Climate takes another hit as Carney delays EV sales mandate

oil&gas

Well-known member
Apr 16, 2002
15,279
2,654
113
Ghawar
September 11, 2025
Natasha Bulowski

Climate experts warn the federal government is taking another step backward on climate policy by removing the 2026 electric vehicle sales target.

Along with removing the sales target, the federal government will immediately launch a 60-day review of the EV standard to “identify future ways to reduce costs,” Prime Minister Mark Carney said at a news conference in Mississauga, Ont. on Friday.

“This will provide immediate financial relief to automakers at a time of increased pressure on their competitiveness,” Carney said, without specifics.

The delay and subsequent review of the EV sales mandate was announced as part of a suite of measures billed to “protect, build, and transform Canada’s strategic industries,” according to Carney. He referenced a forthcoming “climate competitiveness strategy” to “position Canada as a leader in decarbonization” but one expert is not optimistic.

“Climate policy planks that were delivering significant emissions reductions are falling one by one,” Debora Van Nijnatten, professor of political science and environmental studies at Wilfred Laurier University, said in a phone interview with Canada’s National Observer.

“There appears to be no plan to replace that with other emission reduction strategies, and there’s no plan in place to show how the reactive policy choices that they’ve been making in a piecemeal fashion add up to any climate strategy that is integrated with the economic strategy.”

“The Liberals keep retreating in the face of populist conservative rhetoric that targets some aspects of climate policy,” Van Nijnatten said.

As one of his first acts as Prime Minister, Carney ended the consumer carbon price — and Van Nijnatten places Carney’s pausing of the EV sales mandate on the same throughline.

“All this does is make me think … he’s going to lift the oil and gas [emissions] cap as well,” she said.

Bloc Québécois environment and climate change critic Patrick Bonin slammed Carney’s decision in an emailed statement.

“By once again bowing to pressure from the lobby of Ontario automakers and western oil companies, the federal government is weakening our environment and the availability of electric vehicles, all at the expense of Quebecers,” Bonin said in the statement, released in French.

“Once again, we see that when it comes to fighting climate change, Mark Carney has only one gear: backward.”

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, who has been calling for the mandate to be scrapped, called the delay a “clumsy retreat” that adds uncertainty for investors in the auto sector. The NDP did not respond to a request for comment.

The transportation sector is responsible for 23 per cent of Canada’s emissions, second only to the oil and gas sector’s 30 per cent share. From 1990 to 2023, emissions from cars have fallen while emissions from light trucks (including SUVs) more than doubled.

Oil and gas and transportation are the highest emitting economic sectors and should be responsible for a fair share of emissions reductions but pausing the sales mandate gives the transport sector a break, Van Nijnatten said. The electricity sector is doing some heavy lifting to reduce emissions and emissions from the heavy industry sector are also falling.

With Chinese and European carmakers surging forward with EVs, Van Nijnatten fears pausing the mandate will only add to the gap in North American competitiveness while limiting choice for consumers.

North American automakers “will not choose to do it on their own, because, first of all, they’re protected by tariff walls and, second of all, they’re protected by policy and politics,” she said.

Keith Brooks, programs director at Environmental Defence, said “healthy competition” is needed to balance supporting Canada’s auto sector while offering consumers choices and reducing planet-warming greenhouse gas emissions.

“If we bring Chinese EVs in, and we create a more competitive market, that’s good, because the domestic automakers here in North America would just rather not do EVs,” Brooks said in an Aug. 14 phone interview with Canada’s National Observer.

“If they’re not being pushed to [build EVs], either by regulation or competition, we’re not going to get them.”

Removing the first sales target is a “direct disincentive” for automakers to make electric vehicles available to Canadians, Van Nijnatten said.

The auto sector holds considerable power — particularly in Ontario — and many auto sector groups and companies have long opposed the federal government’s regulations, which require hybrids and EVs to make up “at least” 20 per cent of sales in 2026 and 100 per cent by 2035. Canada’s auto sector is highly integrated with the US and is facing significant impacts from US President Donald Trump’s tariffs. A common refrain from companies and industry associations is that the sales targets are unrealistic.

The regulations operate with a credit system for flexibility so companies that perform better than their ZEV targets earn credits which they can bank or sell to other companies who are underperforming. ZEV sales from 2024 and 2025 also count towards the credits, offering further flexibility, Daniel Breton, head of Electric Mobility Canada, said in a phone interview with Canada’s National Observer on Aug. 14.

Companies — and Conservative politicians such as Pierre Poilievre — also say the sales mandate will limit consumer choice.

Van Nijnatten said, as a consumer, her choices are already being restricted and removing the sales target will only exacerbate the problem.

“I just spent three months looking at hybrids and EVs,” Van Nijnatten said. “Do you think I can buy one off a lot anywhere?” Her answer: no.

Risk to profits

The Detroit Three auto manufacturers (Ford, GM and Stellantis) met with Carney in June and called on him to scrap the EV mandate.

In corporate filings, the auto manufacturers say that the transition to electric vehicles poses risks to the companies’ profits.

