World Climate Declaration: There is no climate emergency

Frankfooter

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WWW.CLINTEL.ORG
GLOBAL CLIMATE INTELLIGENCE GROUP

Climate science should be less political, while climate policies should be more
scientific. Scientists should openly address uncertainties and exaggerations in
their predictions of global warming, while politicians should dispassionately
count the real costs as well as the imagined benefits of their policy measures
How many posts by the oil & gas industry claiming there is no climate change can this board take?
 

Frankfooter

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What is wrong with you ?
you have repeated at least 20 to 30 times
Exxon admitted it in court, clearly implying this was the smoking gun evidence that AGW is real

Well it is not.
science is not settled by testimony in a court
According to larue.
Whether climate change is happening cannot be determined by:
Scientists.
Lawyers
Public Opinion
Measurements of the climate
Consensus of climatologists
Consensus of all scientists

The only true way to tell is by larue and his plucky band of wacko oil funded lobbyists masquerading as researchers.
 
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poker

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poker

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JohnLarue

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Sadly…. The misinformation the oil companies spread has worked. Just look at what O&G and Larue post here. It would be funny, except it’s not.

sadly some fools think scientific hypothesis is determined by testimony in court
it is not
 

JohnLarue

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Co2 is a control knob…. Not even going to let that one slide a little. That is Troll of epic proportion… and outright lie.
oh boy
no
CO2 is not the control knob for climate

if you truly think it is the control knob for climate then you can explain why Venus is broiling hot at the surface while also having both a pressure & thermal gradient with altitude in a constant 96% CO2 atmosphere ?
and then explain using the same theory how mars can be frigidly cold with more carbon (95%) than earth ?

The physical laws of nature are universal

your hypothesis fails when compared to the observed experimental data
end of story
That is how science works



1661226600301.png
 

Pleasure Hound

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oh boy
no
CO2 is not the control knob for climate

if you truly think it is the control knob for climate then you can explain why Venus is broiling hot at the surface while also having both a pressure & thermal gradient with altitude in a constant 96% CO2 atmosphere ?
and then explain using the same theory how mars can be frigidly cold with more carbon (95%) than earth ?

The physical laws of nature are universal

your hypothesis fails when compared to the observed experimental data
end of story
That is how science works



View attachment 166052
If this is true, then why is Venus HOTTER than Mercury when Mercury is CLOSER to the Sun? The answer might surprise you!
 
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JohnLarue

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If this is true, then why is Venus HOTTER than Mercury when Mercury is CLOSER to the Sun? The answer might surprise you!
pressure
93 bar Venus vs 10 bar for Mercury

Try pumping up a bicycle inner tube , the increased pressure will make the tube hotter
 
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Frankfooter

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pressure
93 bar Venus vs 10 bar for Mercury

Try pumping up a bicycle inner tube , the increased pressure will make the tube hotter
Wow.
We should get Biden to fire all of NASA and replace them with johnnylarue.
Mr Science knows better than all of them.

.
 
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Pleasure Hound

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pressure
93 bar Venus vs 10 bar for Mercury

Try pumping up a bicycle inner tube , the increased pressure will make the tube hotter
Actually, it is NOT pressure that does it. It is the amount of heat that is being trapped by the atmosphere (mainly CO2 and sulfur).

The clouds of Venus have a very high albedo, which means that 70-80% of the sunlight hitting the planet is reflected. However, any light and heat that does get in cannot escape, thus heating the planet that much more. The average temperature of Venus is +475 F. Daytime and nighttime sides.Pressure might have some small effect (Gas Law) but it is negligible when compared to the heat being trapped by the atmosphere.

Mercury has no atmosphere and so there is nothing to trap any light and heat. As a result, the heat just escapes back into space. The daytime side of Mercury is very hot while the nighttime side of Mercury is extremely cold. How does Sun proximity or pressure explain that? It doesn't. It is the lack of sunlight on the night side and heat escaping very quickly (due to lack of atmosphere) that explains that.

Earth's atmospheric albedo is increasing due to increasing CO2 concentration, like Venus. As a result, more heat can be trapped inside the atmosphere and cannot escape into space. Larger CO2 (and other) concentrations means more trapping of heat. That is why CO2 is called a "greenhouse gas".....

Mars has both a very thin CO2 atmosphere AND is further from the Sun. Therefore, its average temperature will be colder than Earth's. Heat can escape into space faster because the CO2 molecules in its atmophere has a very low concentration and cannot block heat trying to get out.
 
