NCAA football

K Douglas

Half Man Half Amazing
Jan 5, 2005
27,652
8,409
113
Room 112
I look at the Tenn/Mizzou matchup as a coinflip and I usually stay away from those unless I take both sides and flip flop the teams in a small parlay .
I like your TEX bet and many sports analysts calling for TEX as an outside team to hit the final CFP , I think they go 6th spot or further, but they still will win out
I hate back door garbage covers so I like your GA on the M/L, they are 24-0 in the last few years at home. I call MICH vs GA for the finals . . .
I like MICH to blow out PENN and to win out . . . Even against OH ST later on . . .
You're right on everything here. I'm going to fade the Tenn/Mizzou game. It could go either way. Why bet a coin flip.
I'll still stick with my Texas call but I do worry a bit about the backdoor cover. What gets somewhat overlooked is the Longhorns defense they are stout. They could absolutely win by 11 and I'll bet on that.
I've changed my mind on the Georgia-Ole Miss outcome. I agree the Dawgs win but I don't think they cover 11.5. Moneyline pick yes.

Other games I like
I like FSU at home to cover the 2 TD spread on Miami. I just looked at their schedule to date and they have been rolling over their opponents.
I like the West Virginia Mountaineers +12.5 to keep it close at Oklahoma. I don't envision them winning outright but the oddsmakers are continually underrating them. No way should that spread be that high.
 

K Douglas

Half Man Half Amazing
Jan 5, 2005
27,652
8,409
113
Room 112
It’s a big game for Penn, despite their 8-1 record and #9 ranking they’ve been very average at times this season…an upset victory over Michigan will put them back in the thick of the playoff picture, a loss and the party’s over.
I hate Michigan but I just don't know how Penn State is going to put up points in this game. They are solid defensively but their offense against an elite Wolverines D will fizzle out. A definite bet to look at is the under.
 

LiveInTorontoPartyInMontreal

Well-known member
Feb 23, 2008
2,560
970
113
You're right on everything here. I'm going to fade the Tenn/Mizzou game. It could go either way. Why bet a coin flip.
I'll still stick with my Texas call but I do worry a bit about the backdoor cover. What gets somewhat overlooked is the Longhorns defense they are stout. They could absolutely win by 11 and I'll bet on that.
I've changed my mind on the Georgia-Ole Miss outcome. I agree the Dawgs win but I don't think they cover 11.5. Moneyline pick yes.

Other games I like
I like FSU at home to cover the 2 TD spread on Miami. I just looked at their schedule to date and they have been rolling over their opponents.
I like the West Virginia Mountaineers +12.5 to keep it close at Oklahoma. I don't envision them winning outright but the oddsmakers are continually underrating them. No way should that spread be that high.
FSU is going to win out and hope they stay in the top 4, they will flex their muscles on their last 3 games . If your sportsbook allows, I'd buy 1/2 point on FSU and give -13.5 points, I hate the push bets. Good luck !
 

K Douglas

Half Man Half Amazing
Jan 5, 2005
27,652
8,409
113
Room 112
FSU is going to win out and hope they stay in the top 4, they will flex their muscles on their last 3 games . If your sportsbook allows, I'd buy 1/2 point on FSU and give -13.5 points, I hate the push bets. Good luck !
I don't think I can do that on Betway or Proline Plus. I guess I should have kept my DK account because it makes sense. Particularly on those 7.5/10.5/14.5 spreads.
 

LiveInTorontoPartyInMontreal

Well-known member
Feb 23, 2008
2,560
970
113
I don't think I can do that on Betway or Proline Plus. I guess I should have kept my DK account because it makes sense. Particularly on those 7.5/10.5/14.5 spreads.
I like DK and Fan Duel they have an abundant of ongoing promos that I use. On DK I like to use the "Alternative Spread" and "Alternative Total" to customize my bet, although it comes off my payout I like FSU -13.5 or -6.5 or OVER 44. Most bettors bet singles since that's the smart bet, I enjoy parlays since I like the challenge. Few years ago I hit a few 14 to 16 gamers, not real payouts since I bought the spread down or up and gave up juice.
 

bazokajoe

Well-known member
Nov 6, 2010
10,184
8,492
113
I wonder if Harbaugh being out will matter...

I wonder if Harbaugh being out will matter...

I don't think it will have much affect. He can still coach during the week.
Quote from article.

Harbaugh's suspension bans him from the "game venue" on game days. He is allowed to coach the team the remainder of the week.

Don't be surprised if he is in a hotel suite watching the game calling in suggestions for plays.
 

Fun For All

Well-known member
Feb 9, 2014
11,474
5,707
113
I don't know how Penn State wins games with a QB that bad...also, the call to go for it on 4th and 6 with the ball on their own 30 with about 4 minutes left was a brain dead move.
 
