NFL Playoffs

[K Douglas]

So far my predictions this playoff season have left something to be desired. I was sure that the Cowboys would at least cover last weekend. But the new and mature Dak decided to become the Dak of old.

AFC final
I got the Bengals to win despite being down two linemen. The team is on quite a roll have not lost a game since Hallowe'en. Mahomes is hobbling and the Chiefs aren't a particularly good running team.

NFC final
Philly is a tough place for visiting teams. But at least the 49'ers won't have to contend with adverse weather conditions as the forecast is showing a high of 9°C on Sunday. This is a tough call I think both these teams are pretty evenly matched.
Eagles advantage - quarterback, offensive line, secondary
49'ers advantage - defensive line, running backs, receivers
I think the Eagles have a better chance to exploit their advantages so I'm giving the edge to them. Plus they are at home. Should be an entertaining game.

 

[LiveInTorontoPartyInMontreal]

Cowboys wasted a minimum of two good drives, one was from a decent runback and the other was a Lamb long bomb excellent reception. SF D was too good . I made a custom OVER/UNDER bet, 33 OVER ( 19 - 12 ) . Come on man, so many wasted points . UGH

 

[glamphotographer]

And you reckon the Chefs will be doing the cooking?

They be cooking in the SF end zone.

 

[dirtydaveiii]

San Fran @ Philly : This game is intriguing. Both teams have lost to poor teams (San Fran: Chicago, Denver , and Atlanta all on the road, Philly : Washington, New Orleans)
Offensively the Eagles are top 10 in every category. Defensively the Eagles are 1st against the pass and 16th against the rush - so look for the Eagles to stack the box and try to force Purdy to throw the ball not just quick dump offs to McCaffrey and Debo. The 49ers are 2nd against the rush and 20th against the pass so look for the Eagles to quick strike to negate the Niners pass rush. The Eagles have 70 sacks on the season compared to 44 for the 49ers. The 49ers fumble less. Surprisingly the Eagles have 32 rushing vs 25 passing TDs while the 49ers have 20 rushing and 30 passing. This is about as good of matchup as you can find and it should be a chess match where the winner will make one or two less crucial mistakes. Look for a muffed punt or a runback for TD to make the difference in this game. Both these teams are rock solid all the way around but I think the Eagles will be too much for Purdy to handle. As much as I wanted to see the fairy tale ending, Purdy has hit his ceiling for the year.

Eagles 23 49ers 17

 

[The Oracle]

San Fran @ Philly : This game is intriguing. Both teams have lost to poor teams (San Fran: Chicago, Denver , and Atlanta all on the road, Philly : Washington, New Orleans)
Offensively the Eagles are top 10 in every category. Defensively the Eagles are 1st against the pass and 16th against the rush - so look for the Eagles to stack the box and try to force Purdy to throw the ball not just quick dump offs to McCaffrey and Debo. The 49ers are 2nd against the rush and 20th against the pass so look for the Eagles to quick strike to negate the Niners pass rush. The Eagles have 70 sacks on the season compared to 44 for the 49ers. The 49ers fumble less. Surprisingly the Eagles have 32 rushing vs 25 passing TDs while the 49ers have 20 rushing and 30 passing. This is about as good of matchup as you can find and it should be a chess match where the winner will make one or two less crucial mistakes. Look for a muffed punt or a runback for TD to make the difference in this game. Both these teams are rock solid all the way around but I think the Eagles will be too much for Purdy to handle. As much as I wanted to see the fairy tale ending, Purdy has hit his ceiling for the year.

Eagles 23 49ers 17

Agree on all points here. The pressure on Purdy will be immense. Especially with that pass rush. Four players on Philly have at least 10 sacks. So it's coming from a lot of different directions. Plus the Philly crowd is about as hostile as it gets. Taking the Eagles and the under.

 

[dirtydaveiii]

Agree on all points here. The pressure on Purdy will be immense. Especially with that pass rush. Four players on Philly have at least 10 sacks. So it's coming from a lot of different directions. Plus the Philly crowd is about as hostile as it gets. Taking the Eagles and the under.

Whats the spread and the over under on this game?

 

[The Oracle]

Whats the spread and the over under on this game?

I took Philly minus 2.5 and under 46.5

 

[dirtydaveiii]

I took Philly minus 2.5 and under 46.5

those are very solid bets. points will be at a premium unless Purdy has a meltdown. If the Eagles get pressure rushing 4 look out. San Fran will not win in max protection against that defense.

 

[The Oracle]

those are very solid bets. points will be at a premium unless Purdy has a meltdown. If the Eagles get pressure rushing 4 look out. San Fran will not win in max protection against that defense.

Okay so what about KC and Cincy.

I have Cincy minus 1.5 and over 46.5.

I'm a little worried that Cincy's ''O'' line might not stand up to the Chiefs pass rush though. On the other side of the ball I figure Mahomes will be slowed down just enough to thwart them scoring enough points to take this. I'm thinking this will be a 31-28 game . In that range.

 

[dirtydaveiii]

Okay so what about KC and Cincy.

I have Cincy minus 1.5 and over 46.5.

I'm a little worried that Cincy's ''O'' line might not stand up to the Chiefs pass rush though. On the other side of the ball I figure Mahomes will be slowed down just enough to thwart them scoring enough points to take this. I'm thinking this will be a 31-28 game . In that range.

see post 69 for my analysis.