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JohnLarue

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Actually, it is NOT pressure that does it. It is the amount of heat that is being trapped by the atmosphere (mainly CO2 and sulfur).
What traps the atmospheric molecules to create / maintain an atmosphere?
Gravity & that results in pressure as gas molecules are compressed closer to one another

It is 96% CO2

The clouds of Venus have a very high albedo, which means that 70-80% of the sunlight hitting the planet is reflected.
Yes, Russian probes measured temp / pressure upon decent to the surface of Venus
They also measure incoming radiation at the surface & it was minuscule (less than 20 watts / m2 at the surface as per Dr Robert Holmes) earth is 161 watts/ m2 at the surface. the high density / pressure makes a very thick atmosphere which prevents radiation from making it to the surface
limited income radiation, >>>>> limited reflection from the surface >>> limited greenhouse effect

20 watts / m2 vs. 161 watts / m2 for earth , yet Venus is 400 K hotter ?
due to pressure

However, any light and heat that does get in cannot escape, thus heating the planet that much more. The average temperature of Venus is +475 F. Daytime and nighttime sides.Pressure might have some small effect (Gas Law) but it is negligible when compared to the heat being trapped by the atmosphere.
Actually no
The probes measured a pressure gradient & temperature gradient as the probe descended.
60 kms up (96% CO2) it is 340 K & One atmosphere pressure however brutally hot 735 K at the surface (still 96% CO2) and 90 atmosphere

#1. Same atmospheric composition 96% CO2 yet going from one atmosphere to 90 atmosphere pressure increases the temperature by 400 K - despite a constant 96% CO2 - that should not happen if CO2 drives temperature. Clearly pressure/ auto compression controls the temperature

#2 Dr Robert Holmes determined the fourth root of the solar insolation ratio (Venus / Earth) factor equates the temperature @ one atmosphere pressure 60 km up on Venus to temperature @ the one atmospheric pressure on earth using the molar mass version of the idea gas law
Temperature & pressure equated once allowing for isolation differences for both a 96% CO2 composition and a 400 parts per million CO2 composition?
Clearly CO2 does not control the temperature

#3. Venus rotates very slowly , 53 earth days , yet the dark side is only marginally lower in temp.
How does the greenhouse effect work if no radiation has been incoming for 53 days?
It doesn't as a electromagnetic radiation moves at the speed of light.
Clearly pressure/ auto compression controls the temperature

#4. the surface temp & pressure dictate CO2 is a super critical fluid @ an attitude of 4 km from the surface & below. If CO2 drove temperature , there would be a break in the temperature gradient upon hitting that 4km inflection point. there was not
Clearly pressure/ auto compression controls the temperature.
One could ask how a greenhouse gas effect takes place when there is no gas but rather 4 km of a super critical fluid?


Mercury has no atmosphere and so there is nothing to trap any light and heat. As a result, the heat just escapes back into space. The daytime side of Mercury is very hot while the nighttime side of Mercury is extremely cold. How does Sun proximity or pressure explain that? It doesn't. It is the lack of sunlight on the night side and heat escaping very quickly (due to lack of atmosphere) that explains that.
limited atmosphere means a lack of pressure , similar to Mars (95% CO2)


Earth's atmospheric albedo is increasing due to increasing CO2 concentration, like Venus. As a result, more heat can be trapped inside the atmosphere and cannot escape into space. Larger CO2 (and other) concentrations means more trapping of heat. That is why CO2 is called a "greenhouse gas".....
the change is a 0.01% change in atmospheric composition due to increasing CO2
This is a physical effect (no bonds are broken or formed)
0.01% changes in composition do not move the needle on physical effects
IR absorption has a logarithmic relationship with concentration >>> diminishing returns as concentration increases
it is saturated & has been for a very long ( geological) time

Mars has both a very thin CO2 atmosphere AND is further from the Sun. Therefore, its average temperature will be colder than Earth's. Heat can escape into space faster because the CO2 molecules in its atmophere has a very low concentration and cannot block heat trying to get out.
a thin atmosphere means a lack of pressure which why it is frigid despite a 95% CO2 composition and more co2 than on earth
 
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Pleasure Hound

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What traps the atmospheric molecules ?
Gravity & that results in pressure as gas molecules are compressed closer to one another

