Trump crushes Biden in latest ABC News poll

Phil C. McNasty

Go Jays Go
Dec 27, 2010
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whats russiagate ? when the FBI found numerous contacts between the Trump team and Russia and several people got charged for trying to cover it up?
Still clinging to that, huh??!! :D
 

Phil C. McNasty

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Dec 27, 2010
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Nearly 20,000 more registered Republicans have voted in Nevada thus far in the presidential election than registered Democrats, according to data released on Wednesday, which one local politics expert described as "unheard of at this point in any other presidential cycle."


According to figures from the Nevada Secretary of State's office, shared on X by Decision Desk data analyst Michael Pruser, 159,388 registered Republicans had voted in the Silver State as of Wednesday evening, well ahead of the 140,878 Democrats and 97,529 voters with a different or no party affiliation.

The early results in the key swing state come as a blow to the Democrats, who have historically performed well with early and mail in voters. Recent surveys suggest the race remains too close, with election website FiveThirtyEight, which analyzes survey data, giving Trump a 51 percent chance of victory in November versus 49 percent for Harris
 

Bucktee

Well-known member
Jan 26, 2024
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Looks like to me she did very well with undecided folks.

CNN asks undecided PA voters if town hall changed their minds


2 out of 5 is a disaster, especially when they were leaning towards her to begin with yet she couldn't close the deal.
 

Phil C. McNasty

Go Jays Go
Dec 27, 2010
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Data scientist who correctly predicted 2020 election now betting on 'landslide' Harris win (msn.com)

Data scientist Thomas Miller of Northwestern University correctly predicted the 2020 Electoral College map, with the exception of Georgia. He also accurately forecasted Georgia's two Democratic U.S. senators, Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock, defeating then-incumbents Kelly Loeffler and David Perdue.

Now, he's anticipating that Vice President Kamala Harris will not only defeat former President Donald Trump in November, but will do so by a significant margin. Fortune reported that Miller is predicting that Harris' electoral map may resemble the 1964 map in which President Lyndon B. Johnson defeated Sen. Barry Goldwater (R-Arizona) with a whopping 486 electoral votes, or President Bill Clinton's 1996 victory over Sen. Bob Dole (R-Kansas), in which he secured 379 electoral votes.

The most hotly contested battleground states — which include Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — will ultimately decide which candidate crosses the 270-vote threshold. Miller is predicting a clean sweep for Harris in all of them.

Miller based his model around betting trends on PredictIt, which is the largest betting market for U.S. politics. Tully explained that Miller "took the Predictit odds in the 56 individual voting jurisdictions, tracked the hourly changes, and used his proprietary model to roll the data into daily odds." Miller said he viewed PredictIt as more accurate than traditional polling, which uses a much smaller sample and is typically a week behind current trends.

"You have tens of thousands of people betting on the site at all times of the day,” Miller told Tully. “The maximum contract is $850, and 37,000 ‘shares’ are traded on average every day.”
😂
 
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