Putin threatens to cut off gas supplies to Europe

oil&gas

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Ghawar
05 March 2026

Vladimir Putin has threatened to cut off gas supplies to Europe as the war in Iran sends energy prices soaring.

The Russian president said on Wednesday that he will instruct the Kremlin to consider shifting Russia’s gas exports away from Europe and to more profitable markets in Asia following the outbreak of war in the Middle East.

Putin said on state television: “Other markets are opening now. Maybe it’s better for us to end supplies to the European market right now? To go to those markets that are opening now and get a foothold there.

“I ⁠will definitely instruct the government to work on ‌this issue together with ⁠our companies.”

European natural gas prices have soared by 58pc since late last week, before the US and Israel launched missile strikes on Iran, rising to €49.6 per megawatt hour by Wednesday.

Putin’s threat to cut off Europe from Russian gas risks driving up prices further by curbing supplies.

Russia’s pipeline gas exports to Europe have plunged since the outbreak of the war in Ukraine, and the European Union intends to introduce a gradual ban on Russian gas from late 2027.

But European reliance on Russian gas is so great that Russia is still the EU’s second-largest supplier of liquefied natural gas (LNG) after the United States.

In January, the EU’s monthly LNG imports from Russia hit a record high of 2.3bn cubic metres, up more than 10pc year-on-year and nearly a fifth of all LNG imports.

Turkey, Serbia, Hungary, and Slovakia are also among the countries that bought 18bn cubic meters of Russian gas via the TurkStream undersea pipeline last year.

Putin issued his threat after Iran effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow shipping channel that transports around a fifth of the world’s seaborne oil and gas trade, sending markets into turmoil.

Additional pressure on Europe’s gas supplies could emerge as the war in Iran risks adding £160 to UK households’ energy bills from July, according to Cornwall Insight.

This has prompted calls for Chancellor Rachel Reeves to consider contingency plans to protect ships travelling through the Persian Gulf and Strait of Hormuz.

Patrick Tiernan, the chief executive of Lloyd’s of London, met City minister Lucy Rigby in an emergency meeting on Wednesday to discuss the impact of the war in the Middle East.

Lloyd’s underwrites billions of pounds worth of maritime insurance each year, although in recent days it has increased prices and cancelled policies for ships travelling through the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz.

Donald Trump pledged this week to underwrite policies for ships travelling through the region in a move that threatens to undermine Lloyd’s position as the world’s main insurance hub.

His announcement served to calm markets, with gas prices dipping slightly on Wednesday and stock markets rising.

The US benchmark S&P 500 was up by nearly 1pc while the FTSE 100 climbed 0.8pc.

But UK Treasury insiders played down the idea that the Government was considering underwriting insurance policies, insisting that the meeting was a “fact-finding mission” scheduled before Mr Trump’s comments.

They added that it was still unclear how Mr Trump’s proposals would play out in practice.

In the short-term, there are signs that the outlook for gas markets will worsen after Qatar declared “force majeure” on its LNG exports on Wednesday.

Force majeure is a contractual clause that excuses Qatar, which supplies a fifth of the world’s liquefied natural gas (LNG), from fulfilling its export obligations because of an unforeseeable event.

State energy giant Qatar Energy had already stopped producing gas earlier this week after an initial wave of Iranian strike attacks.

The head of energy regulator Ofgem warned there would be “significant upward pressure on prices” if the conflict in Iran continues for a long period.

Jonathan Brearley told the Energy Security and Net Zero Committee: “Although we remain at the early stages of this conflict, if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed for a prolonged period of time, it is likely this will
create significant upward pressure on prices that customers will pay for their gas and electricity.”

Meanwhile, Energy Secretary Ed Miliband said the crisis highlighted the need to move away from fossil fuels towards “clean homegrown power”.

He said on social media: “Conflict in the Middle East is yet another reminder that the only route to energy security and sovereignty for the UK is to get off our dependence on fossil fuel markets, whose prices we do not control, and onto clean homegrown power we do.”

Mr Miliband added had been in contact with the Qatari and Saudi energy ministers in recent days, claiming that the Government is monitoring the situation in oil and gas markets.

 

mandrill

monkey
Aug 23, 2001
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Didn't he already do this in 2022?
 

oil&gas

Well-known member
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Ghawar
Didn't he already do this in 2022?
Doesn't hurt to do it again now that Iran is helping out.


 
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Mr Deeds

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Mar 10, 2013
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I dought he will cut off Europe, he needs the cash too badly to fund his war.
 
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oil&gas

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I dought he will cut off Europe, he needs the cash too badly to fund his war.
This is true. Putin indeed needs the cash, a lot of cash he
can make from Europe. It could be that Putin just understood
there is a price to pay to get his vengeance.

I am sure Putin would be delighted to make nice with Europe
and NATO provided they are willing to sacrifice Ukraine.
 
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Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
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This is true. Putin indeed needs the cash, a lot of cash he
can make from Europe. It could be that Putin just understood
there is a price to pay to get his vengeance.

I am sure Putin would be delighted to make nice with Europe
and NATO provided they are willing to sacrifice Ukraine.
Or Putin will close the taps, watch oil prices skyrocket and then make bank.
He needs the cash in a big way.

 

SchlongConery

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oil&gas

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Frankfooter

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oil&gas

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A boost for Moscow in the shadow of Iran war: US allows India to buy Russian oil for a month

Mar 6, 2026

The U.S. Treasury Department’s decision to allow India to buy Russian oil for 30 days underscores a boost for Moscow’s fortunes against the backdrop of the Iran war as Russia’s oil exports help Kremlin pay for its own war on Ukraine.

