on extreme weather events, using quotes from the older reports.
If there are flaws in his thesis statement like that, its not worth reading.

Warmest May on record, Siberia 10C hotter
 

canada-man

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He mischaracterizes the IPCC position on extreme weather events, using quotes from the older reports.
If there are flaws in his thesis statement like that, its not worth reading.

Warmest May on record, Siberia 10C hotter
Records are from 1981. where are the temperature records before 1981?

the last time I check there was period of cooling in the 1960s and 1970s during the ice age scare
 

Frankfooter

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Records are from 1981. where are the temperature records before 1981?

the last time I check there was period of cooling in the 1960s and 1970s during the ice age scare
What are you talking about?
There are plenty of records before 1981.

You just want a different chart that includes a longer time frame?
 

canada-man

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Renowned Green Activist Apologizes For The Climate Scare


and environmental leader Michael Shellenberger, a Time Magazine ‘Hero of the Environment’ (pictured).

On behalf of environmentalists everywhere, I would like to formally apologize for the climate scare we created over the last 30 years. Climate change is happening.

It’s just not the end of the world. It’s not even our most serious environmental problem.



I may seem like a strange person to be saying all of this. I have been a climate activist for 20 years and an environmentalist for 30.

But as an energy expert asked by Congress to provide objective expert testimony, and invited by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to serve as an Expert Reviewer of its next Assessment Report, I feel an obligation to apologize for how badly we environmentalists have misled the public.

Here are some facts few people know:

  • Humans are not causing a “sixth mass extinction”
  • The Amazon is not “the lungs of the world”
  • Climate change is not making natural disasters worse
  • Fires have declined 25% around the world since 2003
  • The amount of land we use for meat — humankind’s biggest use of land — has declined by an area nearly as large as Alaska
  • The build-up of wood fuel and more houses near forests, not climate change, explain why there are more, and more dangerous, fires in Australia and California
  • Carbon emissions have been declining in rich nations for decades and peaked in Britain, Germany, and France in the mid-seventies
  • Adapting to life below sea level made the Netherlands rich not poor
  • We produce 25% more food than we need and food surpluses will continue to rise as the world gets hotter
  • Habitat loss and the direct killing of wild animals are bigger threats to species than climate change
  • Wood fuel is far worse for people and wildlife than fossil fuels
  • Preventing future pandemics requires more not less “industrial” agriculture
I know that the above facts will sound like “climate denialism” to many people. But that just shows the power of climate alarmism.

In reality, the above facts come from the best-available scientific studies, including those conducted by or accepted by the IPCC, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN) and other leading scientific bodies.

Some people will, when they read this imagine that I’m some right-wing anti-environmentalist. I’m not. At 17, I lived in Nicaragua to show solidarity with the Sandinista socialist revolution. At 23 I raised money for Guatemalan women’s cooperatives.

In my early 20s, I lived in the semi-Amazon doing research with small farmers fighting land invasions. At 26 I helped expose poor conditions at Nike factories in Asia.

I became an environmentalist at 16 when I threw a fundraiser for Rainforest Action Network. At 27 I helped save the last unprotected ancient redwoods in California.

In my 30s I advocated renewables and successfully helped persuade the Obama administration to invest $90 billion into them.

Over the last few years, I helped save enough nuclear plants from being replaced by fossil fuels to prevent a sharp increase in emissions

Until last year, I mostly avoided speaking out against the climate scare. Partly that’s because I was embarrassed.

After all, I am as guilty of alarmism as any other environmentalist. For years, I referred to climate change as an “existential” threat to human civilization, and called it a “crisis.”

But mostly I was scared. I remained quiet about the climate disinformation campaign because I was afraid of losing friends and funding.

The few times I summoned the courage to defend climate science from those who misrepresent it I suffered harsh consequences. And so I mostly stood by and did next to nothing as my fellow environmentalists terrified the public.

I even stood by as people in the White House and many in the news media tried to destroy the reputation and career of an outstanding scientist, good man, and friend of mine, Roger Pielke, Jr., a lifelong progressive Democrat and environmentalist who testified in favor of carbon regulations.

Why did they do that? Because his research proves natural disasters aren’t getting worse.

But then, last year, things spiraled out of control.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez said, “The world is going to end in twelve years if we don’t address climate change.” Britain’s most high-profile environmental group claimed: “Climate Change Kills Children.”

The world’s most influential green journalist, Bill McKibben, called climate change the “greatest challenge humans have ever faced” and said it would “wipe out civilizations.”

Mainstream journalists reported, repeatedly, that the Amazon was “the lungs of the world,” and that deforestation was like a nuclear bomb going off.

As a result, half of the people surveyed around the world last year said they thought climate change would make humanity extinct. And in January, one out of five British children told pollsters they were having nightmares about climate change.

