NFL Week 14

[dirtydaveiii]

Jac @ Tenn : Offensively the Jags are on the better side of average ranking 10th in passing and 14th in rushing. Defensively they are good against the rush ranking 14th but horrible against the pass ranking 30th. The Titans rank 15th in rushing and 30th in passing so the Jags match up quite well defensively to the run first offense of the Titans. As for the series the Titans have won the last 5 in a row winning by margins of 20, 18, 21, 3 and 22. Statistically the Jags should be able to keep up in this one but history says otherwise. The Titans just shockinly fired their GM so anyone not name Derrick Henry has their job on the line. The Titans have been demoted by the press as an average team with little chance of making the big game. Look for an angry Titans team to take the field on Sunday

Tenn - 34 Jac - 18

 

[dirtydaveiii]

Minnesota @ Detroit - It seems like the Lions have not been favorites since 1957 and I am not quite sure why they are in this game. When these two teams met in September the Lions were in the lead until the Vikes scored 14 unanswered points in the 4th. Detroit is 1-9 against Minnesota with their lone win coming in December of 2021 at Ford field. Every win for the Vikings after week 1 have been by 1 score or less. The Lions have won 4 of 5 and their lone loss was Thanksgiving when they went down to the wire with Buffalo and nearly pulled out the win. The Vikes are 25th in rushing and 9th in passing which doesnt bode well for the Lions D, but the Vikings pass defense is dead last. As much as I would like to pick the Lions I just can't against a 9-2 Vikings team.

Minnesota 28 Detroit 24

 

[dirtydaveiii]

Eagles @ Giants : The Eagles statistically and physically are probably the most complete team in the NFL. Pass yards per game the Eagles are 12th and rush yards allowed they are 17th. Everywhere else they are top 5. The Giants have the 6th best rushing attack and are pretty poor in all other areas. The Giants have one win (NOV 13 vs Houston) in their last 5 games. The Eagles lone loss of the season came against Washington which is the only positive for the Giants coming off a tie with the Commanders. After staring the season 6-1 the Giants have fell into obscurity at 7-4-1 and need a win to keep a playoff spot. The Giants have only won 2 of the last 11 against the Eagles. The Eagles are likely to lose a game or two before the end of the season but trying to figure out which games those will be is a losing proposition. The Giants are undefeated in games they score at least 19 points in so it could be interesting.

Eagles 24 Giants 19

 

[dirtydaveiii]

Houston @ Dallas : Houston is close to last in just about every statistic except for defensive pass yards where they rank a respectable 13th. The Cowboys are 22nd in passing so this game should be all about the run and Houstons inability to stop it. Dallas needs to prove they wont fall asleep at the wheel here and should decimate a far inferior opponent.

Dallas : 48 Houston 10

 

[LiveInTorontoPartyInMontreal]

Houston @ Dallas : Houston is close to last in just about every statistic except for defensive pass yards where they rank a respectable 13th. The Cowboys are 22nd in passing so this game should be all about the run and Houstons inability to stop it. Dallas needs to prove they wont fall asleep at the wheel here and should decimate a far inferior opponent.

Dallas : 48 Houston 10

The Dallas betting line is the largest line I've ever seen in the last 10 years. .( Houston and the Bears are the first teams out ) .

 

[dirtydaveiii]

Jets @ Bills : this is game of the week material. The Jets took the last game back in November so can they do the unthinkable and sweep the series ? The Bills won 4 straight in the series before the November loss. The Bills are near the top in every category except for pass defense which is a respectable 17th in the leauge. The Jets are very average except for pass yards per game and points per game where they rank 6 in both. The Jets are 2-3 in the last 5 and their wins coming against Buffalo and Chicago. The Jets have lost their last 2 on the road. Buffalo is the only likely playoff team the Jets beat this year and I dont expect to see it again.

Bills 27 Jets 19

 

[dirtydaveiii]

Cleveland at Cincinatti : the battle of Ohio. Cincy has the 4th best passing attack and the 26th rushing attack. Burrows is on fire. The Browns have the #4 rushing attack so this game might be interesting. Both teams are run of the mill on defense with the Browns fairing worse in giving up rushing yards and points. They met on haloween this year and the Browns won 32 to 13. Surprisingly the Browns have won the last 5 against the Bengels and 8 of their last 9 matches. After beating the Chiefs and Titans the Bengels are due for a letdown. This game is my upset special.

CLE 27 - CIN 21

 

[dirtydaveiii]

Baltimore @ Pittsburg : The Steelers have beat the Ravens 4 straight and this week without Lamar Jackson dont expect anything different.

Pit : 23 Bal 12

 

[dirtydaveiii]

KC @ Denver - the cheifs have stellar stats except for being 23rd in pass defense. Denver has one of the best defenses in the league. The Broncos have lost 13 in a row however.

KC 35 Denver 13

 

[dirtydaveiii]

Bucs @ Niners : San Fran is the best defense in football. Jimmy G is gone but that shouldnt change much for the niners. The Bucs have the worst rushing offense are #4 passing. The 49ers have won 5 in a row. The Bucs have won 3 of their last 4.

