2025-2026 Leafs Season

glamphotographer

Well-known member
Nov 5, 2011
18,544
19,291
113
Canada
Number 5 is the Rangers. Leafs are 9 pts up and Rangers have 2 games in hand.
I suppose it's doable. It certainly helped that Leafs lost that 4 point game.
Rangers aren't a very good team. That's asking a lot from them to win some games.
There's also a risk of not quite getting there and finishing 6th
If they somehow got to 5th they can also get jumped by the lottery and pushed back.
You do know if they miraculous do end up with the 5th that would make the 2028 pick unprotected.
Imagine giving Boston a top 2 pick right at the start of their full rebuild.

The Leafs are very bad, terrible defensively, gave up 2 quick goals, can't keep the puck out of the net, bottom 5 is a reality.
 

superstar_88

The Chiseler
Jan 4, 2008
6,255
1,675
113
The Leafs are very bad, terrible defensively, gave up 2 quick goals, can't keep the puck out of the net, bottom 5 is a reality.
No denying that but the Rangers are also bad and perhaps worse. Bottom line is Rangers would need to catch the Leafs. To do that they have to win games. So let's do some math. Leafs current points per game rate is 1.03 pts/game. Your 2-12-4 scenerio gives them 8 pts puts them at 0.44 pts per game. That is a drastic drop. NYR current points per game rate is .918 and with 21 games remaining gives them 19.3 pts. So with Leafs new rate and Rangers existing rate the Rangers would make up 11.3 pts. They are currently 9 pts behind so yes your math works but Leafs would need to go from 1.03 pts per game to 0.44 pts per game.

I just noticed one problem with your math. Leafs have played 63 games. Meaning they have 19 games remaining.
Your 2-12-4 record for the Leafs only accounts for 18 games. So you must have given TB a regulation win before they even played the game. So it's really 2-13-4 that they need to do and that's a 0.42 pts per game rate. For comparison the worse team in the league Vancouver is currently at 0.58 pts per game
 
Last edited:

glamphotographer

Well-known member
Nov 5, 2011
18,544
19,291
113
Canada
No denying that but the Rangers are also bad and perhaps worse. Bottom line is Rangers would need to catch the Leafs. To do that they have to win games. So let's do some math. Leafs current points per game rate is 1.03 pts/game. Your 2-12-4 scenerio gives them 8 pts puts them at 0.4 pts per game. That is a drastic drop. NYR current points per game rate is .918 and with 21 games remaining gives them 19.3 pts. So with Leafs new rate and Rangers existing rate the Rangers would make up 11.3 pts. They are currently 9 pts behind so yes your math works but Leafs would need to go from 1.03 pts per game to 0.4 pts per game.

Since the Olympic break, the Leafs are at .143 points percentage, so with 17 games left, they would get another 6 measly points, on the right track.
 

superstar_88

The Chiseler
Jan 4, 2008
6,255
1,675
113
Since the Olympic break, the Leafs are at .143 points percentage, so with 17 games left, they would get another 6 measly points, on the right track.
They've played 63 games so that's 19 games left. 82 game schedule. Since the Olympic break Leafs have played 6 games and gained 2 loser points so that's 0.33 pts per game. 2 pts in 6 games. So at this rate certainly it's doable to catch the Rangers if they do their part. Leafs have another game against NYR.
 
Last edited:

glamphotographer

Well-known member
Nov 5, 2011
18,544
19,291
113
Canada
They've played 63 games so that's 19 games left. 82 game schedule. Since the Olympic break Leafs have played 6 games and gained 2 loser points so that's 0.33 pts per game. 2 pts in 6 games. So at this rate certainly it's doable to catch the Rangers if they do their part. Leafs have another game against NYR.
Since the Olympic break and after tonight, the Leafs have gotten 2 pts out of a possible 14 pts (7 games), that's a .143 pts percentage. The Leafs dropped down to 24th tonight.
 

superstar_88

The Chiseler
Jan 4, 2008
6,255
1,675
113
Since the Olympic break and after tonight, the Leafs have gotten 2 pts out of a possible 14 pts (7 games), that's a .143 pts percentage. The Leafs dropped down to 24th tonight.
Sure, but it's also 0.29 points per game 2 points in 7 games.

St Louis is 8 pts behind and they lost their captain. Leafs have a game against St Louis still and could still catch them.
NYR are 9 pts behind Leafs. Similar situation with St Louis.
Chicago is 9 pts behind but they've only accumulated 3 pts after the Olympic break so they're struggling. They also unloaded players. Will be hard for Leafs to catch them.
Calgary is 10 pts behind and have also accumulated only 3 pts after the Olympics so they're also struggling. They've also lost Kadri. They'll be hard for Leafs to catch.
Vancouver is 19 pts behind the Leafs. 4 pts in 12 games after the Olympics. Impossible for Leafs to catch them.

So Leafs could get to 4th if they follow your plan and go 2-12-4 in their last 18 games. What they can't do is beat either NYR and St Louis later in the season.
 
Last edited:

Woozy

Active member
Nov 13, 2022
240
126
43
Treliving and Berube should be shit canned at the end of the season. Look at Martin St.Louis in Montreal. Former super star passing on his knowledge actually teaching their young team. Berube couldn't teach a fart to smell. Get rid of them both
 

roddermac

Well-known member
Sep 17, 2023
2,619
2,151
113
Treliving and Berube should be shit canned at the end of the season. Look at Martin St.Louis in Montreal. Former super star passing on his knowledge actually teaching their young team. Berube couldn't teach a fart to smell. Get rid of them both
They should've hired St.Lois when Marner was still with the Leafs. He and Nylander would be squatting a ton if St.Louis coached them.
 
  • Haha
Reactions: bullitt

Woozy

Active member
Nov 13, 2022
240
126
43
The Leafs really really need to rethink their position in the league right now. Buffalo, Montreal, Detroit will be tops in the Atlantic again next year. Boston's retool has worked and will be competitive too. Ottawa needs some work but can compete.

In the Metro Columbus, Philadephia, New Jersey all can fight for a wild card next year. Than look at the Leafs. I believe they are well behind these teams. Management needs to wake up and gut this team. Keep Knies Matthews and Nylander and the young prospects and sell off the rest.

They need a coach that understands the league and can develop players. Perhaps a former player. The Habs are a great example to follow. They took a chance on St. Loius and its really paying off. I'm a Leafs fan but i really have to tip my hat to the Habs right now.
 

superstar_88

The Chiseler
Jan 4, 2008
6,255
1,675
113
St. Louis is on a roll lately, now 6 pts back of the Leafs with 4-0 win over The Ducks.
With a game in hand.
They're in the 5th spot.
Leafs have a game against them.
They better not screw up that game.
Leafs also have a game against Florida that may mean something.

Current longest losing streak Leafs at 7
Current longest winning streak Buffalo at 7.
They beat TB 8 to 7 last game and it was fight filled.
TB became a nastier team because of Florida.
Buffalo picked up Logan Stanley and Luke Schenn that didn't play this game.
Two big defensemen that also can fight.
Leafs play Buffalo next Sat. Expect a blowout.
 
Last edited:

harrypalm

Active member
Sep 26, 2002
155
29
28
YYZ
This team has been hard to watch this year, in fact, lots of time I turned it off.
why when we get number 1 pick the year before was the time to get the generational player?
-85 vs 84 it was Wendel instead of Mario
-15 vs 16 it was Matthews instead of McDavid
-25 vs 26 it will be McKenna’s vs Schaefer/Celibrini, 😆
 
Ashley Madison
Toronto Escorts