“Ford’s results are dependent on sales of larger, more profitable vehicles, particularly in the United States,” the company disclosed to shareholders. “A shift in consumer preferences away from larger, more profitable vehicles with internal combustion engines (including trucks and utilities) to electric or other vehicles in our portfolio that may be less profitable could result in an adverse effect on our financial condition or results of operations.”

Some stakeholders are more optimistic about the 60-day review. It is an opportunity for the federal government to marry EV sector policy with its made-in-Canada industrial development goals, Matthew Fortier, president and CEO of Accelerate, said in an emailed statement to Canada’s National Observer.

“We want more Canadians driving EVs but we also want more Canada in those EVs, including critical minerals, batteries and other components,” Fortier said. “I think there are ways to use policies designed to drive purchase uptake to also incentivize manufacturer investment into our supply chain.”

In Mississauga, Carney said his government “will advance new options to bring more affordable electric vehicles to Canadians” but did not say how. Last fall, the federal government imposed a 100 per cent tariff on cheaper, Chinese-made EVs, which prompted China to impose retaliatory tariffs on Canadian canola imports. Lifting that tariff would increase the availability and affordability of EVs.

In a press conference last week, Housing Minister Gregor Robertson (speaking for Energy Minister Tim Hodgson) said Canada will not be dropping its tariff on Chinese EVs in order to protect workers at Canadian automakers.

When asked on Friday if the federal government will consider lifting the tariff on China’s EVs, Carney said, “We have begun more intense engagement with China with respect, first and foremost, to canola and other agriculture and seafood products … I’m sure those discussions will branch out, but it’s too early to come to any conclusions on those.”

The government also intends to strengthen federal tax credits to “foster investment in clean energy” and keep the industrial carbon price but noted a need to “improve” the way the carbon market works, Carney said Friday, speaking in French. There will be a policy for “carbon competitiveness” and nature, he said.

“We intend to do a lot but we’re focusing really on results, and the results are to improve the competitiveness of our economy, our businesses, as it pertains to the reduction in greenhouse gasses.”

Van Nijnatten said maybe Carney will “pull a rabbit out a hat” with his forthcoming climate strategy, but these initiatives don’t show much promise.

“Anything you do that dances around direct emission reductions delays the transition,” she said. “It will make it more costly in the long run. It places industries at a competitive disadvantage over the long run and … it’s not going to contribute to our 2030 emissions reduction plan.”

 

oil&gas

Well-known member
Apr 16, 2002
15,279
2,654
113
Ghawar
Climate experts warn the federal government is taking another step backward on climate policy by removing the 2026 electric vehicle sales target.


Another step backward on climate policy if it is the Liberals removing
the EV sales target. Were it the Conservatives in charge they would have
been accused of climate denial. Why not just call Carney and his Liberals
climate deniers in disguise?
 
  • Like
Reactions: DesRicardo

southpaw

Well-known member
May 21, 2002
1,284
1,255
113
Carney, and by extension the entire Liberal party, are nothing but political opportunists. If they truly believed that we are in a "climate emergency ", they would rather lose their seats than backtrack on the previous policies. Their only principle is to stay in power.

 
  • Like
Reactions: DesRicardo

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
101,040
28,233
113
Carney, and by extension the entire Liberal party, are nothing but political opportunists. If they truly believed that we are in a "climate emergency ", they would rather lose their seats than backtrack on the previous policies. Their only principle is to stay in power.

Shouldn't you wait to see what policies he announces before you declare your opinion on them?
 

southpaw

Well-known member
May 21, 2002
1,284
1,255
113
Shouldn't you wait to see what policies he announces before you declare your opinion on them?
Like these ones?
Killing the consumer carbon tax, abandoning an increase in the capital gains tax, postponing Trudeau’s electric vehicle mandate, giving a tax break to the middle class and reducing the size of the public service are all Liberal policies that originated with Poilievre.

So is Carney’s openness to new oil and gas pipelines and eliminating or reducing the GST for first-time homebuyers.
 

oil&gas

Well-known member
Apr 16, 2002
15,279
2,654
113
Ghawar
Prime Minister Mark Carney is gutting any chance of Canada meeting its greenhouse gas emission goals

TIM BOUSQUET
SEPTEMBER 9, 2025

Last week, Prime Minister Mark Carney “announced billions of dollars in financial aid and other measures for some of the industries hardest hit by the trade war with the United States,” reported Laura Stone for the Globe and Mail.

Some of the measures seem reasonable — a buy-Canadian policy by government, more flexible EI responses, and a reserve fund of $5 billion for hard-hit industries that’s reminiscent of COVID-lockdown responses.

One response, however, spells disaster:

The decision to pause the EV [electric vehicle] mandate is the latest reversal of the marquee environmental policies of the Justin Trudeau government. One of Mr. Carney’s first acts as Prime Minister was to abolish the consumer price on carbon.

The EV sales mandate required the sale of new zero-emission vehicles to hit 20 per cent of total vehicle sales for the 2026 model year, 60 per cent by 2030 and 100 per cent by 2035, as part of a broader pledge on reducing carbon emissions.

