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Dubai crash hits new low

alexmst

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http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/markets/the_gulf/article6932539.ece

David Beckham and Brad Pitt are believed to be among the celebrities and sportsmen who bought villas in Palm Jumeirah in Dubai, a luxury development that juts out into the Gulf. But when the property bubble burst this year, residents saw the value of their investments collapse. Yesterday their situation worsened as Nakheel, the developer, and its state-owned parent made a request to suspend debt repayments.

The statement rocked credit mar-kets around the world and prompted analysts to question whether Dubai, the most populous of the United Arab Emirates, will be able to meet its obligations. The concern is that Nakheel will be unable to continue developing the Palm and neighbouring projects, leaving Dubai and its coastal waters an ugly, unfinished construction site.

When the 2,000 villas and townhouses on the Palm went on sale in 2002, they sold out in a month. Passing through en route to the World Cup in Japan and Korea were the England football team, and several players stopped off to sign up for £1 million properties on the artificial island, with Michael Owen, David James, Joe Cole, Andy Cole and Kieron Dyer, it was reported, joining Beckham on the beaches. Pitt and Angelina Jolie are also said to have bought homes.

Joe Cole was one of the few who got out in time. The Chelsea player sold his villa for about $3.5 million (£2.1 million) last summer as Dubai’s property bubble approached bursting point.

Nakheel is now in deep trouble and struggling to cover its debts. Dubai World, a government conglomerate that owns the developer, is $60 billion in the red. Yesterday’s announcement by the Dubai government that it wishes to suspend repayment of Dubai World’s debts for six months, including a $4 billion bond held by Nakheel that was due to be repaid next month, is the clearest indication that the emirate can no longer meet its obligations.

Work has stopped on several major projects around the city and companies have had to accept huge cuts in the value of their contracts. More than 400 projects worth more than $300 billion are said to have been cancelled or shut down as a result of the property collapse.

Recent reports claimed that British companies were owed £200 million by Dubai’s government-owned companies, but some analysts put the total figure much higher. “The bigger construction companies have to take it because if Dubai bounces back they want to pick up more work. Smaller companies have to take any money they can,” one local analyst said.

Thousands flocked to Dubai during the boom, enticed by the tax-free lifestyle. Many invested in property, expecting huge returns as the market soared. By 2007 villas were changing hands at prices 200 per cent higher than four years earlier, and rents skyrocketed as Dubai became intoxicated by a property boom echoed worldwide and by its sense of achieving the impossible.

When the Atlantis hotel was opened on Palm Jumeirah a year ago with a $20 million party headlined by Kylie Minogue, it was supposed to crown the island’s self-styled reputation as an Eighth Wonder of the World. It was also supposed to cement Dubai’s position as a new playground for the rich and famous. The $1 million firework display helped to distract attention from a construction boom running out of steam.

The Dubai government has done its best to deny that a problem exists, claiming recently that the population would rise this year by 400,000, flying in the face of all independent assessments, which predict a sharp fall. The anecdotal stories of cars abandoned at Dubai International airport with credit cards in the glove box have become the stuff of legend, and not the image that the government has sought to project. :D

Some parts of Dubai World remain strong, in particular DP World, the third-largest international ports operator, which bought P&O in 2006. DP World also owns ports in Britain such as Tilbury in Essex. But those parts of the business that were founded on the property boom, and Nakheel in particular, are likely to continue to struggle until the property market recovers and construction can begin again in earnest. Even then, bankers’ confidence in the business may be shot.

Altogether, the Dubai government and its companies have more than $80 billion of debt. The emirate, which has a population of only two million, has been forced twice to approach its oil-rich neighbour in Abu Dhabi for the funds to bail it out. The federal Government has approved $15 billion in bonds and more will have to follow if Dubai’s state-owned businesses are to survive until an economic recovery can take hold
 

Berlin

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.... shit, I knew Dubai was not in that good a financial shape but that's definitely right ... new low.

And at the same time, look at our real estate in say Toronto. The market is HOT while we're still IMNSHO in recession. Hope it is not another bubble on its way on our Canadian soil fueled by global speculation


Some comments from Dubai residents at the BBC
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/8381363.stm

This news doesn't come as a surprise to anyone here, although the government has kept quiet on the subject and people don't discuss it.
We've been concerned about the situation for quite some time. Since July we've had two increases in our electricity bills. Our monthly bill was £15,000, now it is nearly £30,000. That is a massive industrial price hike and it's totally unjustified in this oil-rich country.

Everyone is aware of the situation, but people don't dare talk openly about it. Everyone is worried.

The property market has crashed - we weren't involved in property, but many people did get involved and many people left overnight. If you go to the airport you'll see many abandoned cars.

