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China ramps up coal plant approvals despite emissions pledge: report

oil&gas

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Ghawar
27/02/2023

China last year approved the largest expansion of coal-fired power plants since 2015, according to a study published Monday, despite its vow to begin phasing down use of the fossil fuel in just three years.

The coal power capacity that China began building in 2022 was six times as much as that in the rest of the world combined, the report by the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA) in Finland and the Global Energy Monitor (GEM) added.

"China continues to be the glaring exception to the ongoing global decline in coal plant development," GEM research analyst Flora Champenois said.

"The speed at which projects progressed through permitting to construction in 2022 was extraordinary."

China is one of the world's biggest emitters of the greenhouse gases driving climate change, such as carbon dioxide (CO2).

President Xi Jinping has pledged that China will peak its CO2 emissions between 2026-2030 and reduce them to net zero by 2060, moves seen as essential for keeping global temperature rise well below two degrees Celsius.

The report warned that even if Beijing sticks to those commitments, the current coal power expansion will make meeting them "more complicated and costly".

A total of 106 GW of new coal power projects were approved in 2022 -- the equivalent of two large coal plants per week -- it said.

Plants accounting for around a third of that capacity have already begun construction, with some gaining permits, securing financing and breaking ground "within a matter of months".

"This kind of a process leaves little room for... consideration of alternatives," GEM's Champenois added.

- Vicious cycle -

China relies on coal for nearly 60 percent of its electricity.

Most of the new coal projects have been approved in provinces hit by crippling electricity shortages due to record heatwaves in the last two years.

China relies on coal for nearly 60 percent of its electricity
This creates a vicious cycle with increased greenhouse gas emissions accelerating climate change resulting in more frequent extreme weather events, researchers said.

The rush for approvals started after China's cabinet in May announced 10 billion yuan ($1.5 billion) of investment in coal power generation.

"This is the same dynamic that we saw during the previous boom in 2015," Lauri Myllyvirta, Lead Analyst at CREA, told AFP.

"No one knows how long the floodgates will stay open, so local governments try to rush as many projects through as they can."

Local officials say new coal plants will serve as a backup to ensure stable supplies when renewables fail.

But provinces such as Guangdong, Jiangsu and Anhui, where the new coal plants are mushrooming, were "laggards" in investing in clean energy to meet demand growth, the study found.

The continued investment in coal "implies insufficient emphasis on overcoming the power system and power market constraints that perpetuate dependence on coal", it added.

Renewable growth?

China has ramped up its investments in renewable power including solar, wind, hydro and nuclear plants in recent years.

If that growth continues to accelerate, the report said, and electricity demand stabilises, "the massive additions of new coal-fired capacity don't necessarily mean that coal use or CO2 emissions from the power sector will increase", the report said.

However, renewable energy projects in China are struggling to get access to land, while in some areas, the grid cannot absorb all the power generated, the head of the China Photovoltaic Industry Association said this month.

The role of coal in ensuring energy security means developing more renewable power does not necessarily lead to a reduced reliance on the fossil fuel, analysts said.

"The biggest misconception is the idea that an increase in renewables will replace coal," Li Shuo, an activist at Greenpeace China, told AFP.

"That is the case with the rest of the world, but China's need for energy security has led to growth in wind, solar and coal all at the same time."

 

oil&gas

Well-known member
Apr 16, 2002
13,833
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Ghawar
India has set the zero emission target by 2070. China has
also pledged carbon neutrality by 2060. Likewise Saudi Arabia
has announced commitment to zero-emission by 2060. In fact
pretty much all multi-national oil companies like Shell and
ExxonMobil have accepted climate change and pledged
zero emission.

I think China's ramping up of coal power plant construction
does not mean they will not honor their pledge. They still have
nearly 4 decades to work on zero emission.

IMO there is no point debating whether climate change or global
warming is real or not. The climate future looks bright. No climate
denial will change that.
 

y2kmark

Class of 69...
May 19, 2002
19,045
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Lewiston, NY
India has set the zero emission target by 2070. China has
also pledged carbon neutrality by 2060. Likewise Saudi Arabia
has announced commitment to zero-emission by 2060. In fact
pretty much all multi-national oil companies like Shell and
ExxonMobil have accepted climate change and pledged
zero emission.

I think China's ramping up of coal power plant construction
does not mean they will not honor their pledge. They still have
nearly 4 decades to work on zero emission.

IMO there is no point debating whether climate change or global
warming is real or not. The climate future looks bright. No climate
denial will change that.
Anybody who says the climate future looks bright isn't really that bright :rolleyes: ...
 

oil&gas

Well-known member
Apr 16, 2002
13,833
2,210
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Ghawar
Anybody who says the climate future looks bright isn't really that bright :rolleyes: ...
Climate sheeple who think the climate future looks gloomy and
continue driving their gas guzzlers with no restraint are idiots.
 
