Imminent Crash?

sprite09

Well-known member
Aug 10, 2020
1,222
598
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People always think there's going to be some sort of 1987-like one-day crash or black-swan event like COVID or the GFC--the probability is not on your side (2%)! Plus, it's an election year--going against the odds even more.

High rates, sticky inflation, recession, yadda yadda yadda, talk have absolutely rekted the bears last year and this year. Corrections like today are normal and hopefully you were able to capitalize on some discounts (but really just higher lows for those who have been sidelined). Sure, the correction should continue, but one shouldn't bank on the market of repeating last year's late summer/early fall correction.

[1]https://insights.som.yale.edu/insights/do-we-know-when-we-re-headed-for-crash

[2]https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w22143/w22143.pdf
 

jeff2

Well-known member
Sep 11, 2004
1,619
873
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Investors are trying to assess whether all the huge AI capital spending that companies such as Microsoft and Amazon are doing is going to lead to meaningful profitability increases other than making Nvidia rich.
 

Indiana

Well-known member
Feb 23, 2010
3,831
1,642
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I’m going off grid this week.
Not going to watch.
It could be pretty ugly.
The week after might be a good op for some bottom feeding.
 

mitchell76

Well-known member
Aug 10, 2010
22,425
9,020
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3 WEEKS AGO an assassination attempt on President Trump’s life … No CLOSER TO ANSWERS
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Black Monday - 1:45am and NASDAQ is already down over 400 pts. About to crash.
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8/5 Sirens activated across Israel … Iran begins airstrikes on Israel
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Black Monday - Japan's Nikkei stock index falls over 4,000 points, the largest drop in its history.
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The media has still not interviewed Kamala Harris since she became the Democratic Party nominee for POTUS. Media crickets.
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Obama is taking a victory lap.
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Trump 2024 Now More than Ever.
 

Gators

Well-known member
Apr 9, 2023
376
340
63
I will wait till tomorrow how things shape up. I am up YTD 24% but I am a bit uneasy on tech and banks. Will sell ETF of them if this continues. IMO tech is overvalued and AI is more hyped.
 

jalimon

Well-known member
Jan 10, 2016
6,788
6,568
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I honestly do believe it’s due to Kamala now having a good shot at victory. Markets are forward looking and started to trend up every time Trump had good news.

It’s pricing in something big for economic and military de-stability. When America is weak, you see the world start to fall apart.

It’s either that or Japan’s spooked by an upcoming Godzilla attack.
I would certainly not use you as a trader ;)

Buffet sold half his stock of Apple last week. Cashing in 50 billion. BA has now 180 billion in cash. He’s getting ready to buy once everything’s go down good.
 
Ashley Madison
Toronto Escorts