Canadian Politicians Need to Get Bold and Capitalize on Class Warfare

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Canadian Politicians Need to Get Bold and Capitalize on Class Warfare
Justin Ling

By Justin Ling

January 11, 2016

Was it Marx—or the philosopher Gob?—who once theorized: "90K a year buys nothing but complaints."

Either way, their thesis remains as true now as it was then: "While the boss gets richer [we] get deeper in debt!"

Truer words were never spoken.

Canada is on the brink of the most inflamed, entrenched, and ignored level of income inequality in a century. Wages for many are stagnant, while income for nearly everybody else isn't rising as fast as those fatcats at the top. Wealth is beginning to pool at the top as the yacht-owners, Tesla-drivers, and dental insurance-havers all stuff their wads of cash into their mattresses and into the mouths of their oddly-named children.

And that [deep breath] is why Justin Trudeau got elected.

The prime minister swore that he would hike taxes on the rich, cut them for the Middle Class™, and tackle income inequality.

Here's the problem: Trudeau's policies are a long way off from being the sort of egalitarian quick fix that he billed them to be.

And while Canada's isn't quite (yet?) slipping down the Crisco-lubricated slope to hell like some of the deeply unequal states in Europe, there's a growing feeling in the country that things aren't working the way they're supposed to.

That means there's going to be a big gap for some other leader to step in, exploit that discontent, and say they will fix this shit themselves.

The only question now: will it be the leader of the NDP, or the leader of the Conservatives?

How bad is it?
Pretty bad.

Canada's Gini coefficient—the numerical representation of the income gap between the economy's richest earners and your high school class—is above that of every European country, except the United Kingdom. The richest 20 percent of the country makes twice as much as the next 20 percent, three times as much as the middle 20, four times as much as the next 20, and nine times more than the poorest 20 percent. And that's after our supposedly progressive tax system evens everything out.

But is income inequality really a problem?
OK, no, not really.

Every time I say this, I get a flood of angry emails and tweets quoting Joseph Stiglitz, who I assume is either a rap producer or an economist. But emails be damned.

Despite DJ Stiglitz's calculations, and however many stories get published in the Toronto Star, there's not a whole lot of proof that income inequality is, in and of itself, a problem. It's possible that it could reduce confidence in the economy and the government, and it's quite likely that it's a symptom of other problems in an economy, but it's not a sure thing that wage disparity actually does any harm. That is: it correlates with bad things, but it doesn't cause them, necessarily.

Everyone in the economy could be making 10 percent more, year-over-year, but the top one-percent could be earning 11 percent more. There, the Gini coefficient would grow, despite the fact that everybody is doing a-OK.

At the end of the day, it's really more of a symbolic problem. You want people to feel like they're getting a fair shake, and you want to make sure that you're maximizing your tax intake (within reason). You also want to get that money circulating through the economy.

How do you do that?
Well, you could re-jig income tax levels, close tax loopholes, draw up new rich-people taxes, or release luxury wolves to hunt down anyone worth over $10 million.

What is Trudeau planning?
A very weak version of that, minus the wolves.

Obviously, the biggest change will be the creation of a new tax bracket for every dollar earned over $200,000. Those gold-plated captains of industry will be paying a new rate of 33 percent. Meanwhile, the tax rate for income between $44,700 and $89,401 will drop slightly. Tax benefits for families with spawn will be means-tested, so lower-income families will benefit the most.

Those measures will slow, and maybe even reverse, the trend of inequality. It will go nowhere near bringing Canada towards the egalitarian utopia that some would prefer.

But, hey, again, maybe that's OK. Maybe we don't need government to socially engineer an economy. Maybe we can let things work themselves out.

But....
But then again, economic inequality spills over into social inequality, which spins into a political motivation for many voters. Even if it's basically envy and jealousy, it drives cash, votes, and people yelling.

Trudeau won his election by tapping into that dissatisfaction. He promised to hike taxes, and spend the country out of financial mediocrity. Coded language made clear to Joey Sweatshirt that this is for you. This cash won't end up in ol' Thomas Tracksuit's Italian leather wallet. No. This is for you. My friend. You.

Liberals, in hushed tones that turned to gleeful cackles between the beginning and end of the campaign, fretted that someone else would figure this out. They figured Thomas Mulcair would promise a new income tax for the One Percent, or vow to melt down all rich people into a fine chocolate that would be exported, with the proceeds going towards stock car races, or whatever it is the people like these days.

