MLB Playoff Predictions

Ref

Committee Member
Oct 29, 2002
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Wild Card games:

LA over the Reds
San Diego will beat the Cubs
Detroit over Cleveland
Yankees over the Red Sox
 
Guardians in 3
Cubs in 3
Yankees in 2
Dodgers in 2
 
LA
SD
Cleveland
Yanks.

2 out of 4. Meh!!

Next round:
LA over Philly.
Mil over the Cubs.
Sea over Det.
Yanks over the Blue Jays. I hate to say this, but the Yanks are on a roll(10 out of 11, I think) and the Jays were up and down over the past couple of weeks.
 
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Absolutely shocked the Jays are up 2-0. Odds of them winning the series are probably 75% now. I had the Yankees.
In the NL I have Dodgers and Brewers.
In the AL I have Mariners.
 
Absolutely shocked the Jays are up 2-0. Odds of them winning the series are probably 75% now. I had the Yankees.
In the NL I have Dodgers and Brewers.
In the AL I have Mariners.
Kirk, Jays were doing exactly this same shit to the Yanks in July and August. The issue was how badly Jays would miss Bo and whether Vladdy, Kirk and the pitchers were tired and hurt in September and couldn't bounce back in the 6 day WC bye rest period.

If both teams are healthy, Jays kill the Yanks. Yanks can't hit the Jays' pitchers and their staff can't cope with high % contact / long at bats hitters like the Jays have.

The issue is whether Yankee S is so unfairly small that every pop fly from Judge and Stanton turns into a 3-run "homer" - because that's the way Yanks get their home wins.
 
Man, that wild card slate is a coin flip everywhere you look. I always respect the pitching matchup angles, and Mandrill nailed the Jays’ advantage there. For the next round, I lean into the trend data the same way I lean on my favorite betting source, Wunderdog NFL, for sharp reads when the market gets noisy—it keeps my picks grounded. Solid thread, Ref.
 
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