Discreet Dolls

How Mark Carney is complicating Canada’s climate progress

oil&gas

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From cancelling the carbon tax to pausing the electric vehicle mandate, the Carney government is making sweeping changes to the country’s environmental rules

Carl Meyer
Oct. 7, 2025

A decade ago, Mark Carney gave a rousing speech about the power of governments to change course before climate-driven chaos shifted into truly unpredictable territory.


At the time, Carney was speaking to insurance market Lloyd’s of London, in his former role as governor of the Bank of England. He began by acknowledging how insurers had been “dealing with the reality” of climate change for years, as they watched damage from storms, floods and other weather events triple since the 1980s and soar in costs by billions of dollars.


But whatever the challenges posed by climate change, Carney said, they paled in comparison with what looms ahead. Science had already shown the planet was approaching the limits of what carbon pollution it can absorb before severe and irreversible consequences occur. It was clear humanity needed to reduce fossil fuel production and use, to halt global warming at the scientifically significant threshold of 2 C above pre-industrial levels.

So why wasn’t more being done? He argued it was because business and political leaders, focused on the issues of the day, had no incentive to fix a problem that would have its greatest impact on future generations, a paradox he dubbed the “tragedy of the horizon.”

“It is governments who must choose whether, and how, to pursue that two-degree world,” Carney said.

Today, Carney is leading one of those governments. He can choose to pursue that two-degree world with gusto. But he, too, has found himself consumed with responding to the many crises of the day — to the detriment of climate action.

Canada won’t meet its 2030 emissions target, the Canadian Climate Institute said last month, and recent federal and provincial policies aren’t helping. The institute said two of Carney’s decisions as prime minister — repealing the consumer carbon price and delaying electric vehicle sales targets — threatened Canada’s climate progress.


The planned expansion of liquefied natural gas (LNG) production in Canada, something Carney’s government is encouraging by designating one project in the “national interest” and cheering on another, could also “lock in emissions-intensive growth for years to come,” the institute added. This could jeopardize even Canada’s next climate target, set for 2035.

One reason Canada is missing its targets is because of the oil and gas industry, which already accounts for the largest share of the country’s emissions. While other sectors like electricity and buildings have been cutting their emissions, federal figures show carbon pollution from the oilsands increased 480 per cent from 1990 to 2023, and natural gas by 37 per cent.


These days, the prime minister still talks about taking action to address climate change, and of the advantages of building a low-carbon economy. But he also talks about Canada becoming an “energy superpower” not just with clean energy, but with “conventional,” by which he means oil and gas. When asked by reporters last month how he might adjust Canada’s climate targets, Carney said it was crucial to focus on “what can we do in order to drive emissions down in a way that makes the country more competitive.”


Then again, Carney has also been prime minister for less than a year, so perhaps his most significant climate actions are yet to come — for better or worse.


Here’s a running list of the decisions Carney has made that will influence how quickly we arrive at that two-degree world he heralded so many years ago.

  • Mark Carney killed the consumer carbon tax
  • Mark Carney paused the electric vehicle mandate
  • Mark Carney named an LNG expansion project in the ‘national interest’
  • Mark Carney named a nuclear reactor in the ‘national interest’
  • Mark Carney passed a law that puts pressure on green rules (and Indigenous Rights)
Mark Carney killed the consumer carbon tax

For years, Canada’s price on carbon pollution could be thought of as supported by two pillars. One pillar, still in place today, applies to big industrial polluters and operates like a trading scheme, with emissions limits that facilities require credits to breach.


Carney knocked down the other pillar on his first day in office, March 14. That branch had applied a fee to the sale of fossil fuels like gasoline and sent out the proceeds in the form of rebate cheques, divided among taxpayers. The value of the cheques didn’t change, so by spending less on fuel, Canadians could pocket the difference. Most households got back more than they paid.

But Carney entered the Liberal Party leadership race after the Conservative Party had engaged in a years-long campaign against the so-called carbon tax. Many Canadians strongly associated the policy with former prime minister Justin Trudeau, and “axe the tax” signs and bumper stickers had become a common sight across the country. Sensing the political winds had irrevocably shifted, Carney ditched his predecessor’s policy the first chance he got.


That move is projected to add roughly 20 million tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent to the atmosphere by 2030, the Canadian Climate Institute has said.

Mark Carney paused the electric vehicle mandate

Almost half of Canadians live near high-traffic areas, as well as half our schools and half our long-term care facilities. This exposes many of us to harmful air pollutants from exhaust fumes, as well as things like nitrogen oxide and carbon monoxide which can worsen asthma symptoms and raise the risk of lung cancer. Not to mention that the transportation sector is the second-largest source of emissions after oil and gas.


