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Asteroid Headed for Earth

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Ranger68

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The odds of a hit in 2036 are currently 1 in 5,560.

It's not "likely to hit earth". ....... Unless you're the kind that likes those odds.
 
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calloway

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Ranger68 said:
The odds of a hit in 2036 are currently 1 in 5,560.

It's not "likely to hit earth". ....... Unless you're the kind that likes those odds.
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True... but those are better odds than the Maple Leafs ever winning the Stanley Cup again. :p
 
WhaWhaWha

WhaWhaWha

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Between a rock and a hard place
I'm taking bets on the asteroid hitting and paying as follows:

Hitting the planet anywhere: 6,000 to one.
Hitting France and noone else notices: 8,000 to one
Hitting the ocean and destroying coastlines around the world 11,000 to one.
Hitting Maryland and bouncing off his thick skull 13,500 to one
Deflecting off one of the 7,000,000 satellites that should be orbiting the planet by then: 1,000,000 to one

I'll hold the money until 2036. Who's in?
 
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Ranger68

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calloway said:
True... but those are better odds than the Maple Leafs ever winning the Stanley Cup again.
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Which remain MUCH better odds than the Senators ever beating the Leafs in a meaningful series.
:)
 
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Esco!

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Ranger68 said:
The odds of a hit in 2036 are currently 1 in 5,560.

It's not "likely to hit earth". ....... Unless you're the kind that likes those odds.
Click to expand...
Each person has:
1 in 20,000 odds for death in an airplane crash.
1 in 50,000 for death in a tornado
1 in 5,000 for death by electrocution
1 in 2,000 for death in a firearms accident.

You still like those 1 in 5,560 odds??? :p
 
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booboobear

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Ranger68 said:
The odds of a hit in 2036 are currently 1 in 5,560.

It's not "likely to hit earth". ....... Unless you're the kind that likes those odds.
Click to expand...

Don't forger NASA was wrong about the damage to Columbia wing . I would not feel too safe with their track r4ecord.
 
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pete58

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:) What all of you have to realize is just look around you. Technology is evolving at such a fast clip that by the year 2036 we will most likely have deep space colonie on the Moon & Mars (despite what NASA is saying today, they're just trying to minimize expectations).
As well the level at which new technology develops, doubles & triples every 5 years. Since every new development spurs even more advanced technology, the microprocesser is a case in point. Just look at five years ago compared to today.
In the next 5 maybe 10 years fusion (clean, non-polluting, non-nuclear, powerful) energy will become a reality, space based lasers that can propel rockets and destroy comets are already close to completion.
I'm thankful that I'm still young enough, that barring some unforseen circumstances in the next 20 years before I retire I will get to see incredible technologies far surpassing anything in the past 20 years.
I know, I'm a nerd, but I'm excited at the prospect.
 
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Ranger68

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Esco! said:
Each person has:
1 in 20,000 odds for death in an airplane crash.
1 in 50,000 for death in a tornado
1 in 5,000 for death by electrocution
1 in 2,000 for death in a firearms accident.

You still like those 1 in 5,560 odds???
Click to expand...
Each person has a 1 in 1 chance of dying someday, by something.

Yep - I like those 1 in 5,560 odds.
 
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Ranger68

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pete58 said:
:) What all of you have to realize is just look around you. Technology is evolving at such a fast clip that by the year 2036 we will most likely have deep space colonie on the Moon & Mars (despite what NASA is saying today, they're just trying to minimize expectations).
As well the level at which new technology develops, doubles & triples every 5 years. Since every new development spurs even more advanced technology, the microprocesser is a case in point. Just look at five years ago compared to today.
In the next 5 maybe 10 years fusion (clean, non-polluting, non-nuclear, powerful) energy will become a reality, space based lasers that can propel rockets and destroy comets are already close to completion.
I'm thankful that I'm still young enough, that barring some unforseen circumstances in the next 20 years before I retire I will get to see incredible technologies far surpassing anything in the past 20 years.
I know, I'm a nerd, but I'm excited at the prospect.
Click to expand...
Not a chance.
 
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Ranger68

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Winston said:
Yeah, but the odds of winning 54 Million in Lotto 6/49 were 1:14Million. And somebody won...

It is not a matter of IF we will be struck by a hunk of space crap, but rather WHEN again.

Mind you, if we have gone though all the fossil fuels and have not discovered a new technology, maybe thee asteroid will be doing us a favour.
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If you buy lottery tickets, you're a sucker. Plain and simple. "Somebody won". So? There are lots of times when NOBODY wins, but never mind that. Your odds of winning the 6:49 are 14 million to one. I don't think you appreciate those odds.

I'm not arguing that we WON'T be struck by something. I'm arguing that this most likely isn't it, despite the ominous title of the thread.
 
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booboobear

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Ranger68 said:
I'm not arguing that we WON'T be struck by something. I'm arguing that this most likely isn't it, despite the ominous title of the thread.
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Even if it is not likely, it IS quite possible . It would only take a slight change in orbit or some extra dark matter this many years away to change a miss of a few thousand kilometres into a hit.
 
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