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LiveInTorontoPartyInMontreal

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Feb 23, 2008
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K Douglas said:
FSU's strength of schedule was 55th in the country. Their opponents had a collective record below .500.
They made the right decision to exclude them from the BCS. I agree with the 4 choices.

I was a bit surprised with Washington defeating Oregon on Friday night although I did have a small bet on them to cover the 9.5 spread. How Oregon was favored by that much puzzles me.
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Here's my stupid math, since I'm a stats guy:
Oregon's MOV is 27, Washington's MOV is only 14 , Oregon + 13
Oregon's games vs the spread is 7.0, Washington's lines are so sharp , they are flat ATS , ie 0

They just did ( 13 + 7)/2 - 0.5 ( so the bookies don't get a pushed game )
All the numbers are outlayed here, I probably just didn't explain it right . . . . .

It's like when the books come up with ATS numbers, it's the points for/ points against for the fav /dog averaged out . . . and allowing for home ice advantage
 
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knees

knees

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Mar 25, 2006
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the world is in for a rude awakening, it is SEC's world and we are just living in it. BAMA gonna win it all.
 
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LiveInTorontoPartyInMontreal

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knees said:
the world is in for a rude awakening, it is SEC's world and we are just living in it. BAMA gonna win it all.
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Since Texas beat BAMA at the beginning of the season, BAMA has been one of the best teams for the remainder of the season ( like LSU and MICH) . . .
I did bet GA over BAMA and learned my lesson last week . . UGH !
 
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K Douglas

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Bowl season begins tomorrow. 6 games on tap. Several opt outs as per usual.
The only matchups of any significance are UCLA-Boise State and Texas Tech-California. I'll probably drop some shares in Boise State since they typically do well in Bowl season. Plus I hate UCLA.
 
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Fun For All

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Feb 9, 2014
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K Douglas said:
Bowl season begins tomorrow. 6 games on tap. Several opt outs as per usual.
The only matchups of any significance are UCLA-Boise State and Texas Tech-California. I'll probably drop some shares in Boise State since they typically do well in Bowl season. Plus I hate UCLA.
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Some good matchups start after Christmas...the opt outs are disappointing.
 
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K Douglas

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So far I'm 6-3 ATS in my Bowl picks. Lots badly on Boise State and New Mexico State.

Boca Raton Bowl tonight Syracuse (6-6) is favored by a FG over South Florida (6-6). South Florida D is terrible against the pass but not bad vs. the run. Syracuse is having to start a redshirt freshman at QB. Mainly because of that I'm leaning South Florida in this matchup. Plus they are sort of the de facto home team.

Tomorrow the matchup is my boys from Georgia Tech (6-6) at UCF (6-6) in the Gasparilla Bowl. Central Florida are 4.5 point favorites they are basically playing at home in Tampa Bay. Tech overperformed this season while UCF underperformed, losing 5 straight games at one point. 3 of their 6 losses came by 1,1 and 2 points. Give me UCF here I think they want to go out on a positive note and they are just the better all around team.
 
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mjg1

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Feb 21, 2008
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Fun For All said:
Michigan favoured by 5? I’d be inclined to take Washington and the points.
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I agree, Washington has a elite passing game and Mich struggles at times on offense. I'm a Michigan fan since 1975 and have seen every Michigan game this year. Michigan's passing game is only average this year, and if you can stop Mich running game, it's offense grids to a halt. Go Blue...but unfortunately I think Washington wins 34 - 20.
 
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princekwekua

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Stunning news. Alabama HC Nick Saban has retired after 17 years at the helm and 7 national championships. During his tenure, he had more players drafted in the first round (44) than losses (29). Heck of a run 👏
 
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bazokajoe

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princekwekua said:
Stunning news. Alabama HC Nick Saban has retired after 17 years at the helm and 7 national championships. During his tenure, he had more players drafted in the first round (44) than losses (29). Heck of a run 👏
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I feel sorry for the guy who has to follow Saban.
Bama has great facilities and current players.
Lots of coaches will be putting their name in for that job no doubt.
 
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