Nobody here really knows anything, therefore I think the results are meaningless. Even our opinion/guess means nothing as there will be no correlation between it and the final outcome. People's responses to an election poll are relevant as it is asking some of the same people who will actually be voting and determining the outcome. It may be a predictor.
A discussion of this topic will most likely bring up some interesting points/perspectives, but the actual result of the poll is useless.
Not picking on you in particular WEM as there lots and lots of these same type on polls on TERB. I've been meaning to say something for some time and it just happened to be now.
So asking the interesting questions as you did in your post is great to stimulate a discussion but the poll itself, not so useful.