Lawrence Martin (Globe) - Is Joe Biden doomed already after just one year?

Moviefan-2

Court Jester
Oct 17, 2011
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This is a sure sign of trouble for the Democrats.

Globe and Mail columnist Lawrence Martin is arguably Joe Biden's biggest fan in the mainstream Canadian media. When even he is starting to think Biden's presidency is doomed, you know the administration is in deep you-know-what.

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Is Joe Biden doomed already after just one year?

By Lawrence Martin
Public Affairs Columnist

As U.S. President Joe Biden ends his first year in office, it’s pile-on time. Everyone’s having a go at poor old Joe.

Last week gave them added fodder. It was a three-striker. Mr. Biden was shot down on major legislative initiatives for Build Back Better, voting rights and a vaccine mandate.

Comparisons to one-term President Jimmy Carter abound. Even by that measure, he’s not looking good. Mr. Carter was a youngster by comparison to Mr. Biden, who is so enfeebled, one wag cracked, he has to rest between strokes while brushing his teeth.

With his policy agenda torpedoed, the pandemic still raging, and inflation on the march, is Mr. Biden moribund already? He’ll be pulverized in the midterm elections, so goes the speculation, after which he’ll be a dead man walking.

One thing you’d think he has going for him is his Republican alternative, the former president who was impeached twice in four years. On his handling of the pandemic, Mr. Biden doesn’t look too bad compared to Donald Trump, whose proposed remedies – have you considered drinking bleach? – fell a tad short of qualifying as medical or scientific breakthroughs.

With Russian armies perched on the Ukrainian border, would Americans want Mr. Trump, who made a habit of kowtowing to Vladimir Putin, at the helm?

But the American people don’t seem inclined to draw such comparisons. Mr. Trump leads Mr. Biden in head-to-head polls. On party standings, Democrats started 2021 with a nine-point polling advantage but, according to Gallup surveys, now trail Republicans by five.

Joe Biden is catching blame for everything. The pandemic was supposed to fade. Was it his fault that the voracious Omicron variant suddenly appeared?

The Supreme Court threw out his vaccine mandate and limited abortion rights. Is he to blame for inheriting a court more dominated by conservatives than in previous decades?

Inflation was starting to ramp up just as Mr. Biden took office. Was that his doing? Did he cause the disruption in supply chains, the main source of rising prices?

On several major issues, though not Afghanistan, Mr. Biden has been a victim of circumstances beyond his control. He tried for months to reason with Joe Manchin, the obstinate senator from West Virginia who sabotaged his Build Back Better plan. Compromise proved impossible. The same thing happened in the case of Senator Kyrsten Sinema, who undercut him on democratic reform. No president can corral the support of every member of his party all the time.

Where Mr. Biden went wrong was in overplaying his hand. Americans didn’t vote for a strong left-side agenda. They voted for him because they wanted relief from Donald Trump.

Given his wobbly one-seat majority in the Senate, Mr. Biden should have lowered expectations – not raised them. As for thinking he could work across the aisle and forge new bipartisanship, who was he trying to kid? The chasm between the two parties was and is canyonesque.

He was still able to get some good things done – the US$1.9-trillion COVID-19 relief package, the US$1.2-trillion infrastructure bill, a sizable economic recovery, a record number of judicial appointments for a first-year president, and the return of decency and civility to the Oval Office.

If Omicron fades away, the public mood will improve, as it will if inflation tapers off. If he can pass some of his Build Back Better proposals individually, such as lowering the cost of prescription drugs, that would win some support as well. But that’s a lot of ifs.

He now faces the threat of an invasion into Ukraine and with it – speaking of being a victim of circumstance – an awful quandary. Let the invasion proceed and look like a coward. Or go to war to try and stop it, an option Americans strongly oppose.

All said, the doom scenario for Joe Biden, whose vice-president Kamala Harris is a flop so far as well, looks possible. Politics is a cruel sport. People aren’t going to say, well, gee, he’s had some tough breaks so let’s give him a pass. A brutal loss in the midterms in combination with the handicap of his age – he turns 80 this year – will ramp up pressure enormously for him to plan his exit.

In little over a year from now, we’re likely to see other candidates announcing campaigns for the Democratic nomination. For the 2024 election campaign, don’t go to the wicket putting money on a Biden-Harris ticket.

 

Darts

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Jan 15, 2017
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Where Mr. Biden went wrong was in overplaying his hand. Americans didn’t vote for a strong left-side agenda. They voted for him because they wanted relief from Donald Trump.
Very true.

and the return of decency and civility to the Oval Office.
Very true.

All said, the doom scenario for Joe Biden, whose vice-president Kamala Harris is a flop so far as well,
But Harris looks like me. It says so right on my T-shirt.
Two more issues. The lefties demonize the police and they want to take your money.
Untitled-2-33.jpg
 

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
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This is a sure sign of trouble for the Democrats.

