Bitcoin to skyrocket in 2024

stinkynuts

Super
Jan 4, 2005
7,998
2,415
113
It's incredible how slow the Fed has been to react. They were still printing money like crazy even after inflation had spiked. Now they are barely acknowledging that they a rate cut could be on the table in September, when it's been clear that inflation has come down to 2.5% from nearly 10% , and the economy has been showing cracks.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: mitchell76

Jubee

Well-known member
May 29, 2016
4,495
1,905
113
Ontario
It's incredible how slow the Fed has been to react. They were still printing money like crazy even after inflation had spiked. Now they are barely acknowledging that they a rate cut could be on the table in September, when it's been clear that inflation has come down to 2.5% from nearly 10% , and the economy has been showing cracks.
The Feds lol
fedex.jpg
 

stinkynuts

Super
Jan 4, 2005
7,998
2,415
113
A lot of people, including the bullish and experienced Bob Loukas, are having some doubt about Bitcoin. A drop to 49k was defiintely an aberration and unexpected, even given the selling off of the stock market (which recovered but Bitcoin did not).

Many are saying if Bitcoin cannot recover in the next few weeks, it's very bad. Another huge crash may be in the cards, so brace for impact.




If after the fed cuts rates, and we are in late October, and Bitcoin still hasn't rallied yet, it's a huge red flag. So far Bitcoin is nowhere near the pattern in the previous 3 cycles after having. In all 3 previous cycles, Bitcoin has either skyrocketed or gone up significantly since the halving up to this point.


Normally, Bitcoin does its own thing, and is pretty independent of external factors. However, it seems lately it is more sensitive to external events. This could be bad for Bitcoin. ETF buyers are a totally different breed from the early Bitcoin buyers as well, and are probably going to sell much more readily rather than hold long term.

The way I see it, the fed needs to cut rates aggressively before risk-on investors start pouring money in and Bitcoin can rally.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: HungSowel

sprite09

Well-known member
Aug 10, 2020
1,235
600
113
A lot of people, including the bullish and experienced Bob Loukas, are having some doubt about Bitcoin. A drop to 49k was defiintely an aberration and unexpected, even given the selling off of the stock market (which recovered but Bitcoin did not).

Many are saying if Bitcoin cannot recover in the next few weeks, it's very bad. Another huge crash may be in the cards, so brace for impact.




If after the fed cuts rates, and we are in late October, and Bitcoin still hasn't rallied yet, it's a huge red flag. So far Bitcoin is nowhere near the pattern in the previous 3 cycles after having. In all 3 previous cycles, Bitcoin has either skyrocketed or gone up significantly since the halving up to this point.


Normally, Bitcoin does its own thing, and is pretty independent of external factors. However, it seems lately it is more sensitive to external events. This could be bad for Bitcoin. ETF buyers are a totally different breed from the early Bitcoin buyers as well, and are probably going to sell much more readily rather than hold long term.

The way I see it, the fed needs to cut rates aggressively before risk-on investors start pouring money in and Bitcoin can rally.
it takes 3-6 months after halving... relax, we'll get there

the new ATH was a fakeout and really BTC should be trading around this level IMO

new ATH should be around November, if history is any indication
 
  • Like
Reactions: stinkynuts

stinkynuts

Super
Jan 4, 2005
7,998
2,415
113
I'm going to play this cycle very cautiously.

First, I'm going to use the last two cycles as a guide in terms of a timeline. The first cycle follows the exact same pattern as the other two, but is left translated, thereby making it less useful in terms of timelines. The two cycles in the graph below show how each cycle did after halving.


Looking at the last two cycles, it's remarkable how the dips and rises match up almost perfectly. I suspect that this next cycle will follow the same template.

1)Bitcoin will go up considerable until just before Christmas. Then there will be around a 30% correction. I will sell all my Bitcoin at this point for this reason, as well as to pay taxes on my gains.

2)Around January 1, Bitcoin will start to recover. I will buy back in at this point. I will miss one week of action, but by splitting the taxes I pay between two years, I will pay less, since the first $112,000 in capital gains is taxed at half the rate as the gains above $246,000. Besides, the one week after Christmas has been historically terrible for Bitcoin (timeline-wise after the halving, not for each actual Chrismas).

3)Between January 1 and March 22, Bitcoin will make an incredible run, most likely doubling or more from here ($150,000?). This is where I exit and sell all my Bitcoin (March 22).

4)After March 22, things become very unpredictable and wild. All three previous cycles differ. In the first cycle, Bitcoin continued to rise for about a month before peaking and then crashing. In the second cycle, Bitcoin continued to go up until its peak until September. In the third cycle, Bitcoin crashed and then recovered, reaching a peak in October, but the peak was almost the same as the one in March.

5)In the previous two cycles, after the early peak in March, Bitcoin fell until it bottomed in late June (June 25). This is where I will buy back some, since I believe that it's likely it will peak in the fall of 2025. Most likely I will put in around 20% of my gains.

6)From the bottom of June 25, Bitcoin made one last run until around September 27 where it peaked. This is where I sell all my Bitcoin and am done for good.

7)After Bitcoin peaks in the fall, it will crash and bottom at around Nov/Dec 2026. If you believe that Bitcoin will continue its pattern for the next cycle, this is the best time to buy. However, many are saying that the pattern will NOT repeat, and that a bear cycle is imminent.
 
