"Canada’s daily COVID-19 cases down over 70% from April peak of 3rd wave"

lenny2

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Jan 18, 2012
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"Canada’s COVID-19 infections are continuing to fall from their third wave peak, with the May long weekend seeing the lowest daily case counts since early March.


Tuesday saw just 2,506 new infections across the country. The last time cases were that low was March 1, when cases had plateaued between the winter’s second wave and the third surge in the spring.

The number also marks a 72 per cent drop from the all-time high of 9,564 new cases reported on April 15.

 

Valcazar

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Mar 27, 2014
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I would want a proper comparison to the rate of decline from last summer as well. We had a serious drop (from a lower start point) so I would want to see data on how this pattern matches up with that to get some sense of whether or not the vaccines are accelerating things.
 
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idcloak

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I would want a proper comparison to the rate of decline from last summer as well. We had a serious drop (from a lower start point) so I would want to see data on how this pattern matches up with that to get some sense of whether or not the vaccines are accelerating things.
It is hard to compare as last summer there were no variants, while now almost all the cases are from variants, which are more transmissible and people are sicker.
 

Valcazar

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It is hard to compare as last summer there were no variants, while now almost all the cases are from variants, which are more transmissible and people are sicker.
Yes but that wouldn't really be relevant for the purposes of this since I'm talking much more a general signal than trying to tease out specifics.
Every "wave" has a spike and a fall off and they are all a bit different due to the different factors involved. That said, a dramatically faster drop would be a strong signal about the effects of the vaccines since the only other variable we have a strong sense of changing is the presence of the variants and that should be pushing in the opposite direction.

If it is dropping off at about the same rate it could be a sign of any number of conflicting factors and I would be much less confident about any description of what is going on.
 

lenny2

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jcpro

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Before we start sucking each other's cocks with joy look at the statistical data. Covid- peaked in Spring of 2020 on April 20th(more or less). Guess when this year's wave peaked? Only difference is we didn't test in spring of 20. We better start shooting the second dose into arms because, if we don't, we're in for a fall shutdown. It is now 100% confirmed that Covid- in Canada follows the flu season pattern.
 

jcpro

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Really, that's the only difference you can think of. You can think deeper, give it a go.
I didn't mention the single shot because there's no need to muddy the waters. 2020 decrease happened without any vaccine. Coincidence?
 

jcpro

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lenny2

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X-Files;13500707 said:
"Canada's first-dose vaccinations surpass U.S., as American daily rate declines

...As of Friday afternoon, 48.95% of Canada’s total population has received at least one dose, according to CTVNews.ca’s vaccine tracker, compared with 48.2% of the U.S. population, as reported by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.


Update:

57% of Canadians have received a vaccination.

Only 50% of Americans as per:

https://thehill.com/policy/healthca...-population-has-received-at-least-one-dose-of

The gap increased by about 6% in just 10 days. Imagine what a month or three might bring.
 

NotADcotor

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