Whether or not you have children you must see how wrong this is. I admit I may be sensitive because I have a teenage daughter.

After we talked about the science she was reassured. But her friends are deeply misinformed and thus, understandably, frightened.

I thus decided I had to speak out. I knew that writing a few articles wouldn’t be enough. I needed a book to properly lay out all of the evidence.

And so my formal apology for our fear-mongering comes in the form of my new book, Apocalypse Never: Why Environmental Alarmism Hurts Us All.

more at


Michael Shellenberger was Time Magazine’s “Hero of the Environment,” Green Book Award Winner, and President of Environmental Progress, a research and policy organization. He is also the author of several bestselling books., including Apocalypse Never.

 

canada-man

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Enviros Fear Dems’ New Climate Plan Will Kill Endangered Species



Congressional Democrats today unveil a “Climate Crisis Action Plan” similar to the Green New Deal proposed by Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez last year, which sounded like a dream to many progressives and climate activists.

At the heart of the proposal are billions in new subsidies and a federal mandate to achieve 100% renewables.



The top item on the Democrats’ plan is, “Support rapid deployment of wind, solar, energy efficiency, and other zero-carbon energy sources and construction of new transmission infrastructure to deliver clean energy to homes.”

There has already been widespread attention to the high economic cost of renewable energy mandates.

University of Chicago economists found that “consumers in the twenty-nine states paid $125.2 billion more for electricity” because of them.

But now, in response to a growing number of lawsuits and regulations, and a new Michael Moore documentary about the environmental impacts of renewables, the wind industry increasingly finds itself on the defensive.

“Birds have evolved over hundreds of years to fly certain paths to migrate,” said New Hampshire-based environmentalist Lisa Linowes. “You can’t throw a turbine up in the way and expect them to adapt. It’s not happening.”

“Democrats have been sold a false narrative by the industrial wind industry,” said Kevon Martis, a Michigan-based environmentalist and co-founder of the Energy and Wildlife Coalition with Linowes.

“Many Democrats somehow imagine that industrial wind farms, which take hundreds of times more land than a natural gas plant, are better for the environment,” he added.

Martis and other environmentalists are successfully stopping industrial wind farms across the US.

  • Last December, environmentalists on California’s northern coast successfully blocked industrial wind turbines that they said would have killed an endangered sea bird, the marbled murrelet, which nests in nearby ancient redwood trees;
  • Earlier this month, Ohio regulators demanded wildlife protections for endangered migratory bird species, including the Kirtland’s warbler, for an industrial wind project proposed for Lake Erie. The lake is a critical habitat for birds migrating between their nesting grounds in Canada to South America for the winter;
  • A federal judge two weeks ago blocked a transmission line, called the R-Line, proposed to be built straight through a whooping crane habitat in Nebraska. Transmission lines are the number one cause of mortality among whooping cranes. Industrial wind developers needed the transmission line to expand their turbines across the fragile Sand Hills ecosystem;
  • Two weeks ago, environmentalists in Hawaii urged the state’s Supreme Court to overturn a decision by the state to approve an industrial wind project that threatened seven endangered native bird species: the nene, pueo, a‘o, koloa maoli, ae‘o, ‘alae ke‘oke‘o, and ‘alae ‘ula.
In their plan, Democrats identify as a high priority the creation of a “super grid” consisting of transmission lines like the one proposed for the largely pristine Sand Hills of Nebraska, which would have a 3.5-mile buffer and cross 600 individual wetlands.

The wind industry claims house cats kill more birds than wind turbines. But cats mainly kill small, common birds like sparrows, robins, and jays, whereas wind turbines kill large, threatened, slow-to-reproduce species like hawks, eagles, owls, and condors.

The rapidly spinning blades of wind turbines act like an apex predator that big birds never evolved to deal with.

And because big birds have much lower reproductive rates than small birds, their deaths have a far greater impact on the overall population of the species.

For example, golden eagles will have just one or two chicks in a brood, and usually, less than once a year, whereas a songbird like a robin could have up to two broods of three to seven chicks each year.

The renewable industry claims technical innovations will improve solar and wind — but in reality, nothing can change the lower power density of sunlight and wind.

Even a 10% improvement in the efficiency of solar panels would only slightly reduce the staggering amount of land required to produce the same amount of energy: from 400 times more land than nuclear to 360 times more.

And over the last decade, the vast majority of installed solar panels have only become 2-3% more efficient.

Solar and wind farms around the world require at least 300-400 times more land on average than natural gas or nuclear plant to produce the same quantity of energy, a calculation easy to make using Google maps.

Vaclav Smil, a widely-respected energy scholar praised by Bill Gates(among others), concluded that it would take 25-50% of all land in the US to go 100% renewable. Today, the US uses just 0.5% of its land for energy.

