you didn't answer what you do for the remainder of games, you are guaranteed 10 games, what happens to the remainder of games? Depending on the week, theres still 3-6 games left.
This is what we would've done for week 13.
Yes, If you go and make out 32 cards, guarantee 9 games. 6 left to pick. So you pick NE, GB and NO.
So far we've spent $2560. We are guaranteed 9 games, and we've chosen NE, GB and NO.
Now there are 3 games left to pick, say we go PIT, SF and NYJ.
So for our Pro Pools card to win, we need NE, GB, NO, PIT, SF and NYJ to win.
Assuming we think it is unlikely that NE, GB and NO will lose, we do nothing with them.
We now can hedge our bets offshore, betting on the opposing teams of PIT, SF, NYJ. We would need to calculate how much to bet on all 3 to cover our original $2560 + our 3 cover bets on PIT, SF , NYJ. If we do this, the only way we can lose $$ is if NE, GB or NO lose, or the Pro Pools payout is lower than what we spend.
So what it all comes down to, is what do you think the payout will be? Even if you don't cover any games, the cost is only $2,560, and we'd need to pick 6 games, or $5,120 and pick 5 games. Yes that's a good chunk of $$, but you're odds of winning just increased dramatically.