Getting more tailpipes off the road may not alleviate our monster traffic jams or fix our car-brained suburbs, but at least it would help us all breathe easier. That’s one reason why the Trudeau government put in place Canada’s Electric Vehicle Availability Standard, which is supposed to slow the tsunami of brand-new, gasoline-burning vehicles that roll into showrooms every year.


Under the program, when automakers sell new cars, SUVs and pickup trucks, at least 20 per cent of them would have to be “zero-emission vehicles,” a government category that includes both fully electric cars and plug-in hybrids that can run for a short time on batteries before its gasoline engine kicks in. That percentage then rises over time to 2035 when all new sales would fall into this category.

The sales targets were to begin for the 2026 model year, but on Sept. 5, Carney stopped it from going ahead, and instead launched a review of the program. His government said it was exploring other options to “bring more affordable electric vehicles to Canadians.”


The prime minister’s decision came after lobbying from the automotive industry over the summer. During his announcement, Carney framed the move as part of his response to U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs. He said the auto sector was “under extreme pressure.”


“They’ve got enough on their plate right now. So we’re taking that off,” he said.

Mark Carney named an LNG expansion project in the ‘national interest’

LNG Canada is a megaproject in Kitimat, B.C., that exports liquefied natural gas or LNG, a fossil fuel made up primarily of the greenhouse gas methane. The project is owned by a consortium of multinational and state-owned oil and gas companies including Shell and PetroChina.


The process to produce and export liquefied gas is hugely energy intensive. First, companies drill underground for gas, often by hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, where they inject water and chemicals into deep rock formations, creating cracks that release gas. Then the gas is cleaned up, compressed and pumped through pipelines to a facility where it’s cooled into a liquid state at roughly -160 C and loaded onto tankers to ship overseas. When a tanker arrives at its destination the fuel is turned back into gas, put into more pipelines and sent to other facilities where it’s burned for energy.


Scientists have shown that methane gas, which worsens climate change, leaks into the atmosphere at many points along this process — from fracking to processing, transport and storage. Peer-reviewed research indicates that, in some cases, all this leaking can make total greenhouse gas emissions from liquefied natural gas worse than coal.

On June 30, LNG Canada sent its first shipment to Asia, but the project has big plans to expand. Phase 2, as it’s known, would double the facility’s production and transform it into the second largest of its kind anywhere in the world. It would also explode Canada’s emissions: at full capacity, it would produce around 13 million tonnes of greenhouse gas emissions each year, or more than a fifth of B.C.’s entire emissions profile in 2020.


While the consortium is debating a final investment decision on that phase, on Sept. 11 Carney gave it a huge push by listing Phase 2 as one of Canada’s first “nation-building projects” under the Building Canada Act, part of Bill C-5. That law lets the project skip some legal and regulatory requirements for things like environmental reviews and permits. Carney said Phase 2 was expected to “attract significant private-sector capital,” contribute to economic growth and support jobs.

Mark Carney prioritized a nuclear reactor in the ‘national interest’

On the north shore of Lake Ontario, just east of Toronto, lies the Darlington Nuclear Generating Station. This power plant can generate around 20 per cent of Ontario’s electricity supply but its four aging reactors have been undergoing a refurbishment program since 2016, set to be completed by next year.


Now, there’s a plan to add four more reactors. A consortium of Canadian construction company Aecon and engineering firm AtkinsRéalis (formerly known as SNC-Lavalin) and U.S.-Japanese alliance GE Vernova Hitachi is gearing up to build a small modular reactor or SMR, a new type of technology where reactors are prefabricated and transported to the site to be installed. It would be the first small modular reactor of its kind to be built in North America.


Ontario Power Generation, a Crown-corporation wholly owned by the province, wants to install four of those prefabricated reactors at the site, and Ontario Premier Doug Ford’s government gave the $21-billion plan its approval in May. Following suit, on Sept. 11 Carney put the reactors on his list of “nation-building projects,” saying they “could support Canadian and global clean energy needs,” sustain thousands of jobs and drive millions of dollars into the economy.


Nuclear plants are non-emitting, so once the plant is built and operational, it would not be belching out greenhouse gas emissions while it’s creating power — unlike Ontario’s natural gas plants. But other aspects of the nuclear energy supply chain do create emissions, like the mining, refining, enriching and transporting of uranium.

Critics also say the huge cost of nuclear and long timelines — the first new reactor at Darlington isn’t expected until 2030 — don’t make sense when solar and wind energy options are cheap and quick to build. Plus, there’s the tricky issue of where all that nuclear waste will go. Canada already has a stockpile of radioactive refuse from existing generators and a plan to bury it near the northern Ontario town of Ignace has received pushback from some First Nations representatives.

Mark Carney passed Bill C-5, a law that allows environmental assessments to be trimmed

Building big things in Canada has always been hard, but the Conservative Party and some business leaders have been arguing the country lost its ability to get anything big over the finish line. The oil and gas industry in particular has lobbied against environmental regulations it views as having a chilling effect on new projects.