In 2009, Cambridge physicist David MacKay showed that providing all the UK’s energy with 100% renewables would require a greater area than the landmass of the entire country.

By occupying large areas of migratory habitat, wind turbines have also emerged as one of the greatest threats to large, threatened, and high-conservation value birds.

In May, two wind industry workers in Ohio watched in horror as a wind turbine sliced off the wing of a bald eagle, instantly killing it.

“I was opposed to those windmills from the start because of the impact they could have on wildlife,” said a local activist. “I had been out to California about twenty years ago and saw the carcasses on the ground under the wind turbines.”

Now, wind energy threatens one of America’s most iconic birds.

“Look at the whooping crane,” said Linowes. “With just 235 whooping cranes in the wild, their gene pool is very limited. A rule of thumb is that you need at least a thousand individuals to make sure the gene pool will grow and so you don’t get inbreeding and lose diversity.”

“The Nebraska Sandhills are the most beautiful and environmentally fragile area of the state,” said Tony Baker, a legislative aide to State Sen. Tom Brewer, an opponent of the R-Line project. ”It would leave a scar that you can see from space. You cannot fix things that you do to the Sandhills.”

Save the Sandhills is fighting the R-Line while another group, Preserve the Sandhills, is fighting the expansion of hundreds of industrial wind turbines.

“A take is one thing but this is not just a take,” said the attorney for the conservationists, Bill Eubanks, who temporarily halted the R-Line. “We’re talking about the project impacting the species’ entire existence, impeding their recovery. It’s a scary proposition.”

Conservationists express fear and even grief at the prospects of industrial wind being imposed on local ecosystems.

“The whole ecosystem is declining,” said a Lake Erie ornithologist about the scuttled project. “Let’s not add another threat on top of that.”

“Killing these manu [birds] would deprive current and future generations of a necessary part of their natural environment and, for native Hawaiians, a vital resource for traditional and customary practices. That is deeply troubling,” said Dr. Tēvita O. Ka‘ili, a Hawaiian professor of cultural anthropology.

“The environmental impacts are largely irrelevant to wind developers,” said Kevon Martis. “How else can one explain Pattern Energy’s attempt to build twenty-four turbines on the banks of the Yellowstone River? Or RES Americas’ plan to construct turbines overlooking Lake Superior’s Keweenaw Bay?”

As the ecological impacts of industrial wind energy become more visible, renewable energy promoters are pushing industrial solar farms.

But the achievable power density of a solar farm is up to 50 watts of electricity per square meter, with solar farms in northern nations like Germany achieving about a tenth of that.

By contrast, the power density of natural gas and nuclear plants ranges from 2,000 to 6,000 watts per square meter

And building a solar farm is a lot like building any other kind of industrial facility. You have to clear the whole area of wildlife.

In some places such as Texas, where white-nose syndrome, a deadly fungus, has only recently arrived, wind turbines are the single greatest threat to bats.

“There are no other well-documented threats to populations of migratory tree bats that cause mortality of similar magnitude to that observed at wind turbines,” one scientist wrote.

“The wind industry is well aware of the problem yet vigorously resists even modest mitigations known to reduce bat mortality at operating wind facilities,” said Linowes. “The result is that many of our bat species are on a path to extinction.”

In many cases, environmentalists find themselves fighting groups like the Sierra Club, which accept funding from natural gas and renewable interests and advocate industrial wind projects like the one proposed for Lake Erie.

But some local activists are hopeful, in part based on past successes.

“In the cases of the Yellowstone River and Keweenaw Bay,” Martis said, “locals had to intervene to protect those wild places from industrial wind encroachment. Absent those efforts, those wild places would be despoiled.”

“If we stop the R-Project,” said Nebraska conservationist Tyler Rath, “we will stop a lot of wind development, especially in sensitive areas, and save a lot of habitat for endangered species.”

It is notable that many of the conservationists defending wildlife from industrial wind turbines and transmission lines view the Democrats’ refurbished Green New Deal and its call for the “rapid deployment” of wind and transmission lines not as a climate dream but rather as an ecological nightmare.

This isn’t the first time Democrats have shown a willingness to sacrifice wildlife for the wind industry.

In 2013, the Obama administration gave the wind industry permission to kill condors, an endangered species. No other industry is allowed to kill condors.

Will such concerns move Congressional Democrats? It’s hard to say. Climate change has completely overshadowed the conservation concerns that used to be so important to the Democratic Party.

Michael Shellenberger was Time Magazine’s “Hero of the Environment,” Green Book Award Winner, and President of Environmental Progress, a research and policy organization. He is also the author of several bestselling books., his latest being Apocalypse Never.

Read more at Forbes
 

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