Tried something new.....Week 11 Nov 21st

healer677

Dos XX at Senor Frogs
Jan 13, 2004
2,154
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A couple of weeks ago I tried this new "Pools" game with the ProLine betting sheets.

I realized how much harder it was to pick the 14 straight up winners as opposed to picking the parley point spread winners. Although the rewards can be in the hundreds of thousands (depending on how many winners), I figured I'd have a stroke if I was in the running come Sunday night.lol.

So i think I'll stick to picking point spread guesses....and hope for the best.

1pm games:

Det at Min - the lions lost to the jags last week by a boot 20-17 and the vikes are coming off a tough home loss to GB (its amazing considering how poor the packs play in domes) 34-31. It should be a rebound game for the Vikings this week. I'll take the Vikes.

Den at NO - Den is coming off a bye - so theyll be well rested and prepared. Now, NO again - they were supposed to lose last week vs KC, but; they managed to steal one 27-20. I'm not willing to bet for or against NO, they're too streaky for my liking.

SF at TB - SF stinks...period. they lost again to the panthers this time around 37-27. well, at least they got 27 points (unlike Buffalo....thats another story) but this week its TB. TB at home - theyve been playing a lot better considering the start of the season. they hit a bump last week though, losing to the falcons 24-14. I'll take TB on this one.

Az at Car - now did the cardinals win one...ir did the giants lose that game. giants were up 2 TDs and they imploded (same as the week before) Az won by a field goal....Emmit is running like a 28 yr old again. Car tough waxed SF but gave up 27 points to the lowly niners. I'll take Car on this.

Ten at Jak - congratulations to the bears fans! what a game! da bears are showing signs of life - a safety wins it it OT. Tennessee just plain lost that one - no effort at all in the end. Jak is coming off a win at Det....I'll take Jak at home for this one.

Dal at Bal - Dallas is coming off a short week and a tough Monday nighter vs the eagles. I'm still waiting for the Tuna to have a heart attack on the sidelines. Bal showed that they can stop an offense. 2 weeks in a row a good effort. At home, they'll be tough...if its cold, even worse. Ill take the Ravens D for a win (like they say - offense is the sizzle, defense is the steak).

StL at Buf - STL is coming off a big win vs the seahawks. Amazing how the seahawks managed to turn this year to shit - considering they were early favorites to go a long way in the playoffs. StL will be favored....but I hate Martz. I hope it snows in Buffalo this week - that ought to stop the Rams high powered passing offense. But Buffalo sucks....they got waxed by the pats 29-6. Bledsoe just looks bad....awful picks he threw and the running game got stumped. Stl will be favored but I might just take the Bills (weather will be a factor).

Ind at Chi - the upstart Texans were taught a lesson. Do not screw aroung with Manning...he burned them for 5 tds and a total of 49-14. Chi played a tough game....all heart in the end. but itll be tough for them this week. I'll have to take Ind barring a double digit spread.

Pit at Cin - Who's gonna stop the rookie? Not Cle last week....and not the bungels this week. the bungels had a huge road win against gibbs but the buck stops here. Itll be the Steelers....again.

NYJ at Cle - stop the run...the pass dies. But can Cle stop the run? if they do it'll be a good day. Take Cle at home vs the recently humbled Jets.

4pm games:

SD at Oak - how to do you stop the blleding in Oakland? - give them a bye week. Drew wants to get paid! he'll have a good game. SD hands down for this one.

Mia at Sea - the disappointing seahawks vs the horrible dolphins. Mia is coming off a bye - which won't help...they still lack the most important ingedient in winning some games....talent. Take the hawks.

Atl at NYG - cold weather a factor? no.....for the giants, choking is the x factor. they can win this at home? but will they? i doubt it. take the falcons - it'll be close though.

Wsh at Phi - the city of brotherly love is welcoming the team that Gibbs built (not quite). But Phi is coming off a short week vs the boys and Wsh ahd a tough home loss from the bungels - might be time for a better effort. I'll take the eagles at home...i hope TO calms down though.

Sunday night :

GB at Hou - the packs suck in domes and houston was humbled by the colts - might be a good one. GB played all out vs the vikes and prevailed (in a dome). Can hou bounce back? maybe - but i'll take Favre.

Monday night :

NE at KC - the pats are solid...the chiefs streaky. take NE - the chiefs will give you indigestion.
 

healer677

Dos XX at Senor Frogs
Jan 13, 2004
2,154
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On the games....

Det at Min - Moss is out but the vikings should cover 8 at home. Hopefully the D steps up.

Den at NO - Den by a field goal. For Denver coming off a bye, its all downhill from here - they only have 2 games left vs teams over .500. Hopefully NO wont fluke one off.

SF at TB - tampa is gonna be favored....i'd hesitate if it goes into double digits though - maybe 8 or less for TB.

Az zt Car - Emmitt runs they win...that simple. Az by a field goal.

Dal at Blt - the balt d will run wild - Reed is on fire for Balt....then again theres that fellow Lewis they gotta watch out for. Blt by a td.

