Liberal lead solidifying

WyattEarp

Well-known member
May 17, 2017
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And when you don`t answer, they mark you down as Liberal?

Last I know, polls were based on people who answered.
You're smarter than this post. How much I'm not sure, but smarter nonetheless.
 
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nottyboi

Well-known member
May 14, 2008
24,229
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fact is CCP has FAR too many votes concentrated in AB/SK, that is not gonna help them. AND the Libs may actually win some seats in AB !!!
 
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richaceg

Well-known member
Feb 11, 2009
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fact is CCP has FAR too many votes concentrated in AB/SK, that is not gonna help them. AND the Libs may actually win some seats in AB !!!
you guys haven't learn anything about these polls...
 

WyattEarp

Well-known member
May 17, 2017
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Fake is the wrong word. The pollsters use the word "weighted ". Which is essentially defined as, they nudge the numbers a bit by what they perceived might be bias due to various factors. So they are in fact changing them.

As well some just try to keep the numbers within the margin of error so they can say they were right despite being wrong.

Next is a section of the population who may lie, or refuse to engage. Add in generally small sample sizes and that's why you sometimes see 4-5 error margins. That is in fact up to a 10% allowable swing.

Finally they are a snapshot of the moment. Interesting but things change quickly.
Absolutely.

You might have implied it in your post. The pollsters also have to figure out who is actually going to turn out and vote.

I could picture a Canadian voter who hates Poilievre, is disappointed with ten years of Liberal rule and simply says fuck it, I won't bother to vote.
 

K Douglas

Half Man Half Amazing
Jan 5, 2005
28,205
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Room 112
And when you don`t answer, they mark you down as Liberal?

Last I know, polls were based on people who answered.
Exactly. And I think Liberals/NDP answer more polling calls than Conservatives do.
 

K Douglas

Half Man Half Amazing
Jan 5, 2005
28,205
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Room 112
Libs don't work? I would think Conservatives are standing with a sign reading FUCK TRUDEAU or Vaccines will kill waiving it loud and proud on a bridge? LOL
Comparatively speaking no. I'd bet the average Conservative works more hours in a week than the average Liberal.
 

richaceg

Well-known member
Feb 11, 2009
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Libs don't work? I would think Conservatives are standing with a sign reading FUCK TRUDEAU or Vaccines will kill waiving it loud and proud on a bridge? LOL
Wasn't that protest including stopping the lock down so people can go to work? There are no more lockdowns and look who's out there protesting everyday?
 

squeezer

Well-known member
Jan 8, 2010
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Wasn't that protest including stopping the lock down so people can go to work? There are no more lockdowns and look who's out there protesting everyday?
The same twats never stopped protesting, they just moved on to protest Justin. What is it now Ritchie? What is on your sign now?
 
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lomotil

Well-known member
Mar 14, 2004
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Oblivion
In this upcoming election, it is tremendously difficult to predict how the huge cohort of the electorate between 18 to 45, who are very less likely to watch or even read the mainstream news by television, online or the print media dinosaur., will vote!
The polls that we are seeing likely represent how the older cohort will vote because this group can be reached for polling much more easily and are more engaged politically.
The Carney lead according to most polls may have a huge margin of error .

The candidate backed by Trump, Premier Smith , and those that supported Trudeau in Quebec and Ontario may get a minority government which would destabilize Canada.

Neither Carney nor Poilievre will get a majority in all probability.
Only one poll counts ultimately though.
 
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richaceg

Well-known member
Feb 11, 2009
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The same twats never stopped protesting, they just moved on to protest Justin. What is it now Ritchie? What is on your sign now?
Where are the protests? Only democrats and liberals are protesting now...lol.
 

richaceg

Well-known member
Feb 11, 2009
15,700
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In this upcoming election, it is tremendously difficult to predict how the huge cohort of the electorate between 18 to 45, who are very less likely to watch or even read the mainstream news by television, online or the print media dinosaur., will vote!
The polls that we are seeing likely represent how the older cohort will vote because this group can be reached for polling much more easily and are more engaged politically.
The Carney lead according to most polls may have a huge margin of error .

The candidate backed by Trump, Premier Smith , and those that supported Trudeau in Quebec and Ontario may get a minority government which would destabilize Canada.

Neither Carney nor Poilievre will get a majority in all probability.
Only one poll counts ultimately though.
Take polls as forecasts.. it's 50/50...when uou take it as gospel...you will be upset when the result go the other way..nobody wins until every ballot is counted.
 

mandrill

monkey
Aug 23, 2001
79,649
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Comparatively speaking no. I'd bet the average Conservative works more hours in a week than the average Liberal.
Why, Kirkie?

Most people I know vote liberal and work 50 hours +.
 

mandrill

monkey
Aug 23, 2001
79,649
102,099
113
In this upcoming election, it is tremendously difficult to predict how the huge cohort of the electorate between 18 to 45, who are very less likely to watch or even read the mainstream news by television, online or the print media dinosaur., will vote!
The polls that we are seeing likely represent how the older cohort will vote because this group can be reached for polling much more easily and are more engaged politically.
The Carney lead according to most polls may have a huge margin of error .

The candidate backed by Trump, Premier Smith , and those that supported Trudeau in Quebec and Ontario may get a minority government which would destabilize Canada.

Neither Carney nor Poilievre will get a majority in all probability.
Only one poll counts ultimately though.
Carney is being generally and widely polled as winning 70+ more seats than Pee and obtaining a 20+ seat majority.

It's hard to see him losing the election on polling errors. His margin is just too huge.
 

WyattEarp

Well-known member
May 17, 2017
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Why, Kirkie?

Most people I know vote liberal..............
Given your demeanor here, that would not surprise us.

I actually hope you have a more politically diverse set of views in your social circle.
 

mandrill

monkey
Aug 23, 2001
79,649
102,099
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Given your demeanor here, that would not surprise us.

I actually hope you have a more politically diverse set of views in your social circle.
Nah. I hang out with educated, sophisticated people and right wing politics appeals to the buffoons. A few of my criminal clients are stupid and love Trump, but I hardly socialize with those folks.
 

WyattEarp

Well-known member
May 17, 2017
7,982
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Keep trying, Earp. 🥴
I'm not trying anything.

It appears the Conservatives aren't going to regain control of the Parliament. Even if they somehow trended back to winning a plurality of seats, I have the impression they have no natural coalition partners.
 
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