Iran is demanding compensation for an oil spill that reached its shores this week that was allegedly caused after it attacked a tanker trying to cross the Strait of Hormuz.
nypost.com
You cant make this up:
Iran struck the oil-carrying vessel Minoan Pioneer off the Oman coast on August 3. Waves carried leaking oil back to Iranian coast, contaminating hundreds of kilometers.
Iran is now claiming compensation for the damage it caused. Hilarious
Here's the thing: Iran can ask for the moon. Doesn't mean they'll get it. Trump can demand they re-open the Strait immediately...doesn't mean it'll happen.
I cannot pretend to have a crystal ball and accurately see how this will end. But Trump stepped in a big, festering pile of shit here....and there is no easy way to clean this up. We've seen that pounding Iran with bombs and missiles hasn't changed things. The blockade is certainly hurting them....but hasn't really changed anything. As we get closer to September with no end in sight, Iran will gain more leverage. You got to hand it to those bastards, they understand the fact that bombing a country doesn't give you control of it...and Trump will not put boots on the ground, which would make his situation even worse than it is now.
I've said repeatedly that I think Trump is obsessed with his legacy. Maybe he sees the writing on the wall and knows that historians will not be kind. After his first term, he really did nothing of consequence, besides balloon the debt with tax cuts for the rich...So, now he is working over time to leave his imprint. I honestly think that's why he was so keen on annexing Canada, Greenland and Panama. He could argue that he expanded the US in a way no other president had, at least since Jefferson did the Louisiana Purchase, or Johnson bought Alaska...It's why he wants his name on the Kennedy Centre, or on the dollar bills and passports. It's why he is so focused on building a ballroom or that arch. Most of these things are failures. Big swings, massive misses.
But the worst one: Iran. He legitimately thought he'd be able to take out Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and the country would just fold like a cheap suit. He believed Israel, that the Iranian people would rise up against the regime once the bombs started to fall. He thought he could do what no President had done, and take out Iran. It was simplistic, almost child like thinking that led us to this point.
But the reality is, Trump is FUCKED. There is little chance that he can save face and spin this as a win. He already basically gave Iran what they wanted back in June (for the most part). He can't force them to surrender (unless he sends in troops, but good luck getting congress or even MAGA to support that) so he really can't dictate terms. Iran, to a greater extent, can. They can probably hold out longer than Trump. And, as mentioned, as we get closer to November, the pressure will be ratcheted up on the GOP. Now, will there be a Blue Wave come November? Again, I don't have a crystal ball. I remember four years ago when there was a lot of big talk about a Red Wave hitting Biden, and it didn't really materialize. But, I think there is a stronger chance the Dems take control of both houses, and then they can really put the screws to Trump. Big investigations, legislation ending the tariffs, reigning in his executive powers, something the GOP congress had no stomach to do...