Last edited:
  • Haha
Reactions: rajput

stinkynuts

Super
Jan 4, 2005
7,998
2,415
113
How do you sleep at night dude? 😂

How do any of you invested in bitcoin sleep, kudos to you guys man.
We're so used to the volatility.

But mainly you have to believe that Bitcoin will eventually go up and make an incredible run.

I believe so for the following reasons:

1)Bitcoin follows a pattern, and the pattern is almost identical each time. Whatever psychological, mathematical, or economic factors are affecting the cycle, it will be likely to repeat.
2)Bitcoin's price is determined by demand and supply. The supply of new Bitcoin is cut in half, whereas the demand will now be much greater due to ETFs and mainstream financial instiituions buying Bitcoin. As the demand increases, and people anticipate the historic cycle to repeat, the price will go up, and demand will further increase. People are greedy, and there will always be a demand for quick and easy money. Just like lottery tickets, or gambling. The demand for Bitcoin becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy or feedback loop, since the demand increases prices, which increases demand...
3)Monetary policy will be loosened and as interest rates are slashed, risky assets such as Bitcoin will increase in value due to the influx of cash.
4)The whales at the very top are very powerful and well connected. They will do everything in their power to make sure the cycle repeats so they can double or triple their wealth. They're not going to let Bitcoin NOT explode. They have the ability to maniuplate price and create hysteria through social media and bring in the masses. FOMO will be at its peak next year.
Just look at how they have now infiltrated the very top. They have essentially bribed the most powerful people in the world, including Trump and other politicans by pourin in hundreds of millions of dollars to get what what they want. That's why the Bitcoin ETFs were approved, more Bitcoin-friendly legislation is being considered, and there are less crackdowns on crypto. Crypto money has made its way into the very top level of the financial and political world. Trump and the other politicans were like puppets spitting out exactly what the crypto community wanted to hear, since they paid them to say it. Money is power.



In the end, Bitcoin is a ponzi scheme, and all ponzi schemes collapse. I would NEVER sleep easy after this cycle, that's why I'm pulling out after it. It's only a matter of time before the whole systems collapses. NFTs, meme coins such as Doge and Shibainu are outright worthless. Any new technology can replace Bitcoin at anytime, making Bitcoin worthless. The scam can only last for so long. I believe there will be a Netflix documentary about the rise and fall of crypto in the upcoming years.

 
  • Like
Reactions: Jubee

Jubee

Well-known member
May 29, 2016
4,495
1,905
113
Ontario
We're so used to the volatility.

But mainly you have to believe that Bitcoin will eventually go up and make an incredible run.

I believe so for the following reasons:

1)Bitcoin follows a pattern, and the pattern is almost identical each time. Whatever psychological, mathematical, or economic factors are affecting the cycle, it will be likely to repeat.
2)Bitcoin's price is determined by demand and supply. The supply of new Bitcoin is cut in half, whereas the demand will now be much greater due to ETFs and mainstream financial instiituions buying Bitcoin. As the demand increases, and people anticipate the historic cycle to repeat, the price will go up, and demand will further increase. People are greedy, and there will always be a demand for quick and easy money. Just like lottery tickets, or gambling. The demand for Bitcoin becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy or feedback loop, since the demand increases prices, which increases demand...
3)Monetary policy will be loosened and as interest rates are slashed, risky assets such as Bitcoin will increase in value due to the influx of cash.
4)The whales at the very top are very powerful and well connected. They will do everything in their power to make sure the cycle repeats so they can double or triple their wealth. They're not going to let Bitcoin NOT explode. They have the ability to maniuplate price and create hysteria through social media and bring in the masses. FOMO will be at its peak next year.
Just look at how they have now infiltrated the very top. They have essentially bribed the most powerful people in the world, including Trump and other politicans by pourin in hundreds of millions of dollars to get what what they want. That's why the Bitcoin ETFs were approved, more Bitcoin-friendly legislation is being considered, and there are less crackdowns on crypto. Crypto money has made its way into the very top level of the financial and political world. Trump and the other politicans were like puppets spitting out exactly what the crypto community wanted to hear, since they paid them to say it. Money is power.



In the end, Bitcoin is a ponzi scheme, and all ponzi schemes collapse. I would NEVER sleep easy after this cycle, that's why I'm pulling out after it. It's only a matter of time before the whole systems collapses. NFTs, meme coins such as Doge and Shibainu are outright worthless. Any new technology can replace Bitcoin at anytime, making Bitcoin worthless. The scam can only last for so long. I believe there will be a Netflix documentary about the rise and fall of crypto in the upcoming years.

You have the healthiest outlook on bitcoin I have ever read.
 

sprite09

Well-known member
Aug 10, 2020
1,235
600
113
How do you sleep at night dude? 😂

How do any of you invested in bitcoin sleep, kudos to you guys man.
I agree. Stinky, just dollar cost average and hodl

it will rip eventually and alt season is when you start cashing out ...like I said, nobody knows when this will happen since the timing is always different

it was q4 2017 , Jan to may in 2021, and to some extent August to November 2021 (esp for some coins like Solana, avax, metaverse coins etc )

but like i said, look for eth to make an new ATH ...you'll see in every single period as i mentioned, eth makes a new ATH, alts rip, then it's end of the bull run ...every single time
 
  • Like
Reactions: stinkynuts
Toronto Escorts