Is he so stupid that he thinks he can win again? Or maybe he's hoarding money before leaving.
The Leger poll also recorded new highs for government dissatisfaction: 72 per cent said they were dissatisfied with the Trudeau government
As the Trudeau government enters the second week of a very public internal feud, a new Leger survey finds that the scandal hasn’t done all that much to hurt its poll numbers — but that might be because Liberal support has already hit rock bottom.
The new Leger poll finds that a record 69 per cent of Canadians now think Prime Minister Justin Trudeau should resign. It also recorded new highs for government dissatisfaction: 72 per cent of respondents said they were dissatisfied with the Trudeau government.
Following the sudden resignation from cabinet of Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland last week, more than a third of the 153 Liberals in caucus are now resolved to pursue Trudeau’s immediate resignation.
According to CBC, a conference call of the party’s 50 Ontario MPs came to a “consensus” that their top priority needed to be Trudeau’s removal.
All the while, near two dozen other Liberals have joined a growing list of those publicly demanding Trudeau’s ouster, including New Brunswick MP Wayne Long, who said in an interview that Trudeau is “delusional.”
But in terms of raw poll numbers, the Liberals are doing about the same as they were before the scandal broke on Dec. 16. Among poll respondents, 20 per cent said they intended to vote Liberal — about the same as the 21 per cent who said as much in a Dec. 3 Leger poll.
“The Liberals dropped a point; not a lot of movement,” said Andrew Enns, an executive vice president with Leger.
The stubbornness of the figures may reflect the fact that the Liberals have already hit their electoral floor — the hardcore base of supporters who will vote Liberal under almost any circumstances.
According to Enns, the “bottom” for the Liberals is “probably around 19, 20 per cent.” Enns noted that was about as low as it got for then Liberal Leader Michael Ignatieff, who infamously led the party to its worst defeat in a federal election, in 2011.
It’s also about the same as the historic bottom for the NDP. Although New Democrats typically benefit from hemorrhaging Liberal support, the party has hovered around 20 per cent all throughout the Trudeau government’s epic fall from grace.
In this latest poll, the NDP came in at 19 per cent.
But even if the Liberals can go no lower, they remain on course for a devastating defeat at the polls that would plunge them into the political wilderness for at least a decade. Every single electoral projection of the last six months have the Conservatives winning the next election in a landslide.
Enns noted that while the Liberals were able to win a majority government just four years after their 2011 drubbing, those circumstances aren’t likely to repeat.
“For one, (Conservative Leader Pierre) Poilievre will likely win a larger majority than (Stephen) Harper, making the road back for the Liberals all that more difficult,” Enns told the National Post.
Depending on how the NDP performs in a number of key Liberal-held ridings, it’s possible that the next House of Commons could be one in which a Conservative supermajority faces the Bloc Québécois in opposition.
Enns called it “a likelihood” that the Official Opposition in the next Parliament could be Bloc.
The separatist party is now the clear favourite in Quebec, garnering 39 per cent of public support, against 29 per cent for the Conservatives and 20 per cent for the Liberals. That could be enough to yield the Bloc at least 40 of Quebec’s 78 federal seats.
It would be the second time in which His Majesty’s Loyal Opposition has been occupied by a separatist party that explicitly seeks Canada’s dissolution.
The first time was in 1993, when the Bloc Québécois similarly capitalized on the collapse of an incumbent party.
In the chaos following the near-annihilation of the ruling Progressive Conservatives, the Bloc under Lucien Bouchard was able to form opposition against a Liberal majority with a caucus of 54 seats.
Dissident Liberals calling for Trudeau’s ouster have made the argument that it’s a simple numbers game: According to polls, the longer Trudeau is at the helm, the worse the defeat will be.
In an interview with CTV, Liberal MP Anthony Housefather said his party should take heed that the Conservatives and the Bloc seem to be favouring an election in which Trudeau remains Liberal leader.
“They want to run against Trudeau, and you understand when you look at every data point, every poll — it’s not like there are any polls that show the contrary,” he said.
Trudeau isn’t even all that popular among Liberal diehards.
In the new Leger poll, even among the hardcore 20 per cent who still intended to vote Liberals, a third of them said Justin Trudeau should resign.
Although elections are decided by swing voters, every party has a core of supporters that mark their ballots the same regardless of political trends. Said Enns, “there are people who say ‘I don’t care if a monkey is running the party that’s what I do.’”
The poll of 1,521 Canadians was conducted between Dec. 20 and 22 via an online panel. Leger weighted the results to ensure a representative sample of the Canadian population. A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in an online survey. However, a probability sample would have a margin of error of plus or minus 2.51 per cent, 19 times out of 20.
nationalpost.com
The Leger poll also recorded new highs for government dissatisfaction: 72 per cent said they were dissatisfied with the Trudeau government
As the Trudeau government enters the second week of a very public internal feud, a new Leger survey finds that the scandal hasn’t done all that much to hurt its poll numbers — but that might be because Liberal support has already hit rock bottom.