It is 96% CO2


Yes, Russian probes measured temp / pressure upon decent to the surface of Venus
They also measure incoming radiation at the surface & it was minuscule (less than 20 watts / m2 at the surface as per Dr Robert Holmes) earth is 161 watts/ m2 at the surface. the high density / pressure makes a very thick atmosphere which prevents radiation from making it to the surface
limited income radiation, >>>>> limited reflection from the surface >>> limited greenhouse effect

20 watts / m2 vs. 161 watts / m2 for earth , yet Venus is 400 K hotter
due to pressure


Actually no
The probes measured a pressure gradient & temperature gradient as the probe descended.
60 kms up (96% CO2) it is 340 K & One atmosphere pressure however brutally hot 735 K at the surface (still 96% CO2) and 90 atmosphere

#1. Same atmospheric composition 96% CO2 yet going from one atmosphere to 90 atmosphere pressure increases the temperature by 400 K - despite a constant 96% CO2 - that should not happen if CO2 drives temperature. Clearly pressure/ auto compression controls the temperature
#2 Dr Robert Holmes determined the fourth root of the solar insolation ratio (Venus / Earth) factor equates the temperature @ one atmosphere pressure 60 km up on Venus to temperature @ the one atmospheric pressure on earth using the molar mass version of the idea gas law
#3. Venus rotates very slowly 53 earth days , yet the dark side is only marginally lower in temp. How does the greenhouse effect work if no radiation has been incoming for 53 days? It doesn't. Clearly pressure/ auto compression controls the temperature
#4. the surface temp & pressure dictate CO2 is a super critical fluid @ an attitude of 4 km from the surface & below. If CO2 drove temperature , there would be a break in the temperature gradient upon hitting that 4km inflection point. there was not



a lack of atmosphere means a lack of pressure , just like Mars (95% CO2)



the change is a 0.01% change in atmospheric composition due to increasing CO2
This is a physical effect (no bonds are broken or formed)
0.01% changes in composition do not move the needle on physical effects
IR absorption has a logarithmic relationship with concentration >>> diminishing returns as concentration increases


a lack of atmosphere means a lack of pressure
The atmospheres of Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune have much higher pressures than Venus and yet their temperatures are extremely low when compared to Venus. Yes, they are all further from the Sun, but since the pressures are so immensely high, that should counteract the low temperatures due to distance, right?

I have already said that there are atmospheric pressures (and gradients too of course) but they are inconsequential when compared to the amount of heat trapped by the atmospheres. I don't care if you don't believe it but the scientific method has already beaten you years before you were born.....

Sunlight (no matter how small) interacts with the atmospheric molecules and generate heat as an output. That heat remains within the atmosphere since the atmospheric density prevents heat from escaping (especially in the case of Venus). Compare what happens at night when it is overcast vs. when the night is not overcast. Overcast nights are generally warmer because the clouds trap heat. When it is overcast, the atmospheric pressure is typically LOWER than when it is clear. Clear skies at night (higher pressure) are generally colder because heat escapes more easily, thus cooling the surface more quickly. Reality readily contradicts what you have asserted and therefore your assertions are garbage, to put it mildly......

The science of heat flow has been scientifically proven for at least 200 years. I doubt that you will ever win a Nobel Prize for your hypotheses. If you wish to try to backup your conclusions, you are using the wrong direction approach. Begin with observation and try to match your hypotheses to those observations, not the other way around.....
 

JohnLarue

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The atmospheres of Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune have much higher pressures than Venus and yet their temperatures are extremely low when compared to Venus. Yes, they are all further from the Sun, but since the pressures are so immensely high, that should counteract the low temperatures due to distance, right?
gas giants Jupiter, Saturn really do not have a surface rather a core so the pressures you speak of are at the core & they will be plenty hot

You want to know why Uranus is cold?
is the flap down on your long johns?

the ice giants Uranus and Neptune are cold because there is ice

I have already said that there are atmospheric pressures (and gradients too of course) but they are inconsequential when compared to the amount of heat trapped by the atmospheres. I don't care if you don't believe it but the scientific method has already beaten you years before you were born.....
the scientific method ? before the actual measurements were taken by the Venera probes
Science is determined by actual measurements

your response is a cop out

explain how there is a 400 K delta between two samples of atmospheric gas, both with 96% CO2 composition ?
40O K is not inconsequential