The Treasury Department this week said India can keep buying crude oil and petroleum products from Russia for a month, until April 4.

That measure is aimed at helping ease upward pressure on oil prices that affect gasoline costs for U.S. consumers. But it also underlines how the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran is tightening the markets for oil and gas — including Russia’s crude.

A complex mix of oil, tariffs — and 2 wars

China and India became Russia’s biggest customers for oil after Moscow’s full-out invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 provoked a boycott by the European Union,
formerly the biggest importer from Russia.

U.S. President Donald Trump had slapped 25% tariffs on India for continuing to purchase Russian oil. Indian oil imports from Russia diminished after Trump dropped the tariff Feb. 6 in return for what he said was a promise to stop buying Russian oil.

On Friday, international benchmark Brent crude rose to $89 per barrel, up from just under $73 a week ago, on the eve of the new war in the Middle East. Russia’s Urals blend export hit $70, up from below $40 as recently as December.

The widening war in Iran and the risk of Iranian drone or missile attacks has shut down almost all tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, the only sea passage out of Persian Gulf and the conduit for 20% of the world economy’s oil needs.

Tankers traveling through the strait, which is bordered in the north by Iran, carry oil and gas from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Iraq, Qatar, Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates and Iran. Now nothing is going through.

Soaring oil prices after the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz oil chokepoint have meant at least a temporary reversal of fortune for Russia’s fossil fuel revenues.

That revenue had dwindled due to previously weak global prices and tightening Western sanctions on Russia’s “shadow fleet” of tankers with obscure ownership used to evade a price cap imposed by the Group of Seven democracies, as well as sanctions against Russia’s two biggest oil companies, Rosneft and Lukoil.

A welcome waiver

In granting a month’s reprieve to India, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the 30-day period would “not provide significant financial benefit” to the Russian government as it only applied to Russian oil stranded on tankers after no customer could be found.

Analysts estimated that could be some 125 million barrels of crude.

“This stop-gap measure will alleviate pressure caused by Iran’s attempt to take global energy hostage,” Bessent said on X.

Russian oil still trades at a considerable discount to international benchmark Brent. However, Russian crude is now well above the benchmark of $59 per barrel that was assumed in the Russian Finance Ministry’s budget plan for 2026.

Oil and gas tax revenues can amount to 20% to 30% of the Russian federal budget. Tax is based on the price of oil once Russian producers have covered their costs of around $15 per barrel, so a fall in the price can substantially reduce revenue to the government.

Additionally, the halt in production of ship-borne liquefied natural gas, or LNG, by major supplier Qatar — suspended after an Iranian drone strike on Qatar’s largest LNG plant early on in the Iran war — will sharply increase global competition for available cargoes, including those from Russia.

Prices for future delivery of natural gas have soared in Europe, raising questions about the EU’s plans to halt its remaining imports of Russian gas by 2027.

An unpredictable future

Much depends on how long the war with Iran lasts. In the first week, the effects of the conflict that began with the United States and Israel’s Feb. 28 strikes on Iran are widening and now encompass more than a dozen countries.

Oil market analysts say that if it ends within a week or two, oil prices could quickly fall to prewar levels around $65 per barrel and Russia would see little benefit.

However, a longer conflict — one that leaves long-term damage to oil fields, pipelines and terminals in Saudi Arabia, Iraq, the UAE and Kuwait, and sends oil prices over $100
per barrel — could deliver a lasting windfall to Russia.

Russia had seen state oil and gas revenue fall to a four-year low of 393 billion rubles ($5 billion) in January and the budget shortfall of 1.7 trillion rubles ($21.8 billion) for that month was the biggest on record, according to Finance Ministry figures.

Economic growth has stagnated as massive military spending has leveled off. As oil and gas revenues to the state budget fell, President Vladimir Putin has resorted to tax increases and increased borrowing from compliant domestic banks to keep state finances on an even keel in the fifth year of the war.

Asked about the waiver, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov noted the increased demand on Russian oil amid the Mideast war and said that “India and China are guided by their national interests, and we do the same.”

“We continue our cooperation, including the energy field and energy trade, with India and China,” Peskov said.

“We note a significant increase in demand for Russian energy resources in connection with the Iran war,” he added. “Russia has been a reliable supplier of oil and gas. It can guarantee all contracted supplies.”

 

oil&gas

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US may lift sanctions on additional Russian oil to ease global supply gap: Treasury chief

Seyit Kurt
07.03.2026

The US may consider lifting sanctions on additional Russian oil shipments to ease a temporary global supply gap, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Fox News on Friday.

The remarks follow a US decision to issue a temporary 30-day waiver allowing Indian refiners to purchase Russian oil in an effort to maintain global supply.

“The Indians had been very good actors. We had asked them to stop buying sanctioned Russian oil this fall. They did,” said Bessent.

He added that India planned to replace the purchases with US crude, but the Treasury Department granted permission for Russian oil imports to help address the supply shortfall.

Bessent said the Treasury Department is examining whether additional sanctioned Russian crude shipments could be released to the market.

“We may unsanction other Russian oil,” he said. "There are hundreds of millions of barrels of sanctioned crude on the water ... by unsanctioning them, Treasury can create supply.”

He added that the Trump administration plans to continue announcing measures aimed at easing pressure on global energy markets.

The comments come amid tensions in the Middle East that have disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital corridor for global energy trade.

Traffic through the waterway slowed sharply after attacks by the US and Israel on Iran, and Tehran’s retaliatory strikes, contributing to rising oil prices and concerns about supply.

 
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Toronto Escorts