According to history, inflation started in the mid sixties, a decade and a half before Carter was blamed for it. Fed Chairman Paul Volcker cured the problem with a one-two punch, inducing a recession, then expanding the money supply, creating an expanding economy which Reagan caught in an upswing. Just thought i'd mention that, in case there was any confusion.onthebottom said:Let's remeber that Jimmy Carter handed Ronald Reagan 12% unemployment and 19% interest rates.....
In an interesting note, it seems Ole Reagan is schooling the young Obama on his transition - his (Reagan's) is widely considered the best yet.
So, how do we score the "Change" factor on moving a conservative Orthodox Israeli supporter into the Chief of Staff Job?
I say Obama scores 0 change points on the blind-support-of-Israel policy.
OTB
Repercussions of deficit spending on Vietnam war, '70's OPEC oil price shocks created the scenario. US still had a manufacturing base back then. With this 2009 crash we sail into a completely uncharted waters.
A better parallel is the crash of 1873. The economic fundamentals of global trade went thru a shake up when the US took over the European wheat market, underselling Russia and Central Europe. There was a real estate bubble in Europe, collapse triggered a banking crisis, then an industry crash in US.
http://chronicle.com/temp/reprint.php?id=477k3d8mh2wmtpc4b6h07p4hy9z83x18
In other news, Paul Krugman was on CNN tonight talking about the need for an 800 billion stimulus per year for the next few years to get thru this 'thing' , as they called it on Lou Dobbs.
"KRUGMAN: There's a line economists sometimes use. You don't have to fill a flat tire through the hole. We don't have to reflate the things that were over-inflated and collapsed. But we do need -- we can do a lot. Again, infrastructure, we can do a lot of spending -- it's not easy. But -- and nobody says we're going to bring prosperity. We're really just talking about trying to minimize the damage. "
Obama inherits an economy which has been hollowed out and is in a state of collapse, unlike Reagan's Volcker-granted 7 years of prosperity. Obama will get a plan and then spend his way along a dark, possibly long tunnel. I don't see daylight in the picture 4 years from now.