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Majority of Albertans oppose separating from Canada: Leger poll

Hephaestus

Well-known member
Sep 25, 2025
684
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Good to hear, but sad that 30% want to go.

When asked if Alberta should stay in Canada or leave — 70 per cent said they should remain

A majority of Albertans support the province staying in Canada and most are very concerned the separation movement is gaining traction, according to a Leger poll conducted in March.

When asked if Alberta should stay in Canada, 70 per cent of respondents said the province should. Only 17 per cent believed Alberta should become an independent country and four per cent believe Alberta should join the United States.

The numbers remained consistent with the January results on the topic.

According to the polls, UCP voters are more likely to support separation (30 per cent) while NDP voters are more likely to want to stay within Canada (96 per cent).

When it comes to concerns about the separation movement gaining traction in Alberta, 58 per cent said they were concerned and 37 per cent said they were not. The majority of NDP voters (80 per cent) said they were more likely to be concerned compared to 56 per cent of UCP voters who said they were not concerned.

The poll suggests that Alberta NDP Leader Naheed Nenshi and Premier Danielle Smith’s approval ratings are neck-and-neck with Nenshi at 38 per cent and Smith at 39 per cent. Both leaders have seen a significant drop in approval ratings since May 2025. However, Nenshi went to 38 per cent from 43 per cent in October 2025, whereas Smith has increased by one per cent since then.

Respondents were asked if an election were held tomorrow, who they’d vote for. Albertans polled still favour the UCP over the NDP. The UCP would capture 48 per cent of the votes and the NDP 36 per cent of the vote, according to the poll. Voting intention dropped for both parties since January — the UCP by two per cent and the NDP by one per cent.

The survey was conducted among 1,001 Alberta residents aged 18 or older March 2-4. Leger said a probability sample yields a margin of error no greater than +/- 3.1 per cent.

 

JohnLarue

Well-known member
Jan 19, 2005
19,796
5,054
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Good to hear, but sad that 30% want to go.

When asked if Alberta should stay in Canada or leave — 70 per cent said they should remain

A majority of Albertans support the province staying in Canada and most are very concerned the separation movement is gaining traction, according to a Leger poll conducted in March.

When asked if Alberta should stay in Canada, 70 per cent of respondents said the province should. Only 17 per cent believed Alberta should become an independent country and four per cent believe Alberta should join the United States.

The numbers remained consistent with the January results on the topic.

According to the polls, UCP voters are more likely to support separation (30 per cent) while NDP voters are more likely to want to stay within Canada (96 per cent).

When it comes to concerns about the separation movement gaining traction in Alberta, 58 per cent said they were concerned and 37 per cent said they were not. The majority of NDP voters (80 per cent) said they were more likely to be concerned compared to 56 per cent of UCP voters who said they were not concerned.

The poll suggests that Alberta NDP Leader Naheed Nenshi and Premier Danielle Smith’s approval ratings are neck-and-neck with Nenshi at 38 per cent and Smith at 39 per cent. Both leaders have seen a significant drop in approval ratings since May 2025. However, Nenshi went to 38 per cent from 43 per cent in October 2025, whereas Smith has increased by one per cent since then.

Respondents were asked if an election were held tomorrow, who they’d vote for. Albertans polled still favour the UCP over the NDP. The UCP would capture 48 per cent of the votes and the NDP 36 per cent of the vote, according to the poll. Voting intention dropped for both parties since January — the UCP by two per cent and the NDP by one per cent.

The survey was conducted among 1,001 Alberta residents aged 18 or older March 2-4. Leger said a probability sample yields a margin of error no greater than +/- 3.1 per cent.


a year or two of a Carney majority will produce quite a different result
 

seanzo

Well-known member
Nov 29, 2008
688
1,014
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If Alberta separatism was such a threat the wild rose party wouldn't have needed to form a coalition with the Alberta PCs. What I find more curious is that Smith's approval ratings are so low.
 

Insidious Von

My head is my home
Sep 12, 2007
43,842
10,126
113
Larue you should have stayed a newt.

Smith's approval ratings is partially based on her deep cuts to health care. The separatists have met with MAGA leaders for the third time already, they are funding their movement. The Wild Rose controls the United conservatives. That is what Naheed Nenshi is counting on.

 

JohnLarue

Well-known member
Jan 19, 2005
19,796
5,054
113
[Larue you should have stayed a newt.
Smith's approval ratings is partially based on her deep cuts to health care.
if you say so
again a year or two of a Carney majority will produce quite a different result for the independence question

The separatists have met with MAGA leaders for the third time already,
if you say so
perhaps they are offering support or a much better deal than Ottawa is
Access to markets & prosperity vs. being carbon taxed and regulated into poverty

Hint the Americans can play the long game here as well
The only way to make them go away is a more unified Canada,
which is not going to happen via the divisive policies of the liberal government
why the left can not grasp this is bewildering

they are funding their movement.
if you say so
right now Alberta is funding Quebec's "stay in Canada"" bribe (transfer payments)
is there an ethical issue you feel strongly about?

imagine how much better the Alberta's Heath Care system could be if Alberta did not need to fund billions to Quebec's "stay in Canada"" bribe (transfer payments)

The Wild Rose controls the United conservatives.
if you say so
Gerald Butts controls the Liberal party of Canada
Which do you think is the bigger issue?
which issue are are you silent on ?

That is what Naheed Nenshi is counting on.
if you say so
However rather than counting on smearing the opposition, (identity politics), he should be promoting his vison of prosperity for the province, backstopped by good governance and sound fiscal management.

You know, "gotta give the people what they want"
Oh Oh..............., sadly he cant do that, can he?

so carry on with the ugly smear the opposition, identity politics platform then
with any luck he will be tossed into the dust bin of politics
 
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