Globe and Mail columnist Lawrence Martin is arguably Joe Biden's biggest fan in the mainstream Canadian media. When even he is starting to think Biden's presidency is doomed, you know the administration is in deep you-know-what.
Lawrence Martin was Biden's biggest fan in Canada?
You believe that?
 

Moviefan-2

Court Jester
Oct 17, 2011
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Lawrence Martin was Biden's biggest fan in Canada?
You believe that?
To be much more precise, I said he was "arguably" Biden's biggest fan "in the mainstream Canadian media."

I certainly don't claim to be the ultimate authority on leftist mainstream columnists in this country but there's little doubt Martin has been a huge cheerleader for Biden.

Have you read his columns? He was continuing to heap tremendous praise on Biden long after most other leftist columnists were at least somewhat critical of the president's performance.



 

danmand

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Nov 28, 2003
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Moviefan-2

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Oct 17, 2011
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The problem for Democrats in 2022 is the comparisons with Trump don't matter.

Trump isn't president and it's highly unlikely the "Trump card" will help the Democrats in the mid-terms. As Terry McAuliffe knows all too well.

Furthermore, Trump's approval rating was low but consistent throughout his time in office and he maintained strong support among his base. By contrast, Biden has suffered a significant drop and much of his base is losing faith.

Some polls now have more Hispanics preferring the Republicans over the Democrats and there are now more Americans who self-identify as Republicans.



As for 2024, the comparisons are meaningless. Regardless of what Trump does, it's very unlikely Biden will be on the ticket, despite his claims to the contrary. It may sound harsh but there's a very good chance Biden will be in a nursing home by then.
 
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danmand

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Nov 28, 2003
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The problem for Democrats in 2022 is the comparisons with Trump don't matter.

Trump isn't president and it's highly unlikely the "Trump card" will help the Democrats in the mid-terms. As Terry McCauliffe knows all too well.

Furthermore, Trump's approval rating was low but consistent throughout his time in office, while Biden has suffered a significant drop. He had a relatively strong approval rating at the start of 2021 but has begun 2022 with greater disapproval ratings.

As for 2024, the comparisons are meaningless. Regardless of what Trump does, it's very unlikely Biden will be on the ticket, despite his claims to the contrary. It may sound harsh but there's a very good chance Biden will be in a nursing home by then.
Sorry, I don't think most of us care about the USA election in 2024.
 

Frankfooter

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To be much more precise, I said he was "arguably" Biden's biggest fan "in the mainstream Canadian media."

I certainly don't claim to be the ultimate authority on leftist mainstream columnists in this country but there's little doubt Martin has been a huge cheerleader for Biden.
You have to be pretty far out on the right to call Martin a 'leftist mainstream' columnist.
I'm sure you think the Globe is a pinko paper.
 

dirtydaveiii

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Mar 21, 2018
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He is still 4 points ahead or the guy he beat by almost 8 million votes and that was before the losers failed coup. If established runs he might be in trouble
 

Moviefan-2

Court Jester
Oct 17, 2011
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Sorry, I don't think most of us care about the USA election in 2024.
Maybe, maybe not.

I've seen other posts (like the one above that was posted while I was initially writing this) that compare Biden's approval ratings to Trump's - something that will be meaningless this year.
 

Moviefan-2

Court Jester
Oct 17, 2011
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He is still 4 points ahead or the guy he beat by almost 8 million votes and that was before the losers failed coup. If established runs he might be in trouble
I don't think it matters. It won't be a factor in 2022 and I remain convinced Biden won't be capable of seeking re-election in 2024. Apart from his failing health and mental faculties, it should be noted a strong majority of Americans don't want Biden to run again.

Furthermore, talking about Trump may hurt the Democrats in the mid-terms.

Biden was elected to restore calm after Trump's four years of intentional disruption. Rather than restore calm, things seem more chaotic than ever, with one policy disaster after another.

This week alone has seen Biden give a tacit endorsement to a "minor" Russian incursion in Ukraine, an argument that he may not accept the results of the mid-terms and a failed attempt to defend his disastrous speech from last week.

To go back to my original post, it's not just people like me who think he's blowing it. When a columnist like Lawrence Martin thinks it may be game over, you know the president is in huge trouble.
 
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silentkisser

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As I've said before, I'm not the hugest Biden fan. But, a lot of the criticism of him is misplaced or has a definite partisan twinge to it. I mean, when Fox or the right-wing media try to paint Biden in mental decline, but ignored glaring instances of Trump doing and saying bizarre things, the argument has to be in bad faith.

All that being said, Biden has tried to do what he said he would. He worked hard to get bipartisan support for his legislation, only to have the GOP refuse to support things that would directly benefit all Americans and their constituents. He says, and I'm inclined to believe him, that many GOP senators would probably have voted in support on some of these bills, but are terrified that if they support any of Biden's agenda they would get primaried. And if you think this has nothing to do with Trump, you are mistaken. The party is trying to both embrace and push away Trump's influence. And the fact that someone like Liz Cheney gets called a RINO shows how utterly ridiculous this has become.

