Riding by riding polling

[emvee]

http://democraticspace.com/blog/seat-projections/

This website has an interesting way to project who might win each of the 308 federal ridings. Claims to be fairly accurate too.

 

[UMustang]

www.electionprediction.org

Got a track record with some previous elections, they only have one election where they have a less than 80% prediction rate

 

[ottawasub]

http://democraticspace.com/blog/seat-projections/

This website has an interesting way to project who might win each of the 308 federal ridings. Claims to be fairly accurate too.

That is a fascinating site. In case anybody thinks that one vote doesn`t matter, it might if you`re in one of these Sothern Ontario ridings where the current polls are extremely close:

London West: Lib 39.9%, Con 39.9%
Burlington: Con 44.1%, Lib 43.4%
Oshawa: NDP 41.2%, Con 39.8%
Mississauga South: Con 41.6%, Lib 40.4%
Mississauga Brampton South: Lib 39.4%, Con 38.4%
Etobicoke-Lakeshore: Lib 38.7%, Con 37.3%

According to that site, the following Liberal cabinet ministers are likely to lose their seats: Pettigrew, Carroll, Valeri, Blondin-Andrew, Stronach, Frulla, LaPierre, Ianno and Saada. A few more are in close races and might lose: McClennan, Brison, Mitchell, Fontana, Emerson and Chan. The rest appear likely to be re-elected. Despite Duceppe`s boasts that the Bloc will win it, Paul Martin has a big lead in his riding.

 

[Goober Mcfly]

London West: Lib 39.9%, Con 39.9%

Hey! That's my riding!

 

[langeweile]

Hey! That's my riding!

make sure you vote..looks like every vote will count..

 

[Goober Mcfly]

make sure you vote..looks like every vote will count..

I will.

Al Gretzky, bay-bee!!!!

 

[A-ROD]

I am dusting off my crystal ball(s).

 

[langeweile]

I am dusting off my crystal ball(s).

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[Goober Mcfly]

Holy shit, http://democraticspace.com/canada/2005election/latest-projections.pdf shows a 9 vote margin of victory for my riding...

Wow.

 

[petemeat]

Interesting site, thanks.

Also, looks like voter turnout will improve...1.5 million people voted at the advance polls.