Week12 - Turkey time

H

healer677

Dos XX at Senor Frogs
Jan 13, 2004
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Playa Del Carmen Q.R.
Week 12 - this is the week when the good teams get better and the lousy ones should just lay down and die.

Thursday Nov 25 -

Ind @ Det - at this point in time, who can stop Manning from throwing tds? not the Lions. Ind is a much better team than the 4-6 Lions. Week 11 Manning threw for 4tds and James ran for 204 yds. The spread will be close to double digits (probably 9 or 9.5) - I'll take Indy.

Chi @ Dal - da bears lost Urlacher....huge hit for the D. As bad as dallas is theyre gonna be favored by 3 1/2. I'll leave this one alone. But Dallas is just so bad this year.

Sunday Nov 28 -

Cle @ Cin - the browns are in trouble - Garcia might not play and they lost their best O lineman (Tucker). Cin is pretty awful, but; the D anchored by LB Farrior is solid. Farrior has my vote for possible defensive player of the year. The spread should be under a td for the home team. I'll take Cin.

SD @ KC - If Tomlinson has another 100 yd game (first since week 4) KC is in trouble. Brees is playing like a man looking for a new contract. SD handled the raiders in Oakland (not a small feat- yes Oakland sucks but the stadium is hostile). KC....*shakes head* - ok - the contest is - what will happen first....Vermeil cries like a baby on the sidelines? or the Tuna has a coronary? KC is actually favored by 3 - hmmm...this might be the steal of the week.

Jak @ Min - Will Leftwich play? will it make a difference? Minn had a hell of a comeback last week - 19-7 in the 4th.wow - and if Moss is back...ouch. Minn by 6.5? - I'll take some of that.

Phi @ NYG - ok maybe being at home will help. Manning got NO help from his team - Shockey dropped balls all day, O line was watching the plays, and Manning made rookie mistakes. Phi is looking to clinch the NFC East - they killed the blitzing skins 28-6. The spread will be just over a td - take Philly.
 
cont......

Wait - the next comment might be distubing to some -

Pitts rookie QB got sacked 7 times by the bungels - the skins can't win but they can show unusual blitz packages and theyre not afraid to use it. I sense an upset - Pitt ended NE and Phi streaks, can the skins end the rookies streak....I'm willing to bet on it.

Wsh @ Pit - this will be a double digit spread. I'm looking to hedge my bet on this one - but for once I'm hoping the dog wins.

TB @ Car - Car waxed the cards 35-10. TB is playing better and Pittman is running the ball very well (3 100yd games out of 4). Take TB for less than a field goal.

Ten @ Hou - oh boy.....I'm gonna say it - when will people start using the terms "injury prone and soft" to describe McNair? the guy is perenially hurt. Hou is looking like an expansion team - the early overachievement has been replaced by the reality - theyre not very good either. Ten will be favored but I'll take Hou at home plus 1.5 - I'd rather not bet on this one.

4 pm games

NO @ Atl - NO stinks - pick Vick. Vick was the offense last week - 14-10 win over the Giants...Vick had 114yds for 2 tds and rushed for 104 yds. The Saints?....did i mention....they suck. I'll take Atl minus 10.5.

Armageddon game - the immovable object meets the unstoppable force - the cant score versus the cant stop.

Mia @ SF - pick you own headache. Mia has a better D - hell, pick them just on that basis.

NYJ @ Arz - Arz broke my heart last week. The Jets won a close one 10-7 against the Browns. Curtis Martin is a horse - this guy does not get enough credit. I'll take the Jeta minus a fg.

Blt @ NE - tough game.....NE will be favored by 8 or so......NE looks good though, short week coming off a monday night game. Boller has a 3 game winning streak (good news) - is Lewis hurt?(bad news). Pats won a tough monday night vs KC - excellent ball control and balanced attack. I'll take the pats minus 8.

8pm

Oak @ Den - double digit spread here- maybe 11 or so. I'll lay off this one - even though Oak is just so bad.

MNF

StL @ GB - Martz is a putz. I've said it all year.They got beat by the bills....THE BILLS! the bills took them and flipped them like a 3 cheese omlette. Please God let it snow in Lambeau. GB is favored by 6.5. Favre is all heart...amazing win last week. I'll take GB all day.

Good Luck everyone and Happy Thanksgiving.
 
healer677 said:
Wait - the next comment might be distubing to some -

Pitts rookie QB got sacked 7 times by the bungels - the skins can't win but they can show unusual blitz packages and theyre not afraid to use it. I sense an upset - Pitt ended NE and Phi streaks, can the skins end the rookies streak....I'm willing to bet on it.

Wsh @ Pit - this will be a double digit spread. I'm looking to hedge my bet on this one - but for once I'm hoping the dog wins.
Click to expand...
May the Rooney family spirit strike you with lightening a thousand times.
 
Healer,

I agree with your logic and picks in almost every case. I am likely going to go with:

Indy -9.5 vs. DET
HOU +1.5 vs. Tenn
Tb -2.5 vs. CAR
Cle +5.5 vs. CIN
SF -1.5 vs. Mia

I am going with Cleveland simply because they have played some good teams very tough this year (Phil, NYJ), and I just don't think Cincy is very good. I'll take the points. SF is basically a pick the home team when you think the two teams are equally good, or in this case, equally terrible kind of pick.

I very much want to take Pittsburgh, and while I agree that Big Ben's streak has got to end sooner or later, I really kind of doubt it will be the Redskins that do it. In any case, 10.5 pts is a lot of points to lay, so I am staying away from this one. I also want to take the NYJ, -3.5 over Ariz. But the Jets have disappointed me too many times. Finally, I doubt I will bet on this game, but I do like the Chiefs, -2.5 over SD. The Chiefs are almost unstoppable at home, and although SD is playing well, I am guessing they are due for a loss. I think they are still a year or two away from being able to win tough road games like this one.
 
Homonger,

instead of the Cleveland game, would you consider the Eagles game? The Cleveland game is making me uncomfortable.
 
Yes, I would consider the Phil/NYG game. However, I am uncomfortable betting on games where the Giants are involved. I am not crazy about the Cin/Cle game either, but no ther game is leaping out at me.
 
It's getting harder and harder to lay off Indy even with a huge spread - WOW - 6 tds....and he got pulled late in the 3rd, Manning is awesome.

I'm a degenerate - I couldn't lay off the Dallas game even with the 2 rookies - thank god I took Dallas minus the spread.

So - its a good start so far....

homonger...how about the Monday nighter? I can see your dilemma with the Giants game and the Browns.....are you willing to take GB? At this point in time, I'm looking / hoping for bad weather in GB - Martz is a putz. I'm willing to bet he'll try a high flying offensive start to try to take the crowd out of it early. But playing outdoors, in Green Bay is always tough. Plus, I'll bet for Favre against Bulger any day.
 
n_v you were right!

Washington got beat - but they covered for me. I guess that evens it out (the win call was a stretch. lol).

Atlanta cost me as well - NO can't figure those guys out.

But everybody else covered. All in all a profitable weekend.
 
God damn...didnt have Jerry Porter in there, 3 TDs, 135 yds = a lot of points lost!!

didnt know where to post this as it doesnt warrant its own thread, just venting....and I stunk on pro picks this week, 8-13 thus far :(
 
Bad week for me... 2-3. TB, Cle and SF all losers. Cle and SF seemed like good ideas at the time, but now look really stupid. I did wind up also betting on GB for Monday night, so that helped a little. I am going to listen to healer from now on.
 
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