Liberal lead solidifying
- Thread starter nottyboi
- Start date
But we can agree on 1 thing. The only poll that counts happens on election day.
That's wildly out of line to what other pollsters are now showing - which is a LPC lead of 6 to 10% in decided voters.
When they are not in favour of what you want, of course....
It's all fake news from the Deep State. President Trump really won in 2020 and won over 97% of the vote in 2024. (A few illegal aliens and trans people voted against him, that's all.)
All real citizens who aren't gang members and pedophiles always vote for the right wing option. Like in North Korea and Russia
I would just say unreliable. Here's the thing. Conservatives typically don't respond to polls. They work hard for a living. These polling companies have been calling me daily but I don't answer.
I stopped getting the calls when I blocked the number.
Libs don't work? I would think Conservatives are standing with a sign reading FUCK TRUDEAU or Vaccines will kill waiving it loud and proud on a bridge? LOL
Fake is the wrong word. The pollsters use the word "weighted ". Which is essentially defined as, they nudge the numbers a bit by what they perceived might be bias due to various factors. So they are in fact changing them.
As well some just try to keep the numbers within the margin of error so they can say they were right despite being wrong.
Next is a section of the population who may lie, or refuse to engage. Add in generally small sample sizes and that's why you sometimes see 4-5 error margins. That is in fact up to a 10% allowable swing.
Finally they are a snapshot of the moment. Interesting but things change quickly.
And when you don`t answer, they mark you down as Liberal?
Last I know, polls were based on people who answered.
An increased % willing to express their view may trend toward liberal. It seems polling has been off by 5% or so in many areas. Especially in national polling.
Who answers matters.
PP was leading by far. They change the leader on the other side, and suddenly the other side leads by far. That is the reality right now.
In all fairness squeeze, you were posting endless polls showing Harris in the lead and as we got closer still holding on to a slight lead. You seemed to be oddly giddy at that time.
No two countries' elections are the same. It is however interesting that Canada has a similar circumstance that the incumbent drops out and his successor sees a party resurgence. Clearly, Carney has the advantage of a snap election.
So since you asked a question above, you deserve an answer. Apparently a really important question since you used two question marks.
Most everyone knows, whether they admit it or not, polls can have serious problems measuring sentiment in a contentious election. So are they "fake", no not really staying true to the definition of fake. I think when polling has been volatile and you have a relatively tight race the best indicator could be the trend line. So I would be watching to see if the Conservatives start trending higher through April.