Cincinnati can be beat with Joe Burrow. Their last loss was against Cleveland last haloween. Jacoby Brisette had a great day and outplayed Burrow. The Browns gave them a total beat down in every statistic and having the ball for over 13 mintues more than the Bengals. Nick Chubb got over 100 on the ground. The Ravens beat them oct 9 with Lamar as the leading runner and passer. A few field goals and they kept on to defeat the Bengals. The Bengals also lost to the Cowboys who statistically beat them in just about ever metric of the game except for time of posession which ciny won by over 5 minutes. Week 1 against Pittsburgh the Bengals completely dominted the steelers but still lost with Burro throwing 4 pics .If he pulls that kind of shit in Arrohead this weeked he may soon be facing a lot of critisism. I havent checked the injury report or even seen much of either of these teams but the key to winning for the Cheifs is to grind out an ugly smash mouth win - which isnt their style. The key for Cincy is not to let Burrow have a melt down and to keep Mahomes in the pocket where he is slightly less dangerous. Do the Cheifs have enugh at running back to pooung this one out? I believe so
Cheifs 27- Bengals 24

 

[The Oracle]

see post 69 for my analysis.

Cincinnati can be beat with Joe Burrow. Their last loss was against Cleveland last haloween. Jacoby Brisette had a great day and outplayed Burrow. The Browns gave them a total beat down in every statistic and having the ball for over 13 mintues more than the Bengals. Nick Chubb got over 100 on the ground. The Ravens beat them oct 9 with Lamar as the leading runner and passer. A few field goals and they kept on to defeat the Bengals. The Bengals also lost to the Cowboys who statistically beat them in just about ever metric of the game except for time of posession which ciny won by over 5 minutes. Week 1 against Pittsburgh the Bengals completely dominted the steelers but still lost with Burro throwing 4 pics .If he pulls that kind of shit in Arrohead this weeked he may soon be facing a lot of critisism. I havent checked the injury report or even seen much of either of these teams but the key to winning for the Cheifs is to grind out an ugly smash mouth win - which isnt their style. The key for Cincy is not to let Burrow have a melt down and to keep Mahomes in the pocket where he is slightly less dangerous. Do the Cheifs have enugh at running back to pooung this one out? I believe so
Cheifs 27- Bengals 24

Chiefs have had the extra day of rest as well. This late in the season that means a lot. Hmmm...Might have to reconsider this.

 

[LiveInTorontoPartyInMontreal]

Okay so what about KC and Cincy.

I have Cincy minus 1.5 and over 46.5.

I'm a little worried that Cincy's ''O'' line might not stand up to the Chiefs pass rush though. On the other side of the ball I figure Mahomes will be slowed down just enough to thwart them scoring enough points to take this. I'm thinking this will be a 31-28 game . In that range.

I like your picks for both games. Do you like them that much to parlay them altogether or more comfortable betting singles ?

 

[princekwekua]

Patrick Mahomes' wife, Kansas City mayor respond after Cincinnati mayor hits unprecedented level of cringe

The Bengals-Chiefs AFC championship game trash talk is getting embarrassing.

ca.yahoo.com

Oh, no. Cincinnati mayor asking Joe Burrow to take a paternity test to confirm if he is not father of Patrick Mahomes And they are calling KC stadium Arrowhead "Burrowhead". Kansas City mayor responded all Cincinnati has are Jerry Springler and no rings. Ouch. Getting nasty lol

 

[The Oracle]

I like your picks for both games. Do you like them that much to parlay them altogether or more comfortable betting singles ?

Wouldn't parlay no. The fact that KC has the extra day off is bothersome. I've read that statistically that is significant.

 

[LiveInTorontoPartyInMontreal]

KC backers back in full force. I saw a swing of CIN -2.5 to KC - 1.5 after videos of the KC practice and Mahomes press conference. Any point spreads under 3 shouldn't sway your original choice. I really like this both games prop , but it's expensive. The scoring prop is that all four teams score a min of one TD, - 450. Yes or no ? For the bettors of "yes", you could potentially win your prop before half time of the 2nd game. Take the winnings and bet the second half of the KC/CIN game.

 

[Ref]

It is not looking purdy for San Fran at half time.

I was surprised that SF did not challenge that catch on the first Eagles drive, or at least call a timeout to review the play.

 

[mjg1]

Patrick Mahomes' wife, Kansas City mayor respond after Cincinnati mayor hits unprecedented level of cringe

The Bengals-Chiefs AFC championship game trash talk is getting embarrassing.

ca.yahoo.com

Oh, no. Cincinnati mayor asking Joe Burrow to take a paternity test to confirm if he is not father of Patrick Mahomes And they are calling KC stadium Arrowhead "Burrowhead". Kansas City mayor responded all Cincinnati has are Jerry Springler and no rings. Ouch. Getting nasty lol

Yeah, it's never good for players to be talking smack and for politicians to do it makes it even worse. I see the Chiefs coming out fired up and their defense to dominate at the start, but eventually they wear down late. Then Bengals score late TD to steal a victory...maybe.

 

[mjg1]

It is not looking purdy for San Fran at half time.

I was surprised that SF did not challenge that catch on the first Eagles drive, or at least call a timeout to review the play.

The game was over once Purdy took that hit to elbow. Then it looks like the 49ers defense got too aggressive and committed way too many penalties.

 

[LiveInTorontoPartyInMontreal]

Draft King's 2 promos today hit: 1) MacCaffrey anytime TD , and Chase/Kelce 50 receiving yards and Burrow 200 yards passing . The promo is a payout boost.
I bet each team to score a rushing TD, but after I placed the bet I realized KC has one of the worst backfields. 3 out of 4 on that prop bet, but no cigar.

 

[tml]

As a longtime Bengals fan I can only say "f*^k !!!!!!!!!".