I myself know a few people who are no longer around. It makes you wonder where did these people go.

The personal debt situation is very worrying. Leaving the country is the obvious solution for the foreigners - there are no loyalties, no families to stick around for, so people leave overnight.

I am quite pessimistic. I don't think it will get better soon, it will take at least five years for the economy to recover. Everyone is affected - the banks, the economy, the industry, individuals.

I think this will be the end of the Dubai dream. They'll definitely introduce taxes from next year, there are no more gaps to fill in the market, other places are cheaper to run businesses and the industry will dry up.
They've got to get together in Abu Dhabi, they need to bail us out. Otherwise, it's not looking good.

We are thinking of shifting the business elsewhere - perhaps to the subcontinent.
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More at the link
 
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Berlin

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Dubai World is likely to be forced into asset sales after the credit crisis triggered a crash in the value of its property assets and decimated finance and tourism in the state. House prices in Dubai slumped by 47 per cent in the second quarter, compared with a year ago.
The Dubai government last week removed the chairmen of Dubai Holding and Dubai World, two large state-owned firms.

The emirate is due to repay $4.3billion in loans next month and another $4.9billion in the first quarter of 2010, according to Deutsche Bank.

Shakeel Sarwar, head of asset management at SICO Investment Bank said: 'It's shocking because for the past few months the news coming out has given investors comfort that Dubai would most probably be able to meet its debt obligations.'

more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/wor...bai-developers-debt-crisis.html#ixzz0Y20HUcRk

Palm Jumeirah in 2007
http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2009/11/26/article-0-00897BDA000004B0-143_634x382_popup.jpg

Burj Dubai and the Dubai skyline
http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2009/11/26/article-1231043-075E1EFF000005DC-839_634x420_popup.jpg

The World in Dubai, as seen from a satellite, on the 14th of May 2009
http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2009/11/26/article-1231043-074B5FBB000005DC-771_634x648_popup.jpg
 

Gyaos

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Heaven, definately Heaven
When the Atlantis hotel was opened on Palm Jumeirah a year ago with a $20 million party headlined by Kylie Minogue, it was supposed to crown the island’s self-styled reputation as an Eighth Wonder of the World.
I tried to tell her. :p One can't perform in a city in the middle of nowhere. This is the press she doesn't need now.
I hear the developer's debt load is actually $90 Billion. Kylie has $50 Million.

Gyaos Baltar
 

luckyjackson

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Aug 19, 2001
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yup, lots of footie stars bought there. Guess the clubs can expect some hard bargaining on their next contracts.
 

BottomsUp

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Wonder if one of Nicolas Cages' many foreclosed properties is over there.
 

mandrill

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.."new playground of the rich and famous". In a DESERT???!!
They said that in the 1920's about a place called Los Angeles. And they said that in the 1950's about a place called Las Vegas. Hmmmm....
 

MrMessi

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Dubai is a bubble just waiting to be burst and it has.
 

Berlin

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... it is still crashing for sure but I think it will reinvent itself into something targeting even more towards family crowd. Someone mentioned Vegas , and I think that's a fair example.

They have deep enough pockets to prop it up , major changes they will have to go through most certainly.
 

Gyaos

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Heaven, definately Heaven
... it is still crashing for sure but I think it will reinvent itself into something targeting even more towards family crowd. Someone mentioned Vegas , and I think that's a fair example. They have deep enough pockets to prop it up , major changes they will have to go through most certainly.
Dubai is dead, with a debt load twice the size they are claiming. Macau will take them to town, funded by Hong Kong and China. At least there's a Chinese restaurant there.

Gyaos.
 

mandrill

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... it is still crashing for sure but I think it will reinvent itself into something targeting even more towards family crowd. Someone mentioned Vegas , and I think that's a fair example.

They have deep enough pockets to prop it up , major changes they will have to go through most certainly.
My feeling too. They will bounce back on a more modest level. The idea of a sharia-free "happy zone" for wealthy Muslims who want to live high on the hog is too good to stay dead.:)
 

hinz

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Hopefully nobody is going to say "Al-Naqba" in Dubai...

Exactly a year ago Mumbai, the financial capital of India was attacked by Al-Qaida inspired/affiliated terrorists from Pakistan

A year later the commercial real estate bubble burst in Dubai

Who's going to be hit next in 2010? Shanghai???

Let's hope not the case cause you're going to say goodbye to your nest egg!!!:eek:
 

Berlin

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Dubai is dead, with a debt load twice the size they are claiming. Macau will take them to town, funded by Hong Kong and China. At least there's a Chinese restaurant there.

Gyaos.
Yeah yeah yeah .... you like Macau more because of their " Fish Tanks". You know, the fish with numbers :D
 
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