Is the Recession (or Mancession) improving?

GG2

Mr. Debonair
Apr 8, 2011
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What do TERB economists predict will happen in the future?

http://www.newsweek.com/2011/04/17/dead-suit-walking.html

"Brian Goodell, of Mission Viejo, Calif., won two gold medals in the 1976 Olympics. An all-American, God-fearing golden boy, he segued into a comfortable career in commercial real estate. Until 2008, when he was laid off. As a 17-year-old swimmer, he set two world records. As a 52-year-old job hunter, he’s drowning.

Brock Johnson, of Philadelphia, was groomed at Harvard Business School and McKinsey & Co., and was so sure of his marketability that he resigned in 2009 as CEO of a Fortune 500 company without a new job in hand. Johnson, who asked that his real name not be used, was certain his BlackBerry would be buzzing off its holster with better offers. At 48, he’s still unemployed."

-snip-

"Through the first quarter of 2011, nearly 600,000 college-educated white men ages 35 to 64 were unemployed, according to previously unpublished Labor Department stats. That’s more than 5 percent jobless—double the group’s pre-recession rate. That might not sound bad compared with the plight of younger, less-educated workers and minorities, but it’s a historic change from the last recession, when about half as many lost their oxford shirts. The number of college-educated men unemployed for at least a year is five times higher today than after the dotcom bubble. In New York City, men in the 35-to-54 kill zone have lost jobs faster than any other group, including teenage girls, according to new data from the Fiscal Policy Institute."

-snip-

"Maybe permanently. Once college-educated workers hit 45, notes a post on the professional-finance blog Calculated Risk, “if they lose their job, they are toast.”
 

james t kirk

Well-known member
Aug 17, 2001
24,071
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It depends what you do frankly.

If you have a skilled trade / profession (doctor, engineer, lawyer, accountant, technician, teacher, skilled tradesman) you have a skill set which will always be in demand. If you are senior VP of this or that, or a paper pusher, or "manager" - etc. You could be in trouble if you lose your job at 48. There was an article in USA Today I was reading about a manufacturing company in the USA that was screaming for Engineers and Mechanical Engineering Technicians - paid 80 grand and up - yet they could not find the qualified individuals. The article went on to state that nationwide - the problem was the same with an estimate 600,000 job vacancies in the Engineering / technical / trades. Truly skilled individuals are difficult to find.

Just being a CEO of some company isn't necessarily going to land you a similar job easily as in the example cited. The guy may think that his blackberry will be ringing out of its holster, but the reality is that the guy probably is a prima donna AND really - does he have a skill set or profession, or is he just like any vast number of MBA's out there who think that they are so smart because they can put together a powerpoint presentation with lots of pretty graphs and lines, or that their opinion is so right because they went to University to get an MBA vs. a guy who started out a company in his basement and built a success.
 

fuji

Banned
Jan 31, 2005
79,957
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¯\_(ツ)_/¯
is.gd
I have been continuously employed through the last three recessions. In fact, I won pay rises. However I know others, whom I consider to be capable individuals, who have not been so lucky. It really depends on what happened to your industry--mine grew. Not everyone's did.
 

wazup

Well-known member
Jun 12, 2010
4,278
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The US is printing or borrowing around 6 billion dollars a day to keep their country above water, not sure how that will end, don`t think it will end well.
 
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