You're right on everything here. I'm going to fade the Tenn/Mizzou game. It could go either way. Why bet a coin flip.I look at the Tenn/Mizzou matchup as a coinflip and I usually stay away from those unless I take both sides and flip flop the teams in a small parlay .
I like your TEX bet and many sports analysts calling for TEX as an outside team to hit the final CFP , I think they go 6th spot or further, but they still will win out
I hate back door garbage covers so I like your GA on the M/L, they are 24-0 in the last few years at home. I call MICH vs GA for the finals . . .
I like MICH to blow out PENN and to win out . . . Even against OH ST later on . . .
I'll still stick with my Texas call but I do worry a bit about the backdoor cover. What gets somewhat overlooked is the Longhorns defense they are stout. They could absolutely win by 11 and I'll bet on that.
I've changed my mind on the Georgia-Ole Miss outcome. I agree the Dawgs win but I don't think they cover 11.5. Moneyline pick yes.
Other games I like
I like FSU at home to cover the 2 TD spread on Miami. I just looked at their schedule to date and they have been rolling over their opponents.
I like the West Virginia Mountaineers +12.5 to keep it close at Oklahoma. I don't envision them winning outright but the oddsmakers are continually underrating them. No way should that spread be that high.