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oil&gas

Well-known member
Apr 16, 2002
13,833
2,210
113
Ghawar
Anybody who says the climate future looks bright isn't really that bright :rolleyes: ...
Our climate leaders seem to be more optimistic than you.

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Government insists it will meet its 2030 emissions target despite extension for oil and gas sector

Jul 25, 2022

The federal government says Canada will still achieve its 2030 greenhouse gas emissions reduction commitments despite Environment Minister Steven Guilbeault offering the oil and gas sector a little more time to hit its targets.

"The target date hasn't changed. Really, the minister was just trying to show flexibility and good will," said Bruce Cheadle, a senior communications adviser to Guilbeault.

Cheadle said the federal government is not "rewriting its program" on emission reductions but is rather trying to be flexible in the way it meets its overall 2030 target.

Guilbeault said that under the Paris accord on climate change, companies can employ the "flexibility mechanisms" for a short period of time to help them put infrastructure in place to meet the target of cutting emissions 40 per cent below 2005 five levels by 2030.

Getting Canada to its target of net zero emissions by 2050 would require a 42 per cent cut in oil and gas sector emissions. Some in the oil and gas sector have expressed concerns about keeping up with that commitment.

"They would still have to meet the 2030 targets, but we would allow, for a short amount of time, in a limited way, the use of flexibility mechanisms," Guilbeault told CBC News Monday.

"Basically, these companies would be able to use carbon credits to meet some of the regulatory emissions reductions requirements. But again, it would be for a short amount of time, for a short period, two years, and it would be in limited quantity."

While some of the emissions reductions could be met through carbon offsets, Guilbeault said the federal government would not cripple companies by making them offset all of their emissions past 2030 because it wants oil and gas firms to invest in infrastructure that will reduce emissions long-term.

According to the federal government, the increase in Canada's greenhouse gas emissions between 1990 and 2020 is largely due to the oil and gas industry — which saw its emissions grow by 74 per cent over that time — and the transportation sector, which saw an increase of 32 per cent.

Environmental advocates say that the oil and gas sector, which accounts for 27 per cent of the country's emissions, is moving too slowly and should not be rewarded with an extension.

"They are not reducing their emissions. They are climbing and they need to go in the other direction," said Tim Gray, executive director of Environmental Defence.

"It's part of a pattern whenever a new climate focused initiative is released by the federal government. The oil and gas industry immediately starts their lobbying campaign to weaken it or defer it."

Jan Gorski, director of the oil and gas program at the Pembina Institute clean energy think-tank, said the oil and gas sector can meet its 2030 targets but has so far failed to deliver a plan.

"We think that the sector should do its fair share and can achieve reductions that are in line with Canada's overall climate target," Gorski told CBC News, adding that it's premature for the industry to be asking for an extension.

Green MP Elizabeth May said the federal government's target of cutting emissions by 40 to 45 per cent below 2005 levels is not ambitious enough.

"Any more time given to big oil and gas is less time for our children," May told CBC News. "The Liberal plan is very gentle on fossil fuels, which is an outrage."

Industry spokespeople say that their companies are committed to meeting the 2030 targets but that building the infrastructure needed for initiatives like carbon capture and storage will take time and flexibility.

"It's not the timeline that matters so much as the path that we're on, and in this country it takes a long time to build anything," said former Liberal member of Parliament Martha Hall Findlay, a spokesperson for Suncor Energy.

"2030 is only seven years away, so our view was, we're doing everything we can to get this done as quick as possible, but we just can't build the infrastructure … in time."

Findlay said the oilsands sector is committed to cutting emissions but setting aggressive goals companies fail to meet will only harm environmental efforts and dampen enthusiasm among Canadians for hitting net zero by 2050.

Simon Fraser University's Mark Jaccard, an environmental economist, said Canada could still meet its greenhouse gas emissions targets, even if the oil and gas sector fails to reduce emissions by 40 per cent.

Jaccard, who has provided academic analysis of climate change policies to the federal and provincial Liberals, Conservatives, Green Party and NDP over the past two decades, said that what matters is getting the whole economy to net zero by 2050.

"As long as we get the 40 per cent reduction, it may not have to be identical in each sector," he said. "You get the same environmental outcome when you're hitting the 40 per cent but you're just making one sector do more where it's cheaper, and another sector do less where it's more expensive."

He said that the switch to electric cars and other forms of electrified transport, coupled with emissions cuts in electricity generation, could make up the shortfall in oil and gas while not throwing people out of work.

"If you just annihilate your … oil and gas export industries, the slack will just get taken up by emitting firms in other countries," he said.

 
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