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Ethiopian Plane Crash

jcpro

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Jan 31, 2014
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The AF447 was 100% crew error, the FO completely fucked up and froze. There was some code that did mess up the pilots in recovering, but the FO panicked an put the plane into a deep stall then held the nose up. If he had just let go of the fucking stick, the plane would have recovered on its own.
Pitot tube freezing can occur under rare conditions and yes they did redesign these to make it even less likely but it can still happen and you can still get inaccurate speed data from any plane. Ironically, MCAS might have saved AF447.
This was not an insulated incident. The modern planes are designed not to crush. It's up to the airlines to make sure that the pilots know and understand the systems. In the Venezuelan crash the pilots rode the plane into the ground from 30 k feet despite the stick shaker. In Brazil, the pilot overpowered the system designed to save the plane after the thrust reverser deployed. It's rare, but it happens. These two will probably be another cases of operators failing to master the type.
 

poorboy

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Aug 18, 2001
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The AF447 was 100% crew error, the FO completely fucked up and froze. There was some code that did mess up the pilots in recovering, but the FO panicked an put the plane into a deep stall then held the nose up. If he had just let go of the fucking stick, the plane would have recovered on its own.
Pitot tube freezing can occur under rare conditions and yes they did redesign these to make it even less likely but it can still happen and you can still get inaccurate speed data from any plane. Ironically, MCAS might have saved AF447.
As jcpro pointed out, not an isolated incident. When Delta and Northwest combined, they discovered over a dozen instances where at least one pitot tube froze. The FAA equivalent in Europe, EASA had 17 reports of pitot tube freezing incidents on the type.

Your opinion differs from BEA's assessment that the crash was due to both human factors and technical problems. In addition to the faulty pitot tubes, the information given to the pilots was confusing and Airbus had to make changes.

Blaming it solely on a pilot is old school thinking dating back to when planes were wood and fabric and was not effective in reducing crashes because there is never one single reason an airliner crashes. Multiple changes need to be made to prevent future occurrences.

As far as MCAS possibly saving AF447, one could also argue if the plane was not so complicated, and had a simple stall horn that only measured angle of attack that couldn't be overridden by parameters decided on by the computer and a physical connection between the two pilot controls, the aircraft may not have crashed.

Automation is a double edged sword in emergency situations.
 

danmand

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Nov 28, 2003
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As jcpro pointed out, not an isolated incident. When Delta and Northwest combined, they discovered over a dozen instances where at least one pitot tube froze. The FAA equivalent in Europe, EASA had 17 reports of pitot tube freezing incidents on the type.

Your opinion differs from BEA's assessment that the crash was due to both human factors and technical problems. In addition to the faulty pitot tubes, the information given to the pilots was confusing and Airbus had to make changes.

Blaming it solely on a pilot is old school thinking dating back to when planes were wood and fabric and was not effective in reducing crashes because there is never one single reason an airliner crashes. Multiple changes need to be made to prevent future occurrences.
Pitot tubes as well as any other sensors will occasionally fail. Software systems on things that are in the air travelling at high speed have to be designed to be robust enough to handle occasional erroneous sensor data.
 

WarGames

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GameBoy27

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Nov 23, 2004
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I heard a report whereby some pilots experienced this issue back in November and reported anonymously to a site that's monitored by NASA. Haven't had time to do some digging on this, but if true, it's not going to look good on Boeing.
 

WarGames

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I heard a report whereby some pilots experienced this issue back in November and reported anonymously to a site that's monitored by NASA. Haven't had time to do some digging on this, but if true, it's not going to look good on Boeing.
Retired Commerical Airline Capt. J.P Tristani discussed this with Harris Faulkner today. He believes it is pilot error. I cued the video where his interview starts. He seems to know what's he's talking about

 

nottyboi

Well-known member
May 14, 2008
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As jcpro pointed out, not an isolated incident. When Delta and Northwest combined, they discovered over a dozen instances where at least one pitot tube froze. The FAA equivalent in Europe, EASA had 17 reports of pitot tube freezing incidents on the type.

Your opinion differs from BEA's assessment that the crash was due to both human factors and technical problems. In addition to the faulty pitot tubes, the information given to the pilots was confusing and Airbus had to make changes.

Blaming it solely on a pilot is old school thinking dating back to when planes were wood and fabric and was not effective in reducing crashes because there is never one single reason an airliner crashes. Multiple changes need to be made to prevent future occurrences.

As far as MCAS possibly saving AF447, one could also argue if the plane was not so complicated, and had a simple stall horn that only measured angle of attack that couldn't be overridden by parameters decided on by the computer and a physical connection between the two pilot controls, the aircraft may not have crashed.

Automation is a double edged sword in emergency situations.
Well of course, I said there were things that messed up the recovery. One of the key ones is the stick shaker being disabled below 70 knots air speed. So when they pointed the nose down and GAINED airspeed the stick shaker activated, without airspeed in an emergency this is a mind fuck. But who would ever imagine an A330 having less then 70 knots airspeed!!! Probably never happened before or since outside testing. Of course it would have been smarter to only do that if the gear is also down. but...hey programmers can be lazy...
 

wilbur

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Jan 19, 2004
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It is a software problem that has to be fixed. For an airplane flying close to the ground as in takeoff, it is not a viable solution to any problem to point the nose towards the ground.. A software (AI) system that does that is faulty, and does not have the appropriate checks on what situation the airplane find itself in. Why should pilots have to be trained to counteract a faulty software system?

