Gas Contracts

SkyRider

Banned
Mar 31, 2009
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Anybody have any experience with fixed price gas contracts? I home heat and hot water with gas. Gas prices now are at a 10 year low (20cents now, 35cents a year ago). Is now a good time to lock in gas prices and with whom?
 
Don't do it. Most are scams. They lock you in at a rate significantly higher than current market price, and then if market price goes above that in the future, their contracts have a clause that allows them to raise your rate. Big scam.
 
I have kept track each time someone has come around offering me those 'deals'.... so far I have done better by staying with Union Energy.

I don't see how any deal where they can raise the rate for unforseen increases and bail out for unforseen decreases and I have no options can be good for me.
 
Almost got conned into one of these in WNY recently.
Glad I passed on it because prices have dropped since then and I would have been locked into a higher price...;)
 
SkyRider said:
Anybody have any experience with fixed price gas contracts? I home heat and hot water with gas. Gas prices now are at a 10 year low (20cents now, 35cents a year ago). Is now a good time to lock in gas prices and with whom?
If you can find anyone dumb enough to contract to supply you at the current ten year low rates for years to come, lock them in immediately. But don't expect them to stay in business.

It's simple: Their guys have nothing better to do all day than forcast the gas business and come up with a price they offer you that will make them money, after they've bought the gas at whatever the future going rates they predict. And they've hedged by buying some of that as future contracts with prices already set, as well. They roll all thet together with a buncha software add on their profit then offer you a rate that makes them money. Don't imagine you'll beat them at their game.

What you are buying—and the only thing you should be thinking about—is the guaranteed rate, a known price over a known period of time, that you can factor into your budgetting. That's all.
 
Thanks guys, I think I'll continue to buy my gas from Enbridge. These gas retailers sound like "snake oil" salespersons.
 
SkyRider said:
Thanks guys, I think I'll continue to buy my gas from Enbridge. These gas retailers sound like "snake oil" salespersons.
They are.
 
Back when these first came out I did sign up for one - and actually saved roughly 20% over a three-year contract. That was before the 'door-to-door' scams started up and I haven't taken a flyer on one since.

However, some of the companies are legit, and although the contract may allow them to change the rates they won't necessarily use that clause because a reputable company will want to keep your business. The legit companies contract to buy a specific amount at a specific wholesale rate from the big gas companies, and then they turn around and sell to residential owners. If they sign up enough people, everybody can win.

Too bad there are so many ripoff artists involved - it can be a legit business if it's done properly. The scammers don't care about selling the gas/electricity as much as they care about signing up more salespeople - sort of an Amway pyramid thing (is Amway still around?).
 
OddSox said:
Too bad there are so many ripoff artists involved - it can be a legit business if it's done properly.

Humans being humans, when they smell blood (or money), they all charge in and ruin it for the good guys.
 
PS:

Commodities contracts are common. That's why companies like Canada Post and Air Canada are still charging 'fuel surcharges' even though the price of oil dropped so dramatically. They're still paying the rates they contracted for when oil was going through the roof.

And they're now probably buying up contracts at the current rates or less. When oil does spike again - they'll still be charging us 'fuel surcharges'.

You can't win.
 
SkyRider said:
Gas prices now are at a 10 year low

that is not true. sounds like a 'presentation' made by a company trying to lock you in to a contract.

yes. lowest in about 6 or 7 years.... but true analysts know that gas prices will drop much further:

Analysts say prices will drop further
Sept. 03, 2009

Even this summer's first tropical storms in the Atlantic failed to boost prices as so much production has moved onshore. In the past, even the possibility that storms might develop into damaging hurricanes would cause prices to spike.

Analysis by the Energy Information Administration suggests that the ample storage and increased imports of liquefied natural gas from offshore could cause prices to "fall below current projections before space-heating demand picks up this winter and economic conditions improve."

The drop in gas prices, while good news for consumers, has dealt a big blow to the Alberta economy. Besides the thousands of layoffs among producers and energy service companies, the Alberta treasury relies on gas royalties for a sizable portion of provincial revenues.

In the 2008-09 fiscal year, Alberta took in $5.8 billion from gas royalties, more than triple what it got from oil royalties. Every 10-cent drop in gas prices costs the provincial treasury $126 million in lost revenue.

definitely not a good time to 'lock in' prices... and remember anyways, locking in comes with a premium fixed in the price. you always end up paying more.
 
21pro said:
that is not true. sounds like a 'presentation' made by a company trying to lock you in to a contract.

Heard this on CTV yesterday. Apparently, gas prices are currently at 20cent a litre or cubic feet or whatever measurement unit they use. CTV said this is the lowest level in 10 years.
 
yeah, apparently there was a trading blip on the NYMX that had gas hit a low of $2.41- which would be a 10 year low if it closed at that price. Gas is currently at $2.61 right now, though.

but, if you count the intraday blips, you'll see in Sept. 2001, gas dropped well below $2.
 
21pro said:
yeah, apparently there was a trading blip on the NYMX that had gas hit a low of $2.41- which would be a 10 year low if it closed at that price.

Was Goldman Sachs involved in the price hitting $2.41?
 
These guys keep saying NG has to go up in price given the fast depletion rates of wells and lack of new drilling but on the other hand the new shale gas plays are apparently huge and now that new drilling technology has unlocked them they have upgraded reserve life in the U.S. to like 90 years.

Long after I'll be gone.
 
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rafterman said:
These guys keep saying NG has to go up in price giving the fast depletion rates of wells and lack of new drilling but on the other hand the new shale gas plays are apparently huge and now that new drilling technology has unlocked them they have upgraded reserve life in the U.S. to like 90 years.

Long after I'll be gone.

Heh - it could happen. :confused: