Toronto Escorts

Battle of the global warming alarmists - Basketcase vs. Frankfooter

Status
Not open for further replies.

Moviefan-2

Court Jester
Oct 17, 2011
10,489
171
63
You admit that anthropogenic climate change is real....
Then why do only 7-9% of scientists agree with you?
Well, this is interesting.

Frankfooter says my position represents an admission that "anthropogenic climate change is real."

And Basketcase insists that only 7% to 9% of climate researchers agree with that position.

Thus, if Frankfooter and Basketcase are right, that must mean only 7% to 9% of climate researchers believe that "anthropogenic climate change is real."

Either that or the global warming alarmists are once again battling among themselves.
 

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
84,588
19,283
113
So you post quotes with no sources, is that how you do your own research.
Anybody can post garbage on Rationalwiki & Wikipedia, and have people like you believe every word.
.
Quotes were from rationalwiki, and I note that you are only shooting the messenger here, not addressing them.

And the link to the ice age post was a Corbyn prediction from 2013.
Three years ago he predicted a mini ice age, instead we got record warm years.

Still think his record is good?
 

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
84,588
19,283
113
Well, this is interesting.

Frankfooter says my position represents an admission that "anthropogenic climate change is real."
Yes.
"Climate change" is too vague a term to have any meaning.

Assuming that you're asking whether man-made emissions have at least some small effect on the Earth's temperature, the answer is yes, I believe that.
So do Richard Lindzen, Judith Curry, John Christy, etc., etc.
Your only claim is now that its effect is minor.
And we've shown that there is a 99.99% chance that claim is also wrong.
 

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
84,588
19,283
113
You don't understand the paper that was in Nature (that you've actually never read) and you don't even understand the news release.
Funny how you claim to understand that paper better then then authors who wrote it.

Michael Mann, one of the authors of the Fyfe paper:
Our recent work (http://www.nature.com/articles/srep19831), which you fail to cite, indicates that the record warmth we are now experiencing can only be explained by human-caused global warming.
https://www.facebook.com/MichaelMannScientist/posts/1040204106035791
 

eznutz

Active member
Jul 17, 2007
2,394
0
36
Quotes were from rationalwiki, and I note that you are only shooting the messenger here, not addressing them.

And the link to the ice age post was a Corbyn prediction from 2013.
Three years ago he predicted a mini ice age, instead we got record warm years.

Still think his record is good?
Over the long term, his record is exceptional. And when he made his "Mini-Ice Age" call, he did so based on the historical evidence of sun-spot cycles.
As I said previously, I'm firmly with him in the "sun drives our climate" camp, and I believe the Sun is going into another Maunder Minimum period.
http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/SunspotCycle.shtml

 

basketcase

Well-known member
Dec 29, 2005
60,354
6,468
113
Are you and Fuji part of some sort of comedy act?

I didn't make that claim. ....
Oh really now?

I'm not afraid of anything. I gave you my answer in more than one post. And my responses were not incompatible -- based on the data, the impact is unknown but my view is it significantly less than 25%.....
7% of scientists agree with you. Just like only 9% agree with you about temperature increase in the past decade being stagnant.
 

basketcase

Well-known member
Dec 29, 2005
60,354
6,468
113
Well, this is interesting.

Frankfooter says my position represents an admission that "anthropogenic climate change is real."

And Basketcase insists that only 7% to 9% of climate researchers agree with that position.

Thus, if Frankfooter and Basketcase are right, that must mean only 7% to 9% of climate researchers believe that "anthropogenic climate change is real."

Either that or the global warming alarmists are once again battling among themselves.
Translation - desperate spin (worthy of groggy)

See my post above.
 

basketcase

Well-known member
Dec 29, 2005
60,354
6,468
113
Over the long term, his record is exceptional. And when he made his "Mini-Ice Age" call, he did so based on the historical evidence of sun-spot cycles.
As I said previously, I'm firmly with him in the "sun drives our climate" camp, and I believe the Sun is going into another Maunder Minimum period.
http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/SunspotCycle.shtml

So when you compare that graph to the graph of measured temperature variation do you think it matches?

If the current warming is the result of the peak of 2014, why didn't we see a much larger warming after the 2001 peak?
 

fuji

Banned
Jan 31, 2005
80,012
7
0
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
is.gd
You don't understand the paper that was in Nature (that you've actually never read) and you don't even understand the news release.

Apparently, a large part of the problem is that you don't know what the words "isolate" and "solely" mean. Try looking them up.

Pointing out that you are completely ignorant is not being "evasive."
So when I pay the $32 to get the full text and post in detail exactly what they did, when it does show they measured all the energy downwelling and related it to the measured composition of atmospheric CO2, will you finally shut up?

You think you can wiggle around misreading words but I have $32. Do you have the integrity to commit to revising your view when the full text shows you misreading is wrong?
 

Moviefan-2

Court Jester
Oct 17, 2011
10,489
171
63
So when I pay the $32 to get the full text and post in detail exactly what they did, when it does show they measured all the energy downwelling and related it to the measured composition of atmospheric CO2, will you finally shut up?

You think you can wiggle around misreading words but I have $32. Do you have the integrity to commit to revising your view when the full text shows you misreading is wrong?
I'll tell you what, Fuji.

You want to spend the money. Go ahead. And I'll even commit that I'll accept that you're right if the paper actually confirms what you're saying. But I'll only agree to this on one condition:

Since it's a matter of public record that you don't understand any of this stuff (you don't even understand the news release), the final ruling about whether the paper's data supports what you're saying rests with me, and me alone. Not you.