Quite likely, Boeing had to get the 737 max out the door too fast for competitive reasons.

The MACS does not activate by pointing the nose down, at least not directly. Upon receiving a high angle of attack signal from an Angle of Attack sensor, it trims the stabilizer downwards. It does not override the pilot's imput of the elevator. But in these 2 cases, there winds up being so much downward stabilizer trim, that there is unsufficient elevator control to prevent an uncontrolled pitch down.

Pilots are trained in all kinds of systems failures. Boeing didn't think it was necessary to train them in case of this occurrence: that of the AoA sensor being faulty and sending a false stall indication to the flight control computer.

This problem was not insurmountable. The day before the LionAir crash, another crew flying the same airplane and experienced the same problem. However, they had the presence of mind to cut the power to the stabilizer trim, as is the procedure for a runaway stabilizer. They weren't specifically trained for that; with proper training, I believe that both accident crews would have reacted appropriately.

One has to be careful when using such layman terms as 'pilot error'. In reality, the pilots screwing up is the final sequence of events that result from poor aircraft design, poor procedures and poor or inadequate initial and recurrent training. Flying a transport category turbojet is not like driving a fucking car.
 

wilbur

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Jan 19, 2004
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Well of course, I said there were things that messed up the recovery. One of the key ones is the stick shaker being disabled below 70 knots air speed. So when they pointed the nose down and GAINED airspeed the stick shaker activated, without airspeed in an emergency this is a mind fuck. But who would ever imagine an A330 having less then 70 knots airspeed!!! Probably never happened before or since outside testing. Of course it would have been smarter to only do that if the gear is also down. but...hey programmers can be lazy...
Airbus 320/330/340 series don't have a stick shaker. There is a synthetic voice warning that says "stall! stall!".

The AF447 crash, although triggered by the freezing up of the pitot tubes, can be attributed to AF's lack of providing pilots with 'airspeed unreliable' training in cruise, plus inadequate crew resources management training. The First Officer, who was in the right seat, was in charge of the airplane when the captain was in the back; he lacked assertiveness when the relief pilot was the pilot flying. Despite the overwhelming number of error messages, he made the right call that they were in alternate law. That meant that there was no stall protection, only stall warning. He should have assertively taken over control from the junior and inexperienced pilot in the left seat. Easier said than done, and one has no idea of the confusion and surprize that must have taken place; but training for this would probably have saved them.
 

SchlongConery

License to Shill
Jan 28, 2013
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One has to be careful when using such layman terms as 'pilot error'.

But the news anchor said the Piper Cessna nosedived after the engine stalled. It would be pilot error if he made the fatal mistake of not filing a flight plan.
 

wilbur

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Jan 19, 2004
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But the news anchor said the Piper Cessna nosedived after the engine stalled. It would be pilot error if he made the fatal mistake of not filing a flight plan.
Absolutely. Did you notice the news anchor bobbing his head as he was saying all that? It means he must have known what he was talking about.
 

nottyboi

Well-known member
May 14, 2008
22,447
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Apparently the found the horizontal stab jackscrew and it indicates the stab was in full nose down position. Poor fuckers did not stand a chance. Question still remains why they did not disable MCAS, but I suspect they were not very high, going very fast due to unreliable speed indication and MCAS nosed them down before they could react. At full nose down position at 400 knots 1000 feet above terrain, that's gonna happen VERY quickly.
 

danmand

Well-known member
Nov 28, 2003
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The MACS does not activate by pointing the nose down, at least not directly. Upon receiving a high angle of attack signal from an Angle of Attack sensor, it trims the stabilizer downwards. It does not override the pilot's imput of the elevator. But in these 2 cases, there winds up being so much downward stabilizer trim, that there is unsufficient elevator control to prevent an uncontrolled pitch down.

Pilots are trained in all kinds of systems failures. Boeing didn't think it was necessary to train them in case of this occurrence: that of the AoA sensor being faulty and sending a false stall indication to the flight control computer.

This problem was not insurmountable. The day before the LionAir crash, another crew flying the same airplane and experienced the same problem. However, they had the presence of mind to cut the power to the stabilizer trim, as is the procedure for a runaway stabilizer. They weren't specifically trained for that; with proper training, I believe that both accident crews would have reacted appropriately.

One has to be careful when using such layman terms as 'pilot error'. In reality, the pilots screwing up is the final sequence of events that result from poor aircraft design, poor procedures and poor or inadequate initial and recurrent training. Flying a transport category turbojet is not like driving a fucking car.
I take at face value your technical information.

It is still a simple case of faulty software. For an airplane flying close to the ground as in takeoff, it is not a viable solution to any problem to point the nose towards the ground.. A software (AI) system that does that is faulty, and does not have the appropriate checks on what situation the airplane find itself in.
 

nottyboi

Well-known member
May 14, 2008
22,447
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The Wall Street Journal is reporting that the pilots of the doomed Ethiopian Airlines flight did in fact initially follow Boeing's new instructions on how to disable the MCAS.

Still could not regain control of the plane.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/ethiop...y-steps-to-disable-737-max-system-11554263276
Yup the disabled it, but were travelling too fast to overcome the trim, and manual trim is not possible at the speeds they were travelling. They were out of time, and altitude, throttleing back at that point would have been too late, maybe speed brakes, and pull back on the yoke for life, in either case, they flew by the book and they all died. This plane is dangrous, I suspect it cannot be fixed without major redesign. Its Boeing Comet moment.
 
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