My previous statement had nothing to do with the American housing market. Houses in Canada are overpriced and the market correction that is occurring is long overdue.
The sales numbers in Toronto / Vancouver speak for themselves.... demand is dying quickly, thanks to the "soft landing" that the government has engineered. I certainly would not want to be a realtor right now!
IN THE CITY OF TORONTO:
There is a glut of condos on the market. Quite simply, the (greedy) Developers have overbuilt and they don't seem able to stop (David Mirvish - look out below). There will be a price correction on the condo market, but to what degree - I don't know. There simply is too much supply.
The single family dwelling however is a completely different story. Sales remain strong and demand exceeds supply. At worst, prices may plateau, however, the big crash that so many first time buyers are hoping for is not going to happen simply because there is not enough supply and very few if any new single family homes are being built. (A few brown fields perhaps.)
It all comes down to supply and demand.
That said, if there is a major spike in interest rates (3 points or more), or a major recession, single family home prices will fall accordingly. However, the bitch of it will be that first time home buyers hoping for a crash in order to get into the market and save a few bucks will find that the interest rates are now too high for them to be able to afford to borrow, or they themselves have lost their jobs and can't get a mortgage. A true "Catch 22" if ever there was one.