  • Like
Reactions: bazokajoe

Sugarsweet905

Well-known member
May 17, 2022
526
828
93
I don't know how Penn State wins games with a QB that bad...also, the call to go for it on 4th and 6 with the ball on their own 30 with about 4 minutes left was a brain dead move.
Easy the rest of the Big10 sucks. The other teams that are decent can't throw the ball either.
 

K Douglas

Half Man Half Amazing
Jan 5, 2005
27,652
8,409
113
Room 112
As you can see I got my ass handed to me on pretty much every bet. There is no way that anyone wins betting college football. I'll stick to NFL.
 

LiveInTorontoPartyInMontreal

Well-known member
Feb 23, 2008
2,560
970
113
I always try to over analyze my fav games and most times I go 40/60 like most of the media sports experts/analysts. In hindsight I should of just stuck to the top tier teams that haven't lost in 2 years ( or just 1 game), there's like 15 of them and just bet expensive M/Lines. The only 100% ( lock bet) is that LSU games always go OVER the total. They haven't gone UNDER once this year, I saw that trend like 4 games ago so it's not just a hindsight bet. That's the betting system in baccarat, once a pattern starts, it's considered a trend after 5 or 6 in a row. That's my strategy next year, watch the Last 10 column of sports, sometimes a strong team will go past 10-0-0 on their particular sport. Expensive money line bet, but you could double your stack X times in a row. Yes right, I'm a stats guy.
 

Gators

Well-known member
Apr 9, 2023
382
349
63
I always try to over analyze my fav games and most times I go 40/60 like most of the media sports experts/analysts. In hindsight I should of just stuck to the top tier teams that haven't lost in 2 years ( or just 1 game), there's like 15 of them and just bet expensive M/Lines. The only 100% ( lock bet) is that LSU games always go OVER the total. They haven't gone UNDER once this year, I saw that trend like 4 games ago so it's not just a hindsight bet. That's the betting system in baccarat, once a pattern starts, it's considered a trend after 5 or 6 in a row. That's my strategy next year, watch the Last 10 column of sports, sometimes a strong team will go past 10-0-0 on their particular sport. Expensive money line bet, but you could double your stack X times in a row. Yes right, I'm a stats guy.
I seen the same trends with UF.
 

LiveInTorontoPartyInMontreal

Well-known member
Feb 23, 2008
2,560
970
113
I seen the same trends with UF.
I think with sports betting you just have to spot the trends or opportunities, that will be my next year's strategy. Like Iowa games, bookies call super low totals on Iowa games but they go UNDER 80% or more of the times. People say don't bet the trends because the sample is too small. UGH ! Come on, GA is at min 20-0 and OSU is 19-1 in the last two years, that's too small of a sample ? 😲 :ROFLMAO:
 
  • Like
Reactions: Gators

Fun For All

Well-known member
Feb 9, 2014
11,474
5,707
113
Big game Saturday, Mich-OSU...I wouldn't count out one loss teams such as Alabama and Texas out for the playoff.
 

bazokajoe

Well-known member
Nov 6, 2010
10,184
8,492
113
I seen the video of the Florida State QB suffering a gruesome lower leg injury. Hope it doesn't affect his future.

 

Fun For All

Well-known member
Feb 9, 2014
11,474
5,707
113
Great game with Michigan-Ohio State, I thought Ohio State was gonna pull it out until the last interception…Ohio State might slip to #6 and out of the playoff.

How about Alabama pulling it out against Auburn, Auburn deserves the W.
 
Last edited:

K Douglas

Half Man Half Amazing
Jan 5, 2005
27,652
8,409
113
Room 112
Great game with Michigan-Ohio State, I thought Ohio State was gonna pull it out until the last interception…Ohio State might slip to #6 and out of the playoff.

How about Alabama pulling it out against Auburn, Auburn deserves the W.
Auburn always plays Alabama tough. But what a crazy catch at 4th and 31 for the TD. It also won me my parlay as i had Alabama on the money line.
8 game favorites parlay S/U. Bet $100 won $228.70
Alabama
Georgia
Notre Dame
Okla. State
Tennessee
LSU
UCF
Troy

I also did an underdogs 3 game s/u parlay, NC State and Kentucky came through but Florida cost me a big payout. I still cashed though because I bet any 2 of 3.
 

Fun For All

Well-known member
Feb 9, 2014
11,474
5,707
113
Auburn always plays Alabama tough. But what a crazy catch at 4th and 31 for the TD. It also won me my parlay as i had Alabama on the money line.
8 game favorites parlay S/U. Bet $100 won $228.70
Alabama
Georgia
Notre Dame
Okla. State
Tennessee
LSU
UCF
Troy

I also did an underdogs 3 game s/u parlay, NC State and Kentucky came through but Florida cost me a big payout. I still cashed though because I bet any 2 of 3.
What site did you bet those on?
 

Fun For All

Well-known member
Feb 9, 2014
11,474
5,707
113
If the 4 best teams are in the playoff Ohio State should be one of them...they lost one game and they go from 2nd to 6...what happens if Alabama beats Georgia, how far would Georgia fall?
 
Toronto Escorts