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Pollsters WRONG - Conservatives hammer Wildrose Party

fmahovalich

Active member
Aug 21, 2009
7,256
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Wondering if the pollsters deliberately put out false information....as they had a special interest.

Never seen them SO wrong....Conservatives hammered the Wildrose Party with a Majority!
 

Big Sleazy

Active member
Sep 13, 2004
3,533
8
38
Just goes to show you the methane gas has gotten to the people of Alberta. Who would vote in a party that claims to be so wealthy from Oil and Gas production but has run a deficit for 3 years in a row. Brilliant.

BS
 

Anynym

Just a bit to the right
Dec 28, 2005
2,959
6
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Obviously a large number of Conservatives in Alberta don't have land lines.
Pollsters were calling cellphones as well as landlines.

But what's not obvious is WHY the polls were wrong.

Pollsters in Canada do not typically ask about "committed voters" - those who are certain that they will get out and vote. And often, they'll simply lop off the "undecided" as people who are unlikely to vote. But because of that, we don't know if, say, the Wildrose supporters were simply less likely to get out and cast their ballot than supporters of the Alberta PCs. Or, if they cast their ballot, but changed their mind at the last minute. Or if, as some have suggested, people planning to vote Liberal or NDP changed their vote to the Alberta PCs instead.

We don't know how the polls were weighted among the various regions in Alberta, or how voter behaviour reflected the polling methodologies.
 

fuji

Banned
Jan 31, 2005
79,957
8
0
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
is.gd
I have heard that wild rose was running a campaign to fill the media with biased polls to create a bandwagon effect, and that their lead in unbiased polls was far less clear.

Have but had time to check the numbers and see how true that is.
 
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