After the Trudeau government was elected in 2015, it tried to address the issue of projects getting stuck in the courts, by passing a law known as C-69 that was meant to address environmental and Indigenous concerns up front. But the law’s deep planning and review process, which can take years, only inflamed tensions with some provinces. This year, in the wake of the U.S. threatening Canada’s sovereignty, there has been strong support for a government that knocks down barriers to build up the economy within Canada, rather than relying on our neighbour to the south.


Enter Carney, who has tried to seize the opportunity to, in his words, “build, baby, build” by passing Bill C-5, the One Canadian Economy Act, on June 26. That law allows projects deemed by the government to be in the “national interest” to bypass certain rules, including parts of the impact assessment process that had been set up by C-69. It does this by automatically granting these “national interest” projects all of the permits and approvals they’d normally require, in one fell swoop.

The point of the federal impact assessment process is to examine the positive and negative effects that proposals could have on the environment, communities and Indigenous Rights. But it also allows for public involvement in projects before they’re built.


The Supreme Court of Canada has been clear for decades that Canada’s laws require the government to go beyond simply telling Indigenous Peoples what’s about to happen on their lands. Several First Nations have expressed concerns about how Bill C-5 could infringe on their rights. Carney held summits with First Nations, Inuit and Métis leaders about the law, and says his decisions will be guided by an Indigenous Advisory Council — which has also been criticized as not representative enough of First Nations.

 
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oil&gas

Well-known member
Apr 16, 2002
15,341
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Ghawar
It is great to see PM Mark Carney who was once a climate lunatic has reformed himself
and is now a promoter of oil production growth.

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Carney touted Bay du Nord for its low-carbon oil. This researcher says there's no such thing

Sep 12, 2025

Prime Minister Mark Carney's visit to St. John's this week came with excitement for Newfoundland and Labrador megaprojects like the Bay du Nord project, but an energy researcher says how Carney shared that message is concerning.

Speaking with reporters on Monday, Carney spoke about Equinor's Bay du Nord project, which has been on hold since 2023, noting the potential it could bring to the province and the Canadian energy sector.

"That's one of the lowest-carbon new oil fields, depending on how you develop it," Carney said. "The lowest-carbon conventional oil and gas opportunities… that this country has."

Bay du Nord was not listed on the initial batch of major projects Carney's government will help get off the ground on Thursday.

But Angela Carter, a researcher in equitable energy and governance and Memorial University political scientist, said Carney's reference to low-carbon oil raises a red flag.

She says there's no such thing.

"Low-carbon oil is not a thing. It doesn't exist. It's an impossibility," Carter told CBC News Thursday.

"This is an energy, power and oil industry term that's been created. It's a public relations effort to 'green up' a sector that, at its core, can't be greened up… Hearing Prime Minister Carney, you know, use that industry line of 'lower-carbon oil', it's deeply distressing."

Provincial MHAs and past premiers have touted low-carbon oil in the province's offshore since at least 2021, saying it presents a cleaner option than oil produced in other parts of the world.

While Carter said that is true when Newfoundland and Labrador oil is compared to the "dirtiest forms of oil in the world," she said much of the carbon that is burned as a result of oil comes downstream from consumers and industry.

Hearing an industry-created term come from Carney is especially disappointing, she added, given his understanding of climate change and a summer of burning wildfires — including in Newfoundland and Labrador.

"The connection here that is really important to make is that these fires are caused by temperature rises. So really hot weather that we're getting more and more of. So where's that coming from? That's climate crisis, that's coming from emissions. And the vast majority, 90 per cent of global emissions, come from oil and gas and coal," Carter said.

Carter said she's also paying attention to Carney's phrasing of Bay du Nord having lower-carbon oil, "depending on how you develop it."

While some oil producing methods Equinor could use may burn fewer emissions — if they decide to move Bay du Nord forward — she says it will still lead to emissions being burned in a time of climate crisis.

"The only real climate safe alternative is to stop using and producing oil, and to move to other forms of energy that are low-carbon. So this is evident by the science, unfortunately the politics gets a little muddier," Carter said.

 

Intrinsic

Active member
Jul 21, 2012
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I would like to see what Brookefield has been purchasing or what contracts it has been getting from Canada and or its partners over the past few years and even more so the past six months.
 

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
101,880
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I would like to see what Brookefield has been purchasing or what contracts it has been getting from Canada and or its partners over the past few years and even more so the past six months.
I'm sure the cons will release that info.
It should be public.

Just like it should be public who has donated to DoFo and received favours back.
If Carney did anything corrupt, charge him.
And investigate Ford and charge him if he's as dirty as the reports say.

 
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