The new Leger poll finds that a record 69 per cent of Canadians now think Prime Minister Justin Trudeau should resign. It also recorded new highs for government dissatisfaction: 72 per cent of respondents said they were dissatisfied with the Trudeau government.
Following the sudden resignation from cabinet of Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland last week, more than a third of the 153 Liberals in caucus are now resolved to pursue Trudeau’s immediate resignation.
According to CBC, a conference call of the party’s 50 Ontario MPs came to a “consensus” that their top priority needed to be Trudeau’s removal.
All the while, near two dozen other Liberals have joined a growing list of those publicly demanding Trudeau’s ouster, including New Brunswick MP Wayne Long, who said in an interview that Trudeau is “delusional.”
But in terms of raw poll numbers, the Liberals are doing about the same as they were before the scandal broke on Dec. 16. Among poll respondents, 20 per cent said they intended to vote Liberal — about the same as the 21 per cent who said as much in a Dec. 3 Leger poll.
“The Liberals dropped a point; not a lot of movement,” said Andrew Enns, an executive vice president with Leger.
The stubbornness of the figures may reflect the fact that the Liberals have already hit their electoral floor — the hardcore base of supporters who will vote Liberal under almost any circumstances.
According to Enns, the “bottom” for the Liberals is “probably around 19, 20 per cent.” Enns noted that was about as low as it got for then Liberal Leader Michael Ignatieff, who infamously led the party to its worst defeat in a federal election, in 2011.
It’s also about the same as the historic bottom for the NDP. Although New Democrats typically benefit from hemorrhaging Liberal support, the party has hovered around 20 per cent all throughout the Trudeau government’s epic fall from grace.
In this latest poll, the NDP came in at 19 per cent.
But even if the Liberals can go no lower, they remain on course for a devastating defeat at the polls that would plunge them into the political wilderness for at least a decade. Every single electoral projection of the last six months have the Conservatives winning the next election in a landslide.
Enns noted that while the Liberals were able to win a majority government just four years after their 2011 drubbing, those circumstances aren’t likely to repeat.
“For one, (Conservative Leader Pierre) Poilievre will likely win a larger majority than (Stephen) Harper, making the road back for the Liberals all that more difficult,” Enns told the National Post.
Depending on how the NDP performs in a number of key Liberal-held ridings, it’s possible that the next House of Commons could be one in which a Conservative supermajority faces the Bloc Québécois in opposition.
Enns called it “a likelihood” that the Official Opposition in the next Parliament could be Bloc.
The separatist party is now the clear favourite in Quebec, garnering 39 per cent of public support, against 29 per cent for the Conservatives and 20 per cent for the Liberals. That could be enough to yield the Bloc at least 40 of Quebec’s 78 federal seats.
It would be the second time in which His Majesty’s Loyal Opposition has been occupied by a separatist party that explicitly seeks Canada’s dissolution.
The first time was in 1993, when the Bloc Québécois similarly capitalized on the collapse of an incumbent party.
In the chaos following the near-annihilation of the ruling Progressive Conservatives, the Bloc under Lucien Bouchard was able to form opposition against a Liberal majority with a caucus of 54 seats.
Dissident Liberals calling for Trudeau’s ouster have made the argument that it’s a simple numbers game: According to polls, the longer Trudeau is at the helm, the worse the defeat will be.
In an interview with CTV, Liberal MP Anthony Housefather said his party should take heed that the Conservatives and the Bloc seem to be favouring an election in which Trudeau remains Liberal leader.
“They want to run against Trudeau, and you understand when you look at every data point, every poll — it’s not like there are any polls that show the contrary,” he said.
Trudeau isn’t even all that popular among Liberal diehards.
In the new Leger poll, even among the hardcore 20 per cent who still intended to vote Liberals, a third of them said Justin Trudeau should resign.
Although elections are decided by swing voters, every party has a core of supporters that mark their ballots the same regardless of political trends. Said Enns, “there are people who say ‘I don’t care if a monkey is running the party that’s what I do.’”
The poll of 1,521 Canadians was conducted between Dec. 20 and 22 via an online panel. Leger weighted the results to ensure a representative sample of the Canadian population. A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in an online survey. However, a probability sample would have a margin of error of plus or minus 2.51 per cent, 19 times out of 20.
Should Trudeau resign? 69 per cent of Canadians say yes, according to new poll
The Leger poll also recorded new highs for government dissatisfaction: 72 per cent said they were dissatisfied with the Trudeau government
nationalpost.com
