I don't think Nortel is going to drop to 2.50 any time soon, sorry to disappoint.
They have sorted out their books right up until 2004. 2004 results are due this month and they will file, you can bet on that. They still made a profit in 2003, just not as much as they said they did. I can't help but wonder if they had of released "the real results" I bet that this stock would be sitting around 6 or 7 bucks right now based on the numbers they just released at the start of the week. Because of the scandle, the selling has been overdone.
The question on a lot of people's minds right now is, "How's business now?"
The entire scandle has been a drain on the company. They need to get back to work selling telecom equipment. But part of me thinks that this is kind of like Ben Johnson. Everybody does it, only Ben got nailed. In the market I think it's the same, everybody does it, Nortel got nailed.
On the plus side, they have cleaned house, they have reissued all results other than 2004, most of the board is not seeking re-election, and they are trying to get those bonuses paid back. You can bet that the results that you see from here on in will be valid.
On the down side, the market is falling, the telecom sector is still not out of the woods, and a great deal of trust has been destroyed. Further there are huge class action lawsuits (not that they ever go anywhere anyway) pending criminal investigations (Dunn, Roth and the rest, look out.)
Jim Crammer said of Nortel that he loves accounting scandles because it causes a huge drop in the stock and allows you to pick up a good deal on a solid company.
Unless Nortel is going to go broke (I don't think that it is), then long term, people will be looking back at this and kicking themselves for not buying.
The question is, is Nortel going to go broke? Would the Canadian gov't let that happen?
A couple of other dark clouds on the horizon would be the threat of delisting from the NYSE (though with the filing, that appears unlikely) and or a reverse split, which would not be good for your holdings in Nortel.
If you don't think that NT is going to go broke, then this is a buying opportunity in the long run. If NT doesn't go broke, don't think that the highest price on this stock in the next five years is going to be 4 bucks.