Now, as the US gears up for the mid-term elections in November, you can be assured that states controlled by the GOP have probably done enough to ensure they will clobber the Democrats though gerrymandering and voter suppression. They will likely see strong showings in the Senate, House and even the state legislatures. This is one reason they fought so hard against the voting laws Biden was trying to pass. It basically ensures there will be a new type of Jim Crow style voting laws that will disproportionately affect POC. They will have a harder time getting ID to register to vote, they will have fewer polling stations so it will take hours to cast a ballot, and state won't allow them to drop off or mail ballots. As I've argued, and Biden made this comment, what exactly does the GOP stand for? We know what they're against (basically any Democrat initiative), but what are they trying to sell Americans? Smaller government? Well, Trump blew up government spending during his term, even before the pandemic. Immigration reform? They didn't do fuck all with this except inhuman treatment of people that included the stripping of babies from mothers, locking children up, and subjecting them to sexual abuse and other mistreatment.

Finally, Biden is not the greatest president. Not sure he's in the top 10, but then it is just one year into it. But, he faces arguably one of the greatest challenges of any president. There is the pandemic, which continues to kill thousands every week (mostly due to right-winger fear of vaccines or just stubbornness from being told what to do), an economy in the toilet (massive job losses and supply chain issues that are global), and a divided nation that includes one political party that supported an attempted coup to stop the peaceful transition of power. How is he supposed to achieve anything with that? And sure, you could say he controls the house and senate, but does he? The Senate's arcane filibuster rules basically mean he needs support from the GOP to pass most bills. And while it should be split 50-50, Manchin and Sinema supported the GOP. This is a mess. And I honestly wonder how American democracy can survive all of this. As Canadians, we should all be terrified about this. If shit goes south down there, there could be another civil war. What does that mean for our national security? If America becomes a despot and no longer obeys its own rules, what does that mean for our sovereignty?
 

toguy5252

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Jun 22, 2009
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Sorry, I don't think most of us care about the USA election in 2024.
With respect I think that everyone should care. A return to office by the stable genius will do irreparable harm to democracy and freedoms in the US and that will spill over at least to some extent into Canada. The entire foreign policy of the now former Putin wannabe in chief amount to imposing tariffs which whether of not they were legal were condoned by a GOP congress. If JT, if he is PM, were to look at him the wrong way the response would be tariffs. That is the power that is held by a king and the chosen one aspires to be nothing less.
 

toguy5252

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Jun 22, 2009
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Biden has been reasonably successful given the circumstances he inherited, however the WH and Dem messaging has been terrible. the ability if what used to be the GOPO to seize and control the narrative is awe inspiring. By any objective metric Joe has done a pretty good job so far, however, I tend to agree that his presidency and chances or reelection are both in trouble. Time will tell.
 

silentkisser

Master of Disaster
Jun 10, 2008
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I don't think it matters. It won't be a factor in 2022 and I remain convinced Biden won't be capable of seeking re-election in 2024.
I think Trump will be a factor in 2022. The GOP still kisses his ass. There are still candidates who beg for his endorsement. He is still very popular with his MAGA people. And I think the Democrats will be able to use him as a cudgel a bit, though I'm not sure how effective that will be.

As for Biden, I don't think he'll run in 2024. I could have sworn he said at one point he was only running for one term. Hell, there is a chance he won't live through the entire term, but that's less of a risk than people might think. I mean, he has some of the best doctors and medical care available, so they could intervene at the first sign of illness, like a stroke or heart attack.
 

Frankfooter

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Apr 10, 2015
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No, I just have to be someone who has actually read his columns. 🙂

Have you read anything more recent than that 10 year old article?

The premise that Biden is done is premature.
We're in the peak of the biggest wave of the pandemic and hopefully one of the last.
The US economy is rocking, GDP is over inflation.
Supply chain issues will start to ease as everything opens up again.

By summer its a different ballgame.
The media will be filled with Trump and the Jan 6 news in court.
 

Moviefan-2

Court Jester
Oct 17, 2011
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I think Trump will be a factor in 2022. The GOP still kisses his ass. There are still candidates who beg for his endorsement. He is still very popular with his MAGA people. And I think the Democrats will be able to use him as a cudgel a bit, though I'm not sure how effective that will be.
I have my doubts the Trump card will work. It sure didn't work for Terry McAuliffe and the Democrats last year.

The fact that there's been a significant shift in voters who now self-identify as Republican rather than Democrat (one of the largest shifts ever recorded by Gallup) strongly suggests the mid-terms will be about Biden and his many failures.


The Democrats' downfall began with Biden's disastrous Afghanistan withdrawal and it's been all downhill ever since.
 

Dutch Oven

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Feb 12, 2019
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Biden was doomed from the start. He had a bad plan and a very fragile political coalition around him. He doesn't have the answers to any of America's problems (he doesn't have the answer to where he is on any particular day, or who his Czars are!), and even if he did, he couldn't find enough support for a focused agenda within his own party.

He was always to be a caretaker President. Too bad everything he touches turn to shit! If only there was a Presidential Maze for him to get lost in.

 
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