Reverie

2012-13 NFL betting thread

bishop123

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I know what you mean but its not like TB are traveling from coast to coast. From Tampa to Minny is not a big time zone difference, if at all.
 

Ref

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I know what you mean but its not like TB are traveling from coast to coast. From Tampa to Minny is not a big time zone difference, if at all.
Good call on the Bucs. Interesting stat about a road team due to win.

Other games I am leaning towards...

* Dolphins +3
* Chargers -4
* Eagles -1.5
* Redskins +4
* Colts +3.5
* Cowboys +3

Good luck to all!
 

K Douglas

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Ref, I agree with you on every one of those except Dolphins, I'm taking the Jets at home. I was all over the TB victory on Thursday so hopefully that momentum continues. Other games I like this week

Denver -6.5 vs New Orleans. The Saints have the worst pass defense in NFL Peyton should rip them apart.
Carolina +7.5 at Chicago. Call me crazy I know the Panthers have been horrible offensively but the Bears are on a short week. I see a sloppy close game decided by a FG.
 

freestuff

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I can't put $$$ on Skelton but I hate to lay a TD on the road in a divisional game so I opted for a 7-point teaser: SF -1/2 and Ravens +3-1/2
 

bishop123

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I can't put $$$ on Skelton but I hate to lay a TD on the road in a divisional game so I opted for a 7-point teaser: SF -1/2 and Ravens +3-1/2
K hope the Ravens keep it close or win that game for you. Fuck Cards stunk it up tonight. I was done by half-time and took a hit to the book balance, they can't even get one TD at home?! What a joke
 

K Douglas

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Week 9 picks

1. I'm going to go against the grain and say Colts +1.5 at home to Dolphins. Pagano will be in attendance I think that gives them a boost.
2. Gonna stick with hot hand and take Broncos -3.5 at Cincinnati. Peyton is on fire and defense has stepped up.
3. Saints -3 at home to Eagles on Monday night. The Eagles are a lost bunch, Vick is almost done and the o line hasn't been opening holes for McCoy.
4. Pack -11 at home to the Cards. Its a lot of points but considering Arizona has scored an avg of 9 pts per game the past 4 weeks gotta lay it.
 

bishop123

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Take Pitt +3 in the afternoon game at Giants. Doesn't matter about the storm etc... They should win outright actually. Good value on Pitt i believe.
 

K Douglas

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I went 11-3 last week, my best so far. Hopefully can keep it up this weekend. Was all over Indy last night, man the Jags are putrid without MJD.
 

Ref

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I went 11-3 last week, my best so far. Hopefully can keep it up this weekend. Was all over Indy last night, man the Jags are putrid without MJD.
Good score, especially with Indy. Luck is impressive.

Post your Sunday picks soon.
 

K Douglas

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Here you go Ref. I'm not a big fan of this week's matchups but my top 3

Falcons -1 at Saints. Ryan should be able to pick apart this d.
Dolphins -6 vs Titans. Locker is back for Titans will need to shake off the rust.
Texans +1 at Bears. As long as they don't turn ball over I like Houston here simply because they are a better all around team.
 

K Douglas

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Last week was pedestrian. Hopefully a better week 11

Packers -5.5 at Lions. Despite being obliterated with injuries they are on a 4 game winning streak and looking good. Lions have underwhelmed.
Browns +9 at Cowboys. What have the Boys done to warrant being a 9 pt favourite?
Bucs -1 at Panthers. Is this some sort of a trap. Carolina is 2-7 shouldn't they be at least a FG underdogs. I like TB they are finally getting it.
Ravens -3 at Steelers. I don't see Leftwich keeping Pitt in this game.
 