Sunlight (no matter how small) interacts with the atmospheric molecules and generate heat as an output. That heat remains within the atmosphere since the atmospheric density prevents heat from escaping (especially in the case of Venus). Compare what happens at night when it is overcast vs. when the night is not overcast. Overcast nights are generally warmer because the clouds trap heat. When it is overcast, the atmospheric pressure is typically LOWER than when it is clear. Clear skies at night (higher pressure) are generally colder because heat escapes more easily, thus cooling the surface more quickly.
explain how there is a 400 K delta between two samples of atmospheric gas both with 96% CO2 composition ?
it can only be explained via pressure differences

Reality readily contradicts what you have asserted and therefore your assertions are garbage, to put it mildly.....
The reality is you cannot explain the experimental observations using the GHG theory
Your hypothesis was tested by mother nature & it failed


The science of heat flow has been scientifically proven for at least 200 years. I doubt that you will ever win a Nobel Prize for your hypotheses. If you wish to try to backup your conclusions, you are using the wrong direction approach. Begin with observation and try to match your hypotheses to those observations, not the other way around...
..

This is Dr. Holmes work & was published
and you have publish what again? (The sum of sweet F All ?)
If you are too chicken or not sharp enough to even try to directly explain away his work , then you should at a minimum be respectful enough to say nothing


The reality is you cannot explain the experimental observations using the GHG theory
Your hypothesis was tested by mother nature & it failed
 

Pleasure Hound

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Argument by Authority does not work in science. In what year was the Dr. Holmes paper published? I bet it was some time in the 1950s or something.....

A 400K gradient is easily explained by upper atmosphere vs lower atmosphere. The upper atmosphere has a lower density of particles and so heat and light can escape more easily, hence a lower temperature. Near the surface, there is so much atmosphere (due to higher gravitational forces) above the probe that heat cannot escape the dense atmosphere. Pressure is not required here. You do not have much of a point.

The Venera probes were launched in the 1970s-80s, yes but radar observations of Venus have been made since the 1950s. There is also such as thing as hypotheses spawned by telescopic observations of the planet.

Also consider that the Venera probes (all of them) were constructed of incredibly dense material to withstand the immense heat on the planet's surface. How did the Soviets know to design them that way if they did not already know the hellish terrain on the surface? Think about that.....
 

Valcazar

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Argument by Authority does not work in science. In what year was the Dr. Holmes paper published? I bet it was some time in the 1950s or something.....
No.
It is probably the recent one that got a bunch of attention in 2017.

Warning: pdf link - article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.earth.20170606.18.pdf

Could also be this one in a similar vein.
 

Frankfooter

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The reality is you cannot explain the experimental observations using the GHG theory
Your hypothesis was tested by mother nature & it failed
Mr Science has me on ignore because I posted this study before, NASA measuring direct increase in solar radiation due to greenhouse gas increases.
But since larue's metric is a 'test by mother nature' I'm sure he won't accept it.

Observational Evidence of Increasing Global Radiative Forcing

Ryan J. Kramer,Haozhe He,Brian J. Soden,Lazaros Oreopoulos,Gunnar Myhre,Piers M. Forster,Christopher J. Smith

Changes in atmospheric composition, such as increasing greenhouse gases, cause an initial radiative imbalance to the climate system, quantified as the instantaneous radiative forcing. This fundamental metric has not been directly observed globally and previous estimates have come from models. In part, this is because current space-based instruments cannot distinguish the instantaneous radiative forcing from the climate’s radiative response. We apply radiative kernels to satellite observations to disentangle these components and find all-sky instantaneous radiative forcing has increased 0.53 ± 0.11 W/m2 from 2003 to 2018, accounting for positive trends in the total planetary radiative imbalance. This increase has been due to a combination of rising concentrations of well-mixed greenhouse gases and recent reductions in aerosol emissions. These results highlight distinct fingerprints of anthropogenic activity in Earth’s changing energy budget, which we find observations can detect within 4 years.

.
 

Frankfooter

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gas giants Jupiter, Saturn really do not have a surface rather a core so the pressures you speak of are at the core & they will be plenty hot

You want to know why Uranus is cold?

the ice giants Uranus and Neptune are cold because there is ice
 

Pleasure Hound

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the ice giants Uranus and Neptune are cold because there is ice
Um. No. The planets Uranus and Netpune are mainly comprised of methane and ammonia with some helium. There is no water ice on either but their moons likely have some if not dry ice.....
 
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