SF 17 TAM 10

 

[dirtydaveiii]

Carolina @ Seattle - carolina has one of the worst offenses in the league and a mediocre defense. the seahawks are 5-2 in their last 7. The Seahaks defense is horrible statistically one of the worst.

seattle 24 - carolina 23

 

[y2kmark]

Eagles @ Giants : The Eagles statistically and physically are probably the most complete team in the NFL. Pass yards per game the Eagles are 12th and rush yards allowed they are 17th. Everywhere else they are top 5. The Giants have the 6th best rushing attack and are pretty poor in all other areas. The Giants have one win (NOV 13 vs Houston) in their last 5 games. The Eagles lone loss of the season came against Washington which is the only positive for the Giants coming off a tie with the Commanders. After staring the season 6-1 the Giants have fell into obscurity at 7-4-1 and need a win to keep a playoff spot. The Giants have only won 2 of the last 11 against the Eagles. The Eagles are likely to lose a game or two before the end of the season but trying to figure out which games those will be is a losing proposition. The Giants are undefeated in games they score at least 19 points in so it could be interesting.

Eagles 24 Giants 19

Story of my life. This is going to be an interesting game since both head coaches have WNY roots, but airs opposite the Bills game.

 

[Ref]

Cleveland at Cincinatti : the battle of Ohio. Cincy has the 4th best passing attack and the 26th rushing attack. Burrows is on fire. The Browns have the #4 rushing attack so this game might be interesting. Both teams are run of the mill on defense with the Browns fairing worse in giving up rushing yards and points. They met on haloween this year and the Browns won 32 to 13. Surprisingly the Browns have won the last 5 against the Bengels and 8 of their last 9 matches. After beating the Chiefs and Titans the Bengels are due for a letdown. This game is my upset special.

CLE 27 - CIN 21

The Halloween win for Cleveland was spooky and lucky.

Cincy is firing on all cylinders and battling for first in the division. I look for the Bengals to smoke the Browns.

Cincy, Buffalo and KC are 1a, 1b and 1c. Home field may decide who goes to the Superbowl.

 

[Ref]

Bucs @ Niners : San Fran is the best defense in football. Jimmy G is gone but that shouldnt change much for the niners. The Bucs have the worst rushing offense are #4 passing. The 49ers have won 5 in a row. The Bucs have won 3 of their last 4.

SF 17 TAM 10

This will be an interesting game on many different levels. We will see how SF does with that rookie QB Purdy and if the SF defense will continue their strong performance.

Brady has lost a step, and if TB has any chance they have to step up their offence.

Should be a cose and low scoring game.

Appreciate your weekly threads

 

[Ref]

Baltimore @ Pittsburg : The Steelers have beat the Ravens 4 straight and this week without Lamar Jackson dont expect anything different.

Pit : 23 Bal 12

The Ravens have a strong ground game, even without Lamar at the pivot. I love watching the games between these two foes as it is what Madden use to call "smash-mouth football".

Even though Pitts is the pits this season, they will be ready for this game.

Probably come down a last minute drive.

 

[Ref]

Minnesota @ Detroit - It seems like the Lions have not been favorites since 1957 and I am not quite sure why they are in this game. When these two teams met in September the Lions were in the lead until the Vikes scored 14 unanswered points in the 4th. Detroit is 1-9 against Minnesota with their lone win coming in December of 2021 at Ford field. Every win for the Vikings after week 1 have been by 1 score or less. The Lions have won 4 of 5 and their lone loss was Thanksgiving when they went down to the wire with Buffalo and nearly pulled out the win. The Vikes are 25th in rushing and 9th in passing which doesnt bode well for the Lions D, but the Vikings pass defense is dead last. As much as I would like to pick the Lions I just can't against a 9-2 Vikings team.

Minnesota 28 Detroit 24

This game has the potential to be a shoot-out.

 

[dirtydaveiii]

The Halloween win for Cleveland was spooky and lucky.

Cincy is firing on all cylinders and battling for first in the division. I look for the Bengals to smoke the Browns.

Cincy, Buffalo and KC are 1a, 1b and 1c. Home field may decide who goes to the Superbowl.

5 straight and last 8 of 9 isnt luck. The Browns obviously match up very well and won both contests last year against them in their Superbowl year

 

[dirtydaveiii]

The Ravens have a strong ground game, even without Lamar at the pivot. I love watching the games between these two foes as it is what Madden use to call "smash-mouth football".

Even though Pitts is the pits this season, they will be ready for this game.

Probably come down a last minute drive.

could very well be a 12-10 game

 

[LiveInTorontoPartyInMontreal]

This game has the potential to be a shoot-out.

I'd do a DK Monster tease on it down to 38.5 and bet OVER and parlay it with all your week 14 locks. Quite a few next week, too, if you don't mind getting paid next
week.

 

[LiveInTorontoPartyInMontreal]

This will be an interesting game on many different levels. We will see how SF does with that rookie QB Purdy and if the SF defense will continue their strong performance.

Brady has lost a step, and if TB has any chance they have to step up their offence.

Should be a cose and low scoring game.

Appreciate your weekly threads

Brady is 6-0 vs rookie starters. Everybody including the bookies are fading him. Is this too aggressive , Tampa Bay on the M/L ? + 155 area . . .