But the NDP did no such thing. They ran a campaign promising the plebs that things would stay, ultimately, the same. No new taxes. No class warfare.

Stalwarts of the left and right alike are maddeningly bad at figuring this out. In America, where the problem is magnified to an even greater degree than it is in Canada—and where public trust in government and the economy is fast approaching absolute zero—the mainstream of both sides of the political divide grab their hair and moan: Donald Trump! Bernie Sanders! Politics is screwed up.

Donald Trump! Bernie Sanders! They are very different.
Yes. But they are mainlining the exact same political heroin.

Donald Trump has honed in on the rural and post-industrial poor with inspired salvos against the timed-tested American scarecrows of immigration and those-bums-in-Washington. Bernie Sanders has offered a hail mary pass to masters-degree-having urban lower-class and the union agitants who have long believed that the evils of Wall Street and corporate America could be dismantled if only they had the right political savior.

But both sides will tell you that the problem with America—nay, the world—is that politicians keep politicianing, and that the rich get richer while Joe America gets deeper in debt.

Trudeau caught that current in the most happy-go-lucky way possible, choosing to phrase his class warfare as a national-building exercise in fairness and equality, instead of opening fire against the fatcats.

But that means there's room for someone else to do exactly that.

The only question now is whether it'll be the NDP, or the Conservatives.

Oh.
Yeah.

However, both opposition parties are currently going through a bit of a self-immolation.

The NDP, still—somehow—helmed by the the Great Bearded Blunder, Thomas Mulcair, have doubled down on middledom, and seem lost for cause. The question of: why does the NDP still exist? has no clear answer with Trudeau in the driver's seat. ("We're no longer new, We're certainly not democratic. And no one is having a party anywhere," Ontario MPP Cheri Dinovo told the Toronto Star.) To give it one, Mulcair, or the malcontent that displaces him, needs to give the NDP a cri du coeur once more. Higher taxes on the rich, a guaranteed minimum income, a new national rail plan, nationalizing the banks — the buffet of aggressive policy options is the NDP's to parooze through. All it will take is a political spine to push it past the naysayers.

For the Conservatives, they have a choice to make.

They could find a traditionally small-c conservative, working-class hero persona to put on. A new, broad, negative income tax. Maybe a flat tax. Increased tax credits and benefits that—unlike Stephen Harper's freak show of tax code violations—benefit the poor and working class over the upper middle class and rich. An industrial action plan to get the workers working again.

Or, they could Trump out and blame the damn immigrants, and fire off at a bunch of potshots at some political strawmen besides the One Percent. That option is pretty odious, and I wouldn't recommend it.

Alternatively, both parties could continue down their current paths, and try to convince the public that they don't actually care about economic equality. Good luck with that.

This sounds dangerous.
Not really.

Trudeau won a decisive victory, a come-from-behind surprise upset, thanks to optimistic messaging and broad vision. Quibble with the characterization of his campaign platform as being actually bold or significant—and quibble vigorously you should—but it certainly looked exciting. Latching onto the Liberal campaign, you believed that things would change. You believed that the crap things you've always wanted to see become good again (the CBC, e.g.) will become great again.

But those things will continue to suck. You will continue to go bald. Inequality will continue to exist. You will continue to see dead pigeons on the side of the road. People will continue to kill each other over stupid shit. You will continue to think the economy is unfair.

The imperative for the future leadership of the NDP and Conservative Party will be to look at those problems and figure out the most ambitious, broad, mind-numbingly obvious solution, then sell it to Canadians.

It's a disservice to the country to have one party offer a set of solutions, only to have its two opponents sit back and nay-say. We need three radically specific and individual political parties, each proposing actual reform.

Currently, we only have one.

http://www.vice.com/en_ca/read/canadian-politicians-need-to-get-bold-and-capitalize-on-class-warfare?utm_source=vicefbca
 

Polaris

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Things maybe worst than we thought.

This argument of economic inequality, seems to deflect attention to what ails the middle class.

A starting point to simplify things, incomes are not growing for the middle class.

One reason for that in Ontario is economic growth at 1%. The government predicts 2%, so that will mean 1%. At 1% growth, the pie is not growing.

Since taxes are going up, thanks to John Tory and Liberal Wynne with her sneaky taxing programs, whatever wage increase Joe Blow gets, Jane Blow is taxed, leaving the Blow couple exactly where they started.

Where they started, is more common now is deep in debt.

