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The US Military Campaign Against Iran Is Part Of Trump’s Grand Strategy Against China

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silentkisser

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Jun 10, 2008
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mandrill said:
Doing an amphibious landing against well prepared defences and then maintaining the waterborne supply lines is EXTREMELY difficult and requires the sort of power imbalance the Allies had by June 1944 to pull off. My $ would be on a disastrous PLA fail.

There are videos on all this stuff on YT.
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I mean, China could likely take Taiwan, but it would probably require the near total destruction of Taipei and other cities. My understanding is Taiwan is like a fortress, with hard bunkers and tons of anti air and ship missiles. The reality is that China probably won't invade anytime soon. But, they could open diplomatic channels with Taiwan at some point, and maybe welcome them back into the fold. Maybe they retain a sliver of autonomy like Hong Kong (I joke)....
 
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40micmic

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Nov 12, 2014
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silentkisser said:
I too doubt the military capabilities of China's armed forces. I highly doubt they could easily take Taiwan. It would certainly be a bloody battle. Let's face the fact that the PLAN hasn't really proven itself as blue sea navy yet. They have ships and aircraft carriers, but there is a lot of doubt if they have the ability to project power like the USN. However, I think they could successfully take Taiwan as long as there was no intervention from the US. And, I wonder if Trump would fuck around with that right now...

Let's remember that the PLAN has more war ships than the USN (albeit less tonnage), and most of their ships are fairly advanced. Now, at this point, because of the PLAN's lack of experience, I would say the USN could take them out, but would likely suffer some significant casualties.
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Quantity is definitely a capability all on its own despite the quality issues. The output is unparalleled. I just feel the leaderships issues have spiralled so far out of control. Zhang shengmin is very questionable and he has been elevated to 2nd in command behind Xi and i doubt he has the capability or knowledge to coordinate all facets of the PLA to engage in a successful invasion.

If they do go ahead with it, multiple layers of vulnerabilities will be exposed with unacceptable levels of casaulties. And the result would probably be an absolutely shredded Taiwan but an even more gapping hole within the party politically even if Taiwan is in the fold.
 
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40micmic

Well-known member
Nov 12, 2014
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mandrill said:
Doing an amphibious landing against well prepared defences and then maintaining the waterborne supply lines is EXTREMELY difficult and requires the sort of power imbalance the Allies had by June 1944 to pull off. My $ would be on a disastrous PLA fail.

There are videos on all this stuff on YT.
Click to expand...
Yeah its well documented just how difficult pulling this off would be. Taiwan has been preparing for this for a long time.
 
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