Author blasts 'green delusions' of Western countries that empowered Putin's energy advantage in Europe

oil&gas

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Ghawar
Mar 02, 2022

Author Michael Shellenberger is blasting the climate polices of European and other western nations, arguing they "empowered" Russian President Vladimir Putin to launch last week's aggressive actions against Ukraine while maintaining a command over the continent's energy market.

In a Tuesday Substack post headlined, "The West’s Green Delusions Empowered Putin," Shellenberger argued Putin understood economics better than his western counterparts, citing the latter's incapability of understanding the realities of energy production, and questioned how countries like Germany allowed themselves to become so dependent on an authoritarian country.

"How has Vladimir Putin … managed to launch an unprovoked full-scale assault on Ukraine?" Shellenberger wrote. "There is a deep psychological, political and almost civilizational answer to that question: He wants Ukraine to be part of Russia more than the West wants it to be free."

"Missing from that explanation, though, is a story about material reality and basic economics—two things that Putin seems to understand far better than his counterparts in the free world and especially in Europe," he added.

Shellenberger pointed to the differences in energy production and consumption between other European countries and Russia, noting that Europe consumed more energy than it produced, while Russia produced more than it consumed.

"The reason Europe didn’t have a muscular deterrent threat to prevent Russian aggression—and in fact prevented the U.S. from getting allies to do more—is that it needs Putin’s oil and gas," he wrote.

Shellenberger argued that the focus on "Green ideology" made European countries "incapable of understanding the hard realities of energy production," and that their moves away from natural gas and nuclear energy gave Putin command over Europe’s energy supply.

"As the West fell into a hypnotic trance about healing its relationship with nature, averting climate apocalypse and worshiping a teenager named Greta, Vladimir Putin made his moves," he wrote, referencing teen climate change activist Greta Thunberg and noting that Putin expanded nuclear energy and oil production in Russia while western countries obsessed over "carbon footprints."

Shellenberger specifically used Germany shutting down its nuclear energy production as an example and cited figures showing 47% of the natural gas consumed by the European Union in 2021 being exported from Russia.

"The result has been the worst global energy crisis since 1973, driving prices for electricity and gasoline higher around the world. It is a crisis, fundamentally, of inadequate supply. But the scarcity is entirely manufactured," he wrote.

"Europeans—led by figures like Greta Thunberg and European Green Party leaders, and supported by Americans like John Kerry—believed that a healthy relationship with the Earth requires making energy scarce," he added. "In service to green ideology, they made the perfect the enemy of the good—and of Ukraine."

The controversial Nord Stream 2 pipeline from Russia to Germany was halted following Russia's invasion of Ukraine last week, something the Biden administration avoided pressing at the request of Germany despite shutting down construction of the planned Keystone XL pipeline from Canada to the U.S. immediately after taking office.

In order to counter Russia's continued dominance over energy markets, Shellenberger implored Biden to have Germany halt any future shutdowns of nuclear reactors and to have the ones previously shut down turned back on, called on Canada and the U.S. to expand their energy production for increased export to Europe, and argued the U.S. needed to expand the construction of nuclear plants rather than shutting them down.

"Putin’s relentless focus on energy reality has left him in a stronger position than he should ever have been allowed to find himself. It’s not too late for the rest of the West to save the world from tyrannical regimes that have been empowered by our own energy superstitions," he wrote.

 
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rhuarc29

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I agree. The way the Western world has gone about its green pipedream is wrong. What they should have done was a combination of strategies to reduce demand and investments in new technologies (fyi, new technologies will end up being the only way we avert climate disaster, mark my words). While they did both those, they also restricted domestic supply, forcing them to import oil from less savory suppliers. It's easier for North America to fulfill its own needs than for Europe, but Europe can certainly lean more heavily on Norway, Denmark, U.K., etc., even though it's more expensive.
 
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|2 /-\ | /|/

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This is so fucking sad and true and the same time. These delusional leaders and ideologies have taken power with these wonderfully crafted ideas from billionaires bored on their yachts that are not grounded and based in reality and hardly effective in the long run. Obviously people like Putin will take advantage of this situation and this is only the beginning. At what price, how many innocent people need to die over this for people to wake up and realize how much they have contributed and enabled this.

Especially in the west if they don’t wake up reality will keep knocking on their door despite their well crafted echo chambers, validation mechanism and other ideological bullshit. However by then it may be too late.

It looks like the only way people will understand what this means is through hard reality and still many in the west are oblivious to this.

When the economy goes into recession, inflation, civil unrest, famine etc…maybe then people will start waking up from these contrived fairly tale ideas and get back to what worked well in the past understand the nature on human kind and especially energy needs.
 
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oil&gas

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Ghawar
Biden and Trudeau are Putin and Xi’s useful energy idiots

Aug 11, 2021

By viewing the world chiefly through the dual lenses of carbon and climate, the Biden and Trudeau governments are missing the key foundations of global energy strategy: security and economic viability. Be assured, Russia’s Vladimir Putin and China’s Xi Jinping are not.

Within days of Special Presidential Envoy for Climate John Kerry noting that a “foundational building block” of China’s economic growth has been “a staggering amount of fossil fuel use” and calling for China to do more to accelerate emissions cuts as part of a new “geopolitical co-operation plan,” the Chinese government announced that 15 more shuttered coal mines in northern China will be restarted, along with 38 mines in Inner Mongolia. Chinese thermal coal prices have spiked because of surging power demand and, contrary to Kerry’s solicitations, top Chinese policy-makers have called for an easing of aggressive steps to curb emissions growth, proposing instead “a co-ordinated, orderly approach” to carbon neutrality.

Kerry may also be missing the boat with his geopolitical expectations for an orderly energy transition in Europe. The European Union is experiencing skyrocketing gas and power prices. German wholesale power prices have risen by over 60 per cent this year alone. All across Europe, energy prices are rising as utilities are forced by decarbonization plans to purchase pollution permits at record prices to serve as offsets for fossil fuel power production. Together with shortages of natural gas, this has pushed up electricity prices — just as world leaders prepare to head to Scotland to further the international pursuit of “net zero,” likely via more taxation, including for drivers and commercial air travellers. Not surprisingly, some EU politicians have begun to balk at plans to cut emissions by 55 per cent from 1990 levels by 2030, while in the U.K. many policy-makers are posing serious questions about the likelihood of achieving the goals of 2015’s Paris Agreement, much less ever attaining “net zero.”

The Biden administration’s stunning recent announcement that, over the bitter objections of many eastern European countries and ignoring concerns from the European Parliament, it had agreed to a compromise regarding completion of Russia’s Baltic Sea Nord Stream-2 gas pipeline has only added to the strategic confusion. The agreement overturns long-standing U.S. concerns about security and instead relies on possible EU sanctions should Russia in future use “energy as a weapon.”

The 1,230-km underwater pipeline will transport Russian natural gas directly to Germany and almost double the existing Nord Stream pipeline annual capacity from 55 billion cubic metres (bcm) to 100 bcm. Germany has greatly expanded its consumption of natural gas, of which it imports 94 per cent. Why? Its 2010 decision to abandon nuclear power generation by 2022 was based on mistaken assumptions that aggressive renewable energy development could compensate for the loss in generation capability. And the result? German consumers now pay among the highest global energy costs and are dependent on Russia for up to 40 per cent of their natural gas supply.

Meanwhile, back in North America, Russia is now the number two supplier of oil to the U.S., as American refiners attempt to meet surging demands for motor fuels. Bloomberg reports that imports of Russian crude and refined petroleum products jumped 23 per cent between April and May to reach 844,000 barrels per day (bpd). America has now become the single largest purchaser of Russian heavy oil production, consuming almost one-fifth of Russia’s heavy oil exports in the first half of 2021. Canadians may recall that the now-abandoned Keystone XL pipeline that would have connected Canadian oil producers with the southern U.S. was rated to transport 830,000 bpd, just slightly less than what now arrives in the U.S. by tanker from Russia.

All this suggests that any attempts in the West to successfully “transition” away from fossil fuels in order to reach what may prove to be unattainable targets for “net zero” could be anything but orderly and, worse, will bring serious unintended consequences that accrue to the advantage of countries like Russia and China, whose standards for environmental protection are far below those being set for Canada in particular and the West in general.

Vladimir Lenin once quipped about “hanging the capitalists with the rope they shall sell us.” While the Biden and Trudeau administrations prepare for the world GLOBE COP26 “legislators’ summit” in Glasgow in November, they should pause to reflect carefully on just how much rope Vladimir Putin and Chairman Xi have already sold them.

 

HungSowel

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Mar 3, 2017
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This is so fucking sad and true and the same time. These delusional leaders and ideologies have taken power with these wonderfully crafted ideas from billionaires bored on their yachts that are not grounded and based in reality and hardly effective in the long run. Obviously people like Putin will take advantage of this situation and this is only the beginning. At what price, how many innocent people need to die over this for people to wake up and realize how much they have contributed and enabled this.

Especially in the west if they don’t wake up reality will keep knocking on their door despite their well crafted echo chambers, validation mechanism and other ideological bullshit. However by then it may be too late.

It looks like the only way people will understand what this means is through hard reality and still many in the west are oblivious to this.

When the economy goes into recession, inflation, civil unrest, famine etc…maybe then people will start waking up from these contrived fairly tale ideas and get back to what worked well in the past understand the nature on human kind and especially energy needs.
So when it is convenient you are like; Elon Musk ..... solar..... EV.... save the world..... humanity to the next stage of evolution....

But when it is not convenient then you take the opposite stance.
 

|2 /-\ | /|/

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So when it is convenient you are like; Elon Musk ..... solar..... EV.... save the world..... humanity to the next stage of evolution....

But when it is not convenient then you take the opposite stance.
Ev and solar would be my preferred choice based on convenience. I don’t care if you drive a gas guzzler and am not interested to force a change down anyones throat. My personal choice is irrelevant to geo politics, ideological wars and struggles for energy.
 

Frankfooter

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Apr 10, 2015
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I agree. The way the Western world has gone about its green pipedream is wrong. What they should have done was a combination of strategies to reduce demand and investments in new technologies (fyi, new technologies will end up being the only way we avert climate disaster, mark my words). While they did both those, they also restricted domestic supply, forcing them to import oil from less savory suppliers. It's easier for North America to fulfill its own needs than for Europe, but Europe can certainly lean more heavily on Norway, Denmark, U.K., etc., even though it's more expensive.

 

nottyboi

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What a load of shit. Russia has a ton of resources. When they decide to retaliate after the war, it will be interesting.
 

Insidious Von

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The problem with EV, it will accelerate mass extinction. If we exterminate too much of our biodiversity, we'll be defenseless when a major plague hits. Humans are gluttonous, preserve the energy intensive Western lifestyle at all costs. We can have EVs and energy hogging cryptocurrency at the same time, it won't work.

Everything has a price.

 

Moviefan-2

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Oct 17, 2011
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The White House threw cold water Thursday on the proposal to ban imports of Russian oil.


No real surprise, I suppose. It was only a few months ago the Biden administration was begging Russia and the other OPEC+ nations to pump more oil.

Regardless of the outcome in Ukraine, one thing is clear. As was highlighted the other day in a National Post column by Terence Corcoran. Putin has killed the Green New Deal and the fairy-tale delusion that you can replace fossil fuels with wind and solar power.

 
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