Low growth if at all, & high taxes. All this means the middle class does not have a chance.

A couple of things the government can try, is ideologically impossible. Therefore, things maybe worst than we thought.
 

Polaris

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Being deep in debt, that is a symptom of overspending.

Or alternatively, being deep in debt means low income or stagnant incomes.

That's why people's motivations are hard to understand.

Go to any apartment block or average looking condo.

You find people such recent immigrants or average worker, they could be in debt, they pay rent which is expensive, no savings, live paycheque to paycheque.

Under those circumstances, a significant tax cut, will certainly help those good folks. But that won't happen. It's all about income inequality and the rich. And how Liberals will build a better society.

Oh well, I tried.

:p
 

Polaris

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Oh yeah, with the oil price collapse, and since the Canadian Loonie is virtually correlated to that, everything has gone up in price. This year, the average Joe Blow will be paying more than usual.

If Joe Blow income is stagnant, and he finds tax increases, and he finds Walmart raised it prices, geez, he just a rat on the thread mill.

That's why I don't these inequality arguments. It's very abstract.

If we attack the rich, will WTI rally dragging the Loonie along, if we attack the rich will Joe Blow get a tax cut, if we attack the rich will we see prices go down in Wal-Mart?

If we attack the rich, how does this help Joe Blow this coming year 2016?
 

Polaris

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Actually, there is a very interesting idea out there in the financial markets, that a few voices say deflationary pressures could be building in the world economy.

This is beyond the comprehension of Joe Blow, as this is even more abstract, but if it happens the effects will be very real, and potentially devastating.

You know, I actually like Trudeau the son. Wynne is a nice person, but completely over her head, and with an ego 100x her dick. What they should do is stop smiling like that.

The more pain Joe Blow endures, and the more they smile like that, that just seems like the political leadership is completely out to lunch in this country.
 

Polaris

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Oct 11, 2007
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It's a disservice to the country to have one party offer a set of solutions, only to have its two opponents sit back and nay-say. We need three radically specific and individual political parties, each proposing actual reform.

Currently, we only have one.

http://www.vice.com/en_ca/read/canadian-politicians-need-to-get-bold-and-capitalize-on-class-warfare?utm_source=vicefbca
In economics, in various models, you make assumptions.

Here, there are two assumptions being made, even though this is not economic but political article.

First assumption is that government or political party will provide all the ideas to move society forward. Actually, this is not assumption, this is ideology.

Second assumption is that people will actually understand anything. There is actually some economic theory about that, but enough economics for one night.
 

jcpro

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The income inequality debate is a side issue. It sounds good, but it's so well embraced by the left because they are convinced that they can use political will to skin the rich. There are two problems with that. First of all, in Canada, we've had high taxes on the "rich" for a long time. There's a limit how much higher can the tax be raised before it becomes counterproductive. And the second, larger problem is, taking more from the affluent does not change anything for the low income and the middle class. It's just optics. The problem is, the people who want to fight the class war have absolutely no clue how to come up with policies that benefit the low and the middle class. Their answer is more social spending, always. Unfortunately, those, while nice to have, are always paid by the middle class and contribute nothing to the economic growth. And that ensures that the poor stay poor, the middle class spins their wheels. Lack of the economic growth and opportunities for the majority should be the focus and at the center of our political agenda and not pointless politics of envy that produce zero results.
 

fuji

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Income inequality once it eventually becomes extreme is ultimately a threat to democracy, and when we eventually lose political equality I think arguably growth too bogs down.

So jcpro, what would you suggest we do to avoid the creation of a new aristocracy?
 

Frankfooter

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The income inequality debate is a side issue. It sounds good, but it's so well embraced by the left because they are convinced that they can use political will to skin the rich. There are two problems with that. First of all, in Canada, we've had high taxes on the "rich" for a long time. There's a limit how much higher can the tax be raised before it becomes counterproductive. And the second, larger problem is, taking more from the affluent does not change anything for the low income and the middle class. It's just optics. The problem is, the people who want to fight the class war have absolutely no clue how to come up with policies that benefit the low and the middle class. Their answer is more social spending, always. Unfortunately, those, while nice to have, are always paid by the middle class and contribute nothing to the economic growth. And that ensures that the poor stay poor, the middle class spins their wheels. Lack of the economic growth and opportunities for the majority should be the focus and at the center of our political agenda and not pointless politics of envy that produce zero results.
Canada has moderate taxes on the rich, and for the last few decades that has been going down, with the middle class and the poor paying a higher share over the years.
A new study shows that countries are just happier if there is less of a divide between rich and poor, and that includes the happiness of the rich.