You agree to that eminently reasonable -- and non-negotiable term -- and I'll agree to your terms.
 

eznutz

Active member
Jul 17, 2007
2,394
0
36
So when you compare that graph to the graph of measured temperature variation do you think it matches?
No, all this says is that sun-spots are decreasing, and solar minimums have happened before.


If the current warming is the result of the peak of 2014, why didn't we see a much larger warming after the 2001 peak?
The current warming has nothing to do with the low peak in 2014, I think it's because of the study released that everybody is arguing over.
CO2 today is at 400ppm, I'm not sure what it was in 1990 when globalization exploded, but I would expect that CO2 exploded in this time frame as well.
The way I understand the study, from 2000-2010 22ppm of added CO2 resulted in a net increase of 0.2 watt/meter²/decade of radiative heat.
Seems to me that time + ppm CO2 = heat and 1990 seems like an eternity ago, so that may be the cause of current temps.

But our Sun contributes 342 W/m2 (1366 W/m2 directly overhead if your in Kenya) and if that falls then we all have problems.
 

fuji

Banned
Jan 31, 2005
80,012
7
0
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
is.gd
I'll tell you what, Fuji.

You want to spend the money. Go ahead. And I'll even commit that I'll accept that you're right if the paper actually confirms what you're saying. But I'll only agree to this on one condition:

Since it's a matter of public record that you don't understand any of this stuff (you don't even understand the news release), the final ruling about whether the paper's data supports what you're saying rests with me, and me alone. Not you.

You agree to that eminently reasonable -- and non-negotiable term -- and I'll agree to your terms.
No, nothing rests with you. You don't comprehend science, you misread the article, and you routinely say asinine things like AGW must be wrong because the models have large residuals. You are a kook, you are innumerate, and you have willfully blinded yourself to the facts.

The point of this exercise is to mock your aversion to reason, not elevate an ignorant person like you to the position of judge.

All you are doing here is proving that you will reject the study NO MATTER WHAT.

That says it all.
 

Titalian

No Regrets
Nov 27, 2012
8,500
8
0
Everywhere
No, nothing rests with you. You don't comprehend science, you misread the article, and you routinely say asinine things like AGW must be wrong because the models have large residuals. You are a kook, you are innumerate, and you have willfully blinded yourself to the facts.

The point of this exercise is to mock your aversion to reason, not elevate an ignorant person like you to the position of judge.

All you are doing here is proving that you will reject the study NO MATTER WHAT.

That says it all.
fugi, I believe you should read this article, no need to ridicule anyone. Even when you think your right.

http://www.succeedsocially.com/intellectual
 

basketcase

Well-known member
Dec 29, 2005
60,354
6,468
113
Not at all. Go back and read Franky's characterization of my position.

Are you saying he's wrong? :beguiled:
Who cares about fuji? Your own characterization of your opinion is:
Moviefan-2 said:
I'm not afraid of anything. I gave you my answer in more than one post. And my responses were not incompatible -- based on the data, the impact is unknown but my view is it significantly less than 25%....
Only 7% of scientists agree with you. You posted that survey so you must find their results reliable. You also claimed that there was statistically no warming in the past decade. Only 9% of scientists agree with that statement.

But sure. Keep on pretending your claims are supported by the evidence.
 

basketcase

Well-known member
Dec 29, 2005
60,354
6,468
113
No, all this says is that sun-spots are decreasing, and solar minimums have happened before.



The current warming has nothing to do with the low peak in 2014, I think it's because of the study released that everybody is arguing over.
CO2 today is at 400ppm, I'm not sure what it was in 1990 when globalization exploded, but I would expect that CO2 exploded in this time frame as well.
The way I understand the study, from 2000-2010 22ppm of added CO2 resulted in a net increase of 0.2 watt/meter²/decade of radiative heat.
Seems to me that time + ppm CO2 = heat and 1990 seems like an eternity ago, so that may be the cause of current temps.

But our Sun contributes 342 W/m2 (1366 W/m2 directly overhead if your in Kenya) and if that falls then we all have problems.
So in other words, posting about sun spot cycles is a complete red herring and has nothing to do with explanations of global warming. Thanks.
 

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
84,588
19,283
113
Over the long term, his record is exceptional. And when he made his "Mini-Ice Age" call, he did so based on the historical evidence of sun-spot cycles.
As I said previously, I'm firmly with him in the "sun drives our climate" camp, and I believe the Sun is going into another Maunder Minimum period.
http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/SunspotCycle.shtml
Right, so you think we are three years into the mini ice age as well?

Think I might have to bookmark your prediction, its going to come back to haunt you.
 

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
84,588
19,283
113
Since it's a matter of public record that you don't understand any of this stuff (you don't even understand the news release), the final ruling about whether the paper's data supports what you're saying rests with me, and me alone. Not you.
In other words, you will claim you are right no matter what happens and what fuji finds.
Just like you claimed you didn't lose the bet.

Don't take bets with trolls, they lie and cheat.
 

eznutz

Active member
Jul 17, 2007
2,394
0
36
Right, so you think we are three years into the mini ice age as well?

Think I might have to bookmark your prediction, its going to come back to haunt you.
I certainly hope the predictions are wrong, but when NASA puts out a prediction like this, you start to worry.
Here is NASA's prediction for cycle 25 from 2006, you should pay attention to their cycle 24 prediction and compare to the actual I posted below.


≈210-yr exists between Grand minima, the Dalton minimum occurred in the early 1800's
The Maunder minimum happened in the 1600's, and was much worse (practically no sunspots for 22 years)
It's been about 200 year's since the Dalton minimum.

But if we keep pumping CO2 at the current rate, could we trap enough heat to weather the storm.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Ashley Madison
Toronto Escorts