Now, automakers won’t need to hit those targets for 2026, and the government is reviewing the entire program.


In June, EV sales were down 35% compared to a year previous, and EV sales make up just 8% of new vehicle sales, a long way from the just-scrapped goal of 20% by next year.

“Mr. Carney made the announcement after months of lobbying from the auto industry,” reported Eric Atkins, also for the Globe and Mail. Coupled with protectionist trade policies, gutting the EV mandate amounts to regulatory capture of government.

Chinese EVs kept off market

Last year, the U.S. and Canadian governments each placed 100% tariffs on Chinese EVs.

Compared to Teslas and other EVs produced in North America, Chinese EVs are fairly inexpensive. In Australia, which has no domestic auto industry to protect and so therefore no high tariffs, Chinese EV sales are surging, and Chinese automaker BYD is now the sixth largest car company in that market.

Before the Canadian tariff was announced, the least-expensive Chinese EV potentially on the market was the BYD Seagull, selling for about C$13,000, although it was not available at the retail level in Canada. Without the tariff and associated barriers to Chinese battery sales, we could reasonably expect that Chinese EVs would flood into Canada, and the Trudeau EV sales target would’ve been met.

It could’ve been argued that the tariffs were designed to protect Canadian jobs while giving North American automakers the market space needed to establish their own EV markets, prodded along by the EV sales mandate.

No longer.

Climate change, schmimate change
By dropping the EV sales mandate, Carney has effectively upended any chance that EVs will make a meaningful dent in Canada’s greenhouse gas emissions in coming years.

Moreover, there is now no chance at all that provincial EV sales targets will be met. For example, Nova Scotia is legislatively mandated, by the Environmental Goals and Climate Change Reduction Act, to see that 30% of all new vehicle sales in the province will be EVs by 2030. Ain’t gonna happen.

Without the EV mandate being achieved, it’s doubtful that the overall climate reduction goals can be met. Nova Scotia might still be able to meet its goal of a 53% reduction in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from 2005 levels by 2030, but only because this province still relies on coal-powered electrical generating plants that could be closed by then. We’ll see if that happens. But high percentages of EV sales are so intertwined with longer-term GHG emission reduction targets that it will be impossible to meet those targets either provincially or nationally without the EV mandates.

The envisioned EV future

I’ve long been skeptical that a one-for-one replacement of gas-powered vehicles with EVs makes much sense. Obviously, there are all sorts of farm and industrial uses that will always require vehicles, and there’s no reason those can’t be replaced with EVs. As well, people living in rural areas will continue to rely on private vehicles to get around, and it makes sense for them to switch to EVs.

But here in the city? Not so much.

To begin with, as is painfully obvious, Halifax is already facing a traffic congestion nightmare. Blame a growing population relying nearly entirely on private cars, plus Premier Tim Houston’s back-to-office mandate for provincial workers.

And we’ve just seen the beginning of the population increase — some projections are for the Halifax urban area to double in population to a million people in coming decades. As is, nearly every one of those added people will be getting in cars to travel.

But it’s impossible to build our way out of traffic congestion with more car infrastructure — more and wider highways and roads, and hundreds of thousands of accompanying parking spaces. There simply isn’t the room for that infrastructure in our 19th century street grid. Moreover, as has been well established by over a century of building for cars, new roads and highways simply mean more cars that result in more, not less traffic. There’s a term for this, “induced demand,” which basically means “build it and they will come.”

There are additionally associated costs to the envisioned EV future that no one much talks about, but they’re real all the same. Because of the large batteries required, EVs weigh more than traditional vehicles, meaning more wear and tear on the streets, more potholes, bigger municipal repaving costs, and therefore higher taxes. As well, a car-centred transportation system necessarily means continued sprawl and land-use policies that have their own climate change costs.

Thankfully, however, most intra-city driving consists of short-distance trips that can easily be replaced with active transportation and transit, assuming active transportation networks like protected bike lanes and transit are both appropriately financed and supported, creating a different sort of induced demand.

But embracing the reality of the limitations of a car-based transportation system coupled with the active transportation and transit alternatives is apparently a bridge too far for many governments, including the Houston government. They simply cannot or will not explain to the public the fundamental problem or its solution, and so instead embrace an unrealistic nostalgia of the supposed car-based “freedom” of the past and a vilification of cyclists.

That strategy of the Houston government seems to come from a well-worn playbook utilized by reactionary and authoritarian governments everywhere. I guess it works.

But why get worked up solely by the Houston government while the Carney government is undermining climate change policies as well?

 

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
101,040
28,233
113
Like these ones?
Killing the consumer carbon tax, abandoning an increase in the capital gains tax, postponing Trudeau’s electric vehicle mandate, giving a tax break to the middle class and reducing the size of the public service are all Liberal policies that originated with Poilievre.

So is Carney’s openness to new oil and gas pipelines and eliminating or reducing the GST for first-time homebuyers.
An opinion piece from american media about how great PeePee is?
try again

Carney hasn't announced his policy yet
 
Ashley Madison
Toronto Escorts