Ref

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Last week was pedestrian. Hopefully a better week 11

Packers -5.5 at Lions. Despite being obliterated with injuries they are on a 4 game winning streak and looking good. Lions have underwhelmed.
Browns +9 at Cowboys. What have the Boys done to warrant being a 9 pt favourite?
Bucs -1 at Panthers. Is this some sort of a trap. Carolina is 2-7 shouldn't they be at least a FG underdogs. I like TB they are finally getting it.
Ravens -3 at Steelers. I don't see Leftwich keeping Pitt in this game.
I like the Pack and Browns as well.

I am also leaning towards...

* Eagles. With Vick out they may go with the running game
* Jets. Just a hunch with them because they have been dusted the last couple of weeks.
* Raiders. I think the Saints will be a little flat coming off of last week

The Ravens/Steelers game should be fun to watch
 

FTWWTF

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On pro-line today, went for a tie in the Tor-Mtl game, Pittsburgh to tie, Washington to win, NYJ to win.
 

Ref

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Week 12 - Leaning towards:

* SF +.5 (I will take the SF defense over NO)
* Pit -2.5 (Bounce back game from last week...plus they play the Browns)
* Oak +9.5 (Cincy due for a let down)
* Bal -2.5 (SD is too inconsistent, though they did beat the Ravens in a similar scenario last year)
* TB +3 (Falcons seem to win with mirrors...)
* Stl +2.5 (Arizona is down to their 3rd, 4th, 5th string QB)

The GB - Giants game should be a good match.
 

K Douglas

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Ref, I agree with you on SF, Pit, Oak and Bal. I think Atl will beat TB in the aerial attack while Ariz defense will do enough to win an ugly one. Rams don't fare too well on road.

KC +10.5 vs Den. Arrowhead is a tough stadium to play in let alone cover a double digit spread as a visitor.
Ind -3 vs Buf. Colts are 4-1 at home.
Sea -3 at Mia. The Dolphins come into this game putting up 2 absolute stinkers. Shithawks are better at home than on road but are clearly the better squad right now.

The Giants/Packers and Bears/Vikings are too close to call, anything can happen there.
 

Ref

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Surprising number of teams technically still in it…I’m going to call ‘em all:

FYI - Spreads based on pro-line odds, so there may be some value vs. the regular books

• GB -4: GB is playing well and the Bears are hurting defensively
• Indy +9.5: The Texans must be reeling after getting dusted in NE. I would look for a bounce back game, but I get the feeling they may not be ready for Luck
• Den -3.5: Tough game to call…The Ravens have a few injuries on defense, not to mention a new offensive coordinator
• Jak +7.5: Miami has played well, but they never blow out teams
• Browns +.5: RGIII will not be in the line-up and the Browns are at home
• STL -1.5: I like Rams at home better than the Vikes on the road, though Peterson may make me switch…still a few hours before kick off.
• NO -4.5: This game will have lots of scoring – I like The Saints to outlast the Bucs in that department
• Atl -.5: The Falcons have a great home record, not to mention some motivation to beat a Giant team that humiliated them in the play-offs last year
• Sea -6.5: A road game for both teams. Tough call, but I’ll give the nod to Seattle’s offense
• Car +3: This is a coin flip for me. SD is really good at losing games they should win
• Ariz +7: Another coin flip. The Cards were embarrassed last week and are at home. Detroit has been a disappoint this year…Only playing for stats
• KC+3.5: Yet another coin flip. KC has a good record against the Raiders
• Dal +2.5: I like the Cowboys getting points at home. Mind you, this game will probably screw me because Pitt always screws me up!
• SF +6: Should be a great game. Mind you, the Pats handled Houston in a similar situation last Monday.
• NYJ +1.5: Someone fire the scheduler! What a dog game for a Monday night late in the season.

My top picks – GB, Cleveland & Atl.
 

K Douglas

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Interesting to note that Browns are now a 4 pt favorite. I'm just not sure on that game even with RGIII out.

My top picks for week 15

Mia -7.5 vs Jax
NE -6 vs SF (Pats look unbeatable right now)
Indy +10.5 at Hou. The Hou pass d has been horrific the past month gotta think Indy can keep within a TD score.
 
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