StL at Buf - hope for snow....StL by 1. Buffalo looks tempting....though they looked awful last week. Will the Rams players respond for one more week of threats from Martz?

Ind at Chi - i love da bears...but...no Urlacher. Ind big on this one - give em a td for the win vs chicago. Manning can throw tds blindfolded at this point.

Pit at Cin - like arizona - run and win. Pit has run the ball 152 times for 653 yards the last 3 games. plus the rookie is hot. take pit minus 4.5.

NYJ at Cle - this is the last chance the jets have to play someone they can actually beat. the last month of the schedule has PIT, SEA, NE and the rams. this game is a pickem. cle -1.

SD at Oak - SD minus 5. Oak sucks...period.

Mia at Sea - Sea by 10.....tough one. might be a push on this game.

Atl at NYG - poor eli...well, at least warner has his back. but, if Rod Coleman is in the line up - watch out! Atls D in the 6 games Rod played only gave up 13.3 pts and tagged the opposing QB for 25 sacks. Take Atl minus a fg.

Wsh at Phi - the eagles are hot, this'll be a double digit spread. TO is on fire. take the eagles minus 10.

GB at Hou - GB plays horribly in domes....but Hou has shown theyre not ready for the big games yet. GB is on top of their division- take GB minus 3.

NE at KC - no holmes - no running game. KC had a 300 yd passer, a 100 yd reciever and 200 yds on the ground....and LOST to NO!
I'll take NE minus a fg.

Good Luck everybody.
 

98Talon

New member
Nov 18, 2003
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Early OLGC point spread has Buffalo favored by 2.5. I've been able to capitalize on discreptancies in the past. You gotta wondere who sets these odds for the OLGC?
 

healer677

Dos XX at Senor Frogs
Jan 13, 2004
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Most of the time the OLGC lays the lines according to betting history -

an example would be the Bills....the rams too - a lot of people bet on the rams here...dont know why though. A few years ago it was the Raiders - i remeber an OLGC spread once for the Raiders which was 21 points - crazy! since vegas had the line at 17.

Every so often they do that - and if you catch it, all the better.
 

homonger

I'm not really back
Oct 27, 2001
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I am an uninspiring 25-25 in my Pick 5 league, so clearly I need advice.

Okay, this week I am considering:

JAX -3.5 vs. Tenn
Pitt -4.5 vs CIN
Ind -7.5 vs. CHI
Gb -3.5 vs. HOU
Sd -3.5 vs. OAK

Yes, all favorites, and mostly road favorites. Thoughts anyone? I can still make changes and I could really use the help.
 

healer677

Dos XX at Senor Frogs
Jan 13, 2004
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I think those are exceptionally solid picks except
for the Jaksonville / Titans game. I've had my second thoughts on that all day.

How about the Atlanta game? Atlanta has been playing well and if the preseason appearance of lil Manning was any indication - it might be a long day for the rookie.

or even

the Min / Det game - i know Moss is still out but theyre playing well right now. Although Mariucci is still a solid coach, his boy on the helm has been struggling.

if you're feeling extra sassy and looking for a heart stopper...

try the NE game - Ne should cover, though Arrowhead is a nasty place to play.But KC has been hot on offense and just downright shitty on D. If we paired them up, I think NE's D wins out.
 

homonger

I'm not really back
Oct 27, 2001
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Thanks healer. Why don't you like Jax? Of the other games you suggest, which do you like, given the following point spreads?

Atl -1.5 vs NYG
MIN -7.5 vs Det
Ne -2.5 vs KC

Personally, I like the Atlanta in that game, but I usually try to stay away from Giants games.
 

healer677

Dos XX at Senor Frogs
Jan 13, 2004
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Out of those 3....I like Atlanta too but, the Manning tangent has to be taken into account. The rookie got rocked in the preseason, but; he is a Manning (and comes from good stock). But, I'd bet against Manning only because it's his first start.Plus Atlantas D is just brutal around the QBs, never mind a rookie QB; these guys will have a hard-on for sacks.

NE for under a field goal is also a very good choice. Lets see - Priest Holmes isn't playing...KCs' D can't stop anybody and NE is on a roll - take NE under a fg.
 

homonger

I'm not really back
Oct 27, 2001
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Okay, I took Atlanta and took down my bet on the Jax/Tenn game. I am going to hold you responsible of course, healer.
 

homonger

I'm not really back
Oct 27, 2001
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Thanks for the help, healer. Had my first 5-0 week... Tenn, Pitt, SD, Atl, Den, all winners. Had a last second epiphany and decided to take Tenn, and to substitute Atl for GB. Good thing I did. This can seem awfully easy when you have a good week.
 

healer677

Dos XX at Senor Frogs
Jan 13, 2004
2,154
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36
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LOL

I'm glad you did well! Bravo!

Well, this week is over - on to week 12 the American Thanksgiving weekend!

This upcoming week we have the armageddon game - the immovable object meeting the unstoppable force - a team that can't score versus a team that can't defend....the Miami / San Francisco game.
 
Ashley Madison
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