Income Inequality Makes Whole Countries Less Happy

We examined data from the Gallup World Poll and the World Top Incomes Database and found that the more income is concentrated in the hands of a few, the more likely individuals are to report lower levels of life satisfaction and more negative daily emotional experiences. That is, the higher the share of national income that is held by the top 1%, the lower the overall well-being of the general population. Specifically, we found that a 1% increase in the share of taxable income held by the top 1% hurts life satisfaction as much as a 1.4% increase in the country-level unemployment rate.
https://hbr.org/2016/01/income-inequality-makes-whole-countries-less-happy
 

jcpro

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Our current federal and provincial governments have the power to end income inequality today. It's only a matter of using their majority to pass the required legislation. They can do it to the individuals and corporations. Lets suppose they did it, already. The corporate tax went way high. The personal is at 90%, the death tax, capital gains, new taxes on currency mobility, all way up, etc. The CRA just gained $10B-%18B. Now what?
 

jcpro

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Income inequality once it eventually becomes extreme is ultimately a threat to democracy, and when we eventually lose political equality I think arguably growth too bogs down.

So jcpro, what would you suggest we do to avoid the creation of a new aristocracy?
I would suggest to you, which is probably a waste of time, to stop living in the American universe and take a long, careful look at the Canadian numbers(NUMBERS).
 

fuji

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I would suggest to you, which is probably a waste of time, to stop living in the American universe and take a long, careful look at the Canadian numbers(NUMBERS).
Income inequality in Canada is not as bad, but it still is accelerating. How would you stop the acceleration of income inequality, to prevent it getting to as problematic level?
 

jcpro

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Income inequality in Canada is not as bad, but it still is accelerating. How would you stop the acceleration of income inequality, to prevent it getting to as problematic level?
I'm not concerned with the income inequality in Canada. I'm concerned with the plight of the working poor and the miserable middle class.
 

jcpro

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So you are OK with the creation of a new aristocracy.
I'm unwilling to waste time and energy on a non-issue while more than half of my fellow citizens are hanging by a thread.
 

fuji

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I'm unwilling to waste time and energy on a non-issue while more than half of my fellow citizens are hanging by a thread.
It is demonstrably an issue, you are choosing to shove your head in the sand. It has been demonstrated that income inequality is an accelerating problem and you didn't even dispute that it leads to political inequality.

Basically you don't like the tax and redistribute solution proposed by the left, but you have offered no other solution to the problem.
 

jcpro

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It is demonstrably an issue, you are choosing to shove your head in the sand. It has been demonstrated that income inequality is an accelerating problem and you didn't even dispute that it leads to political inequality.

Basically you don't like the tax and redistribute solution proposed by the left, but you have offered no other solution to the problem.
LOL! In other words you're insisting on sweeping the deck of the Titanic while she going down. It's why nobody takes you seriously, here.
 

fuji

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LOL! In other words you're insisting on sweeping the deck of the Titanic while she going down. It's why nobody takes you seriously, here.
Nonsense. The Canadian economy now is fucked because of over emphasis on oil by the outgoing economically disastrous government. I see Trudeau just gave a speech in Kitchener saying that his government will emphasize diversification in the Canadian economy, so the right things are being done there.

The fact is, we still have to confront inequality. It will become a barrier to growth in the Canadian economy as wealthy aristocratic families with low risk tolerance come to dominate both industry and the political system. We need to level the playing field so that scrappy be competitors with great ideas can unseat entrenched incumbents. That means the entrenched incumbents can't have achieved a level of power that allows them to use political influence to construct a moat around their businesses.
 

jcpro

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Nonsense. The Canadian economy now is fucked because of over emphasis on oil by the outgoing economically disastrous government. I see Trudeau just gave a speech in Kitchener saying that his government will emphasize diversification in the Canadian economy, so the right things are being done there.

The fact is, we still have to confront inequality. It will become a barrier to growth in the Canadian economy as wealthy aristocratic families with low risk tolerance come to dominate both industry and the political system. We need to level the playing field so that scrappy be competitors with great ideas can unseat entrenched incumbents. That means the entrenched incumbents can't have achieved a level of power that allows them to use political influence to construct a moat around their businesses.
Yawn...Yesterday's gibberish.
 
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