is it a good time to sell gold?

nottyboi

Well-known member
May 14, 2008
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To me all th reasons to buy are still there, inflation risk especially. I think the dip is seasonal and also due to the olympics
 

danmand

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Nov 28, 2003
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cyberdoc said:
I have a huge medical practice. The 10th largest, in my specialty in the United States. I train visiting students from Canada--roughly 10% of Canadian students in my specialty will come to the US to train with me, as well as US students.

That being said, I make a great deal more money trading gold than through my medical practice. I have traded markets for almost 25 years. I moved into the gold market in a big way in 2001 when it was in the low 250 area. I would not be a seller of gold at these levels, but a buyer. I see maximum downside potential to 750, now trading at 793.50 as I write. The dollar rally is overdone,
with rsi well above 70. I expect the dollar will not be able to surpass 77.80--note how far it is from the moving averages.
http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=NYBOT_DX&t=f
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$USD&p=D&yr=0&mn=11&dy=0&id=p35204865682&a=94518854&listNum=4&listNum=4
(I am giving you some of my indicators with the second chart).You will have to cut and paste them.

Trust me if you will. I am an extremely well known surgeon in my field. I am known internationally for my surgical skills, and I give lectures, and do charitable cases around the world. However, I would venture to say, that I am as well known, in the financial world. I am a consultant to numerous hedge funds, and I have been quoted in several financial publications.

I expect a dollar reversal within 1-5 trading days, which will bring it back to the 75 level, and which should move gold between 860-870. By the end of the year, gold should be 1000 at a minimum.

Gold chart, for your review:

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$GOLD&p=W&yr=10&mn=0&dy=0&id=p58452062406&a=118829628
I would not dare to disagree with such a distinguised member of Terb. And actually,
I agree that the fundamentals for gold are good, and that we will see Gold
return to at least the 950 level.

Then again, it is never a good idea to go against a market move.
 
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Gyaos

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Aug 17, 2001
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Heaven, definately Heaven
Best time to sell was when oil hit $140.00. It peaked at $147.00. I sold all my silver at $16.50 (it's now $14.something). Bought it at $5.00.

The issue is finding a buyer in a bear. Harder to do. You have to find a buyer near the peak of a bull.

Don't trust the "experts". Go with your gut. I say, buy it when there's a sign the US will issue another stimulus alert or try to print more cash. Otherwise, Bush is out, Obama is in and commodities collapse.

Gyaos.
 

kbluejayk

Active member
Oct 26, 2003
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Gold still a good investment! Many experts recommend that you should still keep 20% of your liquid assets in gold.
 

dcbogey

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Sep 29, 2004
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cyberdoc said:
I have a huge medical practice. The 10th largest, in my specialty in the United States. I train visiting students from Canada--roughly 10% of Canadian students in my specialty will come to the US to train with me, as well as US students.

That being said, I make a great deal more money trading gold than through my medical practice. I have traded markets for almost 25 years. I moved into the gold market in a big way in 2001 when it was in the low 250 area. I would not be a seller of gold at these levels, but a buyer. I see maximum downside potential to 750, now trading at 793.50 as I write. The dollar rally is overdone,
with rsi well above 70. I expect the dollar will not be able to surpass 77.80--note how far it is from the moving averages.
http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=NYBOT_DX&t=f
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$USD&p=D&yr=0&mn=11&dy=0&id=p35204865682&a=94518854&listNum=4&listNum=4
(I am giving you some of my indicators with the second chart).You will have to cut and paste them.

Trust me if you will. I am an extremely well known surgeon in my field. I am known internationally for my surgical skills, and I give lectures, and do charitable cases around the world. However, I would venture to say, that I am as well known, in the financial world. I am a consultant to numerous hedge funds, and I have been quoted in several financial publications.

I expect a dollar reversal within 1-5 trading days, which will bring it back to the 75 level, and which should move gold between 860-870. By the end of the year, gold should be 1000 at a minimum.

Gold chart, for your review:

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$GOLD&p=W&yr=10&mn=0&dy=0&id=p58452062406&a=118829628

Do you trade bullion, gold certificates, the producers, or a combination?
 

Bear669

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Apr 9, 2006
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In general, I agree with..

newtohobby said:
is it gonna go down more or go back up?
..Cyberdoc. BUT it you are not going to become an expert in markets & money, just buy and hold.

As a very wise man told me many years ago: Keep 10% of your wealth in gold bullion (maybe some silver) as getaway money, or the ultimate hedge against the world going to hell.

For more conventional purposes (5 yr + investment) gold is ok,but the best investments are Canadian oil, oil sands, natural gas and tungsten.
 

S.C. Joe

Client # 13
Nov 2, 2007
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cyberdoc said:
A buy and hold strategy for gold and silver is fine.

Not for those who brought gold in the late 70's, they just finally broke even or pulled ahead--after over 25 years.


Well then I guess so, as long as 25+ years is ok with you.


I think golds a gamble, could go back up and make new highs soon or it could be in for a long term slide. My dumb gut feeling is its on its way back down---but then I thought gas would be $2 a US gallon by the election--thats only 2 1/2 months away....it going to have start felling really fast, lol.
 

bullwinkle

Member
Jan 17, 2004
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Technically if it breaks below 770, its probly going to ~685 before a reasonable bounce and if this recession turns into a deflation, all bets are off
 

nottyboi

Well-known member
May 14, 2008
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bullwinkle said:
Technically if it breaks below 770, its probly going to ~685 before a reasonable bounce and if this recession turns into a deflation, all bets are off
The most recent US inflation report was 5.6% which is pretty astounding. It has been quite a while since we have seen inflation at that level. Also, it is possible the Fed may resume cuts as the economy declines. Right now, is also a time of seasonal strength for the US$, don't count on it dropping. I moved some of my US$ back to CDN$ and will move the rest soon. This is alot of euphoria over the bailout of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac by Uncle Sam, bailouts= inflation as they are essentialy printing money. Also, don't think by any means that the liquidity crisis is over.
 

Mia.Colpa

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Dec 6, 2005
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cyberdoc said:
I have traded markets for almost 25 years. I moved into the gold market in a big way in 2001 when it was in the low 250 area. I would not be a seller of gold at these levels, but a buyer. I see maximum downside potential to 750, now trading at 793.50 as I write. The dollar rally is overdone,
with rsi well above 70. I expect the dollar will not be able to surpass 77.80--note how far it is from the moving averages.
http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=NYBOT_DX&t=f
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$USD&p=D&yr=0&mn=11&dy=0&id=p35204865682&a=94518854&listNum=4&listNum=4
(I am giving you some of my indicators with the second chart).You will have to cut and paste them.


I expect a dollar reversal within 1-5 trading days, which will bring it back to the 75 level, and which should move gold between 860-870. By the end of the year, gold should be 1000 at a minimum.

Gold chart, for your review:

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$GOLD&p=W&yr=10&mn=0&dy=0&id=p58452062406&a=118829628
Hey doc, is it not possible that the dollar is in a trend reversal and the averages will catch up? It's been great going long on the dollar the past several days, I know it doesn't make sense when looking at the economic indicators but relatively speaking Europe is doing that great either.

Also, do you think the bottom is 750 for gold? Why? Major support level? Which chart are you using to say the max downside is 750?

btw, your handle should be Goldendoc. :D
 

bullwinkle

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Jan 17, 2004
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Global Demand destruction is just beginning and so equities will be tanking as well ..

For most of us cash will be king for the forseeable future ..
 

Bear669

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As I said...

S.C. Joe said:
Not for those who brought gold in the late 70's, they just finally broke even or pulled ahead--after over 25 years.


Well then I guess so, as long as 25+ years is ok with you.


I think golds a gamble, could go back up and make new highs soon or it could be in for a long term slide. My dumb gut feeling is its on its way back down---but then I thought gas would be $2 a US gallon by the election--thats only 2 1/2 months away....it going to have start felling really fast, lol.
"...Keep 10% of your wealth in gold bullion (maybe some silver) as getaway money, or the ultimate hedge against the world going to hell."

Depending where you lived since the 1970s, you may not have needed getaway money. So far (at least) the world has not totally:rolleyes: gone to hell.

Think of the 10% as insurance, generally a lousy investment, but it does have its benefits.
 

nottyboi

Well-known member
May 14, 2008
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Cyberdoc your input on gold? Man I am bleeding!!!

I wonder if we are near bottom yet, but MAN have I taken a beating.
 

Meister

Well-known member
Apr 17, 2003
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I think a lot depends on the US and European economy. If US is going to continue to go slow the Europeans will go into a recession also. That will further strengthen an oversold dollar against the Euro. And as such Gold will fall a bit further.

If the Europeans can wriggle themselves away from the US market and avoid recession then the Euro will strengthen again and the dollar will be in the 1.55 Euro range again. Gold would then rise again.
 
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