Yes, but even that itself is a narrative and not proof. It didn't help for academic virologists to rush to answer the call and state that it wasn't a lab leak when they had doubts privately. Then the entire social media platforms censoring the lab leak theory was a fiasco.
Why was there so much effort expended to try to push the public towards a disputable conclusion?
There wasn't really.
There was a LOT of effort to push the lab leak and a lot of it was mixed in with obvious bullshit.
Even the Proximal Origins paper acknowledges lab leak can't be ruled out and calls for more investigations, but it got demonized anyway.
Which puts a lot of context to their discussions about how whatever they write will be used in bad faith given the political environment.
All we have right now is the evidence we have found.
That still - even more so today - supports the zoonotic transfer more than the lab escape, but doesn't rule a good handful of the various lab escape theories out. (Some of them have become less and less likely.)
Really, you should read that NYTimes piece, its long but does a pretty good job of showing the timeline and summarizing what has and hasn't been found.
I'm not sure what it is about our time, but it seems as if our institutions grab for the most convenient answers and even double-down on them when necessary. Perhaps this was always the case in the past, but the internet can cast doubts far, wide and quickly. I think these questions of natural origin deserved more attention from the beginning.
I agree.
The natural origin (which was
deeply embarrassing for China) should have been allowed to be investigated thoroughly and completely from the start, but that's all too late now.
As for the "institutions grab for convenient answers", yes, this has always been true.
It takes a lot of effort to fight that because the population tends not to like messy answers and that makes the institutions behave even worse because they start tailoring their answers to anticipate the fact that the general population won't